{"id":326507,"date":"2025-08-29T13:16:13","date_gmt":"2025-08-29T13:16:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/326507\/"},"modified":"2025-08-29T13:16:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T13:16:13","slug":"how-to-bet-on-teams-to-make-or-miss-the-2025-nfl-playoffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/326507\/","title":{"rendered":"How to bet on teams to make &#8212; or miss &#8212; the 2025 NFL playoffs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\tGambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/betting-editorial-standards\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">editorial standards<\/a> for more information.<\/p>\n<p>Parity and new faces are what make the <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/betting\/best-nfl-betting-sites\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NFL<\/a> the biggest sport in America.<\/p>\n<p>In every season since 1990, we\u2019ve seen at least four new teams in the playoffs compared to the season prior<\/p>\n<p> In 2024, the new postseason qualifiers were the Broncos, Chargers, Commanders and Vikings.<\/p>\n<p>While it seems obvious that teams like the Lions will make the postseason this year, perhaps it is wise to tread lightly when penciling the league\u2019s best teams into the postseason.<\/p>\n<p>After all, the 49ers were in the -420 range to make the playoffs before the 2024 season even began and injuries took a toll on the reigning NFC champions.<\/p>\n<p>Thirty-five years in a row with at least four new teams making the playoffs should at the minimum keep your guard up high regarding the favorites in each conference.<\/p>\n<p>If we assume that this trend holds, four of these teams must make the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>AFC:\u00a0Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Jets, New England Patriots, Las Vegas Raiders, Tennessee Titans.<\/p>\n<p>NFC: Chicago Bears, Arizona Cardinals, Dallas Cowboys, Atlanta Falcons, San Francisco 49ers, New York Giants, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Seattle Seahawks.<\/p>\n<p>Cross \u2019em off<\/p>\n<p>There are fewer options here than you\u2019d think.<\/p>\n<p>Browns: They play in one of the harshest divisions in football (AFC North) and have <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/08\/18\/sports\/browns-naming-joe-flacco-starting-quarterback-as-shedeur-sanders-time-on-hold\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Joe Flacco as the starting quarterback<\/a>. That\u2019s an easy pass for me. It looks like a zoo in Cleveland, and it\u2019s safe to say that they won\u2019t be heard from come January.<\/p>\n<p>Saints: Over in the Big Easy, they are starting Spencer Rattler over Tyler Shough under center. That\u2019s quite the indictment of Shough, a second-round pick who couldn\u2019t beat out a second-year player drafted in the fifth round. New Orleans is another team that could be picking at the top of the draft next spring.<\/p>\n<p><img style=\"aspect-ratio:1.49926794;display:block\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-modal-image=\"36876846\" width=\"885\" height=\"590\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AP_Jaguars_Saints_Football_43838-df5e5-0.jpg\" alt=\"New Orleans Saints quarterback throwing a football.\" class=\"wp-image-36876846\"  \/>New Orleans Saints quarterback Spencer Rattler warms up before an NFL preseason football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars in New Orleans, Sunday, Aug. 17, 2025. AP<\/p>\n<p>Unlikely but possible<\/p>\n<p>Giants: Improved team but schedule is a nightmare, <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/08\/28\/sports\/andrew-thomas-giants-status-remains-mystery-with-a-ticking-clock\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">plus NFC East is loaded<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys: Micah Parsons traded to Green Bay. Dak Prescott\u2019s mobility deteriorated. NFC East has two conference favorites.<\/p>\n<p>Seahawks: Not a big Sam Darnold guy, Kenneth Walker III is always injured and the No. 30 offensive line via Pro Football Focus.<\/p>\n<p>Colts:<a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/08\/19\/betting\/week-1-betting-line-revealed-as-daniel-jones-to-start-for-colts\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> Daniel Jones<\/a> \u2026 enough said.<\/p>\n<p>Jaguars: I\u2019m much more bullish on Jacksonville than most, especially in a bad division. Just haven\u2019t seen enough from Trevor Lawrence consistently to think he can legitimately lead them without an elite defense.<\/p>\n<p><img style=\"aspect-ratio:1.49926794;display:block\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-modal-image=\"36963932\" width=\"885\" height=\"590\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AP_Raiders_Cardinals_Football_56157-70e48-0.jpg\" alt=\"Las Vegas Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels on the sidelines.\" class=\"wp-image-36963932\"  \/>Las Vegas Raiders head coach Pete Carroll smiles during the first half of an NFL preseason football game against the Arizona Cardinals, Saturday, Aug. 23, 2025, in Glendale. AP<\/p>\n<p>Raiders: Not a Geno Smith guy even with the continuity he has with Pete Carroll. They are the fourth-best team in the AFC West.<\/p>\n<p>Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa is constantly injured, and Tyreek Hill is a year older. Mike McDaniel is the favorite to be the first coach fired in the NFL. I like a different team in the AFC East.<\/p>\n<p>Jets: <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/08\/28\/sports\/jets-gm-believes-justin-fields-can-make-the-baker-mayfield-leap\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">It\u2019s a new-look Jets<\/a> team, but I still can\u2019t get behind them. Justin Fields hasn\u2019t proved able to win games so far in his NFL career, and I don\u2019t think that starts now.<\/p>\n<p>Titans: Rookie QB in Cam Ward, rebuilding roster, second-lowest graded defense in the league. Pass.<\/p>\n<p