{"id":166234,"date":"2025-06-28T21:58:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T21:58:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/166234\/"},"modified":"2025-06-28T21:58:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T21:58:12","slug":"this-one-factor-could-make-or-break-the-bears-super-bowl-dreams","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/166234\/","title":{"rendered":"This One Factor Could Make or Break the Bears\u2019 Super Bowl Dreams"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let\u2019s drop the intro: if you can\u2019t win in the trenches, you can\u2019t win rings. Look at the last ten Super Bowl champs (2015\u20132024): 9 out of 10 had offensive lines ranked 15th or better, 6 of them broke into the top\u200b\u201110. That\u2019s not coincidence \u2014 it\u2019s the blueprint.<\/p>\n<p>The Prototypes: Super Bowl O\u200b\u2011Lines (2015\u20132024)<\/p>\n<p>Elite Units (Top 10 in rankings)<\/p>\n<p>2018 Philadelphia Eagles \u2013 #1 O\u200b\u2011Line<br \/>The canonical example: Jason Peters, Jason Kelce, Lane Johnson, Brandon Brooks, Isaac Seumalo. Per PFF, they graded them a gaudy 86.2 overall \u2014 top in NFL. This line \u201cfueled a Super Bowl victory\u201d and laid the foundation for Nick Foles to deliver one of the most electric and unexpected Super Bowl performances in NFL history.<\/p>\n<p>2023 Kansas City Chiefs \u2013 #2 O\u200b\u2011Line<br \/>Continuity and elite interior play made this line a crush zone, fueling Mahomes and a high\u200b\u2011tempo machine.<\/p>\n<p>2017 Patriots &amp; 2021 Buccaneers \u2013 both #3<br \/>Bucs led the league in fewest pressures allowed; Pats provided essential pass protection and clean pockets for Brady &amp; co.<\/p>\n<p>Solid Contenders (Ranks 12\u201315)<\/p>\n<p>2015 Patriots \u2013 #12 \u2013 mid-season O\u200b\u2011line shakeup sparked drive straight to another ring.<\/p>\n<p>2022 Rams \u2013 #14 \u2013 gutty finish despite injuries and mid-year roster woes.<\/p>\n<p>2020 Chiefs \u2013 #15 \u2013 adequate, but exactly at that \u201cline needed\u201d threshold for a ring.<\/p>\n<p>The Exception That Proved the Rule<\/p>\n<p>2016 Broncos \u2013 #27 O\u200b\u2011Line, 40 sacks allowed \u2013 defense so dominant they carried the unit, but that rarely happens.<\/p>\n<p>Benchmarking Greatness: 85 Points = Contender<\/p>\n<p>Mapping rankings to a 100-point scale shows 85.0 as the magic number:<\/p>\n<p>Hits top-15 territory<\/p>\n<p>Captures 90% of champs<\/p>\n<p>Gives credit to defenses that occasionally carry trash-tier lines<\/p>\n<p>Anything under 85? You might have a flashy defense or fantasy appeal, but you\u2019re not built to hoist the Lombardi when it counts.<\/p>\n<p><img data-lazyloaded=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"867\" height=\"580\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-28-at-9.16.37\u202fAM-867x580.png\" alt=\"\"  data-\/><\/p>\n<p>Super Bowl Winner O-Line Ranks from 2015-2024<\/p>\n<p>2025 Chicago Bears: Trenches Rebuilt (Score: 79.3)<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s break it down, man vs. man:<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-family:montserrat\">Subscribe to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCyLW3yO6FXCBQRdu5G5VbQg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BFR Youtube channel<\/a> and ride shotgun with Dave and Ficky as they break down Bears football like nobody else. <\/p>\n<p>First, let me pull back the curtain and show you how the sausage gets made. Before we dive into the Bears\u2019 individual grades, here\u2019s how the scoring system works. Player scores were derived from a 100-point scale that blends film evaluation and data analytics across four key pillars:<\/p>\n<p>Pro Football Focus (PFF) grades (pass\/run blocking)<\/p>\n<p>Positional value and scheme fit within Ben Johnson\u2019s zone-heavy system<\/p>\n<p>Injury history, snap consistency, and 2024 performance trajectory<\/p>\n<p>Contract expectations and role within the 2025 unit<\/p>\n<p>Each player\u2019s score reflects projected impact, reliability, and fit. Here\u2019s the breakdown:<\/p>\n<p>PositionPlayerGradeNotesLTBraxton Jones70Played well pre-injury (fibula fracture), but late-season durability and inconsistent pass sets hurt grade. Needs bounce-back year.LGJoe Thuney95Four-time All-Pro. Allowed zero pressures in a 6-game stretch (2024), graded top-5 in pass pro. Elite, reliable.CDrew Dalman80Ranked 4th among NFL centers in 2024. Strong run blocker, 0 sacks allowed, but missed time with injury. Solid signing.RGJonah Jackson78Was a steady starter in Detroit. Injuries knocked him back in 2024, but he\u2019s a proven scheme fit with upside if healthy.RTDarnell Wright75Graded highest among Bears linemen in 2024. Great run blocker, improving pass pro, but needs to handle elite speed rushers.<\/p>\n<p>Overall: 79.3 \u2014 puts the Bears into \u201cPlayoff Hopeful\u201d territory, but short of contender status.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" data-lazyloaded=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"870\" height=\"580\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/EAGLES-870x580.png\" alt=\"\"  data-\/><\/p>\n<p>Offensive Line Composite Scores 2015-2025 vs. the Chicago Bears <\/p>\n<p>The Weighting<\/p>\n<p>Tackles = 40% (20% each)<\/p>\n<p>Interior = 60% (20% each guard + center)<\/p>\n<p>This weighted system treats the LG\/CG\/RG core as the heart \u2014 literally where championships are won or lost.<\/p>\n<p>Upside &amp; Risks Breakdown<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s Working:<\/p>\n<p>Elite interior trio (Thuney\/Dalman\/Jackson) can dominate in protection and pushing lanes.<\/p>\n<p>Ben Johnson\u2019s scheme\u00a0\u2014 built for quick movement, synergy, and zone familiarity.<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Williams gets better every week behind better protection.<\/p>\n<p>Red Flags:<\/p>\n<p>Jones recovering from fibula fracture \u2014 what if he\u2019s shaky or gets hurt again?<\/p>\n<p>Line chemistry unproven \u2014 new pieces need to click under scheme demands.<\/p>\n<p>High expectations &amp; cap weight \u2013 this line has to make an impact or investment looks bad<\/p>\n<p>Comparison \u2013 Bears vs. League\u2019s Best<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s see where Chicago stacks up in 2025:<\/p>\n<p>Eagles (2025: #1 OL)<\/p>\n<p>Top-ranked unit consistently, with continuity and elite stars like Lane Johnson &amp; Jordan Mailata.<br \/>Culture machine led by Jeff Stoutland \u2014 with pop-quiz cold calls and accountability methods.<br \/>Ideal template: alignment of talent, coaching, and continuity.<\/p>\n<p>Lions (2025: #5 OL)<\/p>\n<p>PFF regular-season grade 85.6.<br \/>Built with man\u200b\u2011block beasts and elite tackle Penei Sewell.<br \/>Losing OC Ben Johnson \u2014 could affect gap-blocking identity.<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys (2025: #17 OL)<\/p>\n<p>Average unit: PFF grade ~78 \u2014 solid, not championship-level.<br \/>Former star Zack Martin retiring \u2014 but they\u2019re set for more average line days ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Scouting the Risks, Roundtable Style<\/p>\n<p>LT Braxton Jones (70) \u2014 Will handle edge rushers? Fibula injury linger? If he softens, DBs will feast.<\/p>\n<p>RT Darnell Wright (75) \u2014 Young, growing \u2014 could improve into a reliable swing tackle, but still unproven vs elite speed rushers.<\/p>\n<p>New chemistry pressure \u2014 Thuney\/Dalman\/Jackson are battle-tested, but installing run fits, blitz picks, interior combos takes timing.<\/p>\n<p>Scheme fatigue? \u2014 Ben Johnson may ask guys to do too much too soon. If Jones misses, will backups struggle?<\/p>\n<p>If Chicago Pops Over 85\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s run scenarios that push them into contender territory:<\/p>\n<p>Jones returns healthy and dominates edge\u00a0\u2014 uplift to 78\u201380 from 70.<\/p>\n<p>Wright makes leap \u2014 82+ PFF-type production.<\/p>\n<p>Interior keeps rolling\u00a0\u2014 makes the 79.3 baseline a stable floor.<\/p>\n<p>Scheme execution is sharp\u00a0\u2014 play-snap discipline, audibles, not giving away easy negatives.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026that could get them to an 85+ composite grade by midseason \u2014 right into Super Bowl Contender territory.<\/p>\n<p>Final Verdict<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s not sugarcoat it: 85 is just step one \u2014 you still need elite tackle play to hoist the Lombardi. Chicago\u2019s rebuilt interior gives them a fighting chance, but if Braxton Jones or Darnell Wright stumble, this line stays stuck in playoff hopeful limbo. If both tackles falter and the interior regresses or battles injury? They\u2019re one bad break away from being exposed in December.<\/p>\n<p>But here\u2019s the upside \u2014 if this unit clicks, and if those tackles level up, the Bears can clear the 85 mark and punch into legit contender status by midseason. Chicago\u2019s front office didn\u2019t spend like they\u2019re aiming for mediocrity. They\u2019re betting on this line to control games, protect their young QB, and flip the damn narrative. The foundation\u2019s there. Execution is everything.<\/p>\n<p>This isn\u2019t flip-flop hype. It\u2019s the truth: Chicago finally built a line that can go toe-to-toe with the best. Now they just have to prove it on Sundays.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Let\u2019s drop the intro: if you can\u2019t win in the trenches, you can\u2019t win rings. Look at the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":166235,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1035,1706,391,1472,2551,7,1814,2550,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-166234","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl","8":"tag-ben-johnson","9":"tag-braxton-jones","10":"tag-chicago-bears","11":"tag-darnell-wright","12":"tag-drew-dalman","13":"tag-football","14":"tag-joe-thuney","15":"tag-jonah-jackson","16":"tag-nfl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/114763235603421595","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166234","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=166234"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166234\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/166235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=166234"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=166234"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=166234"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}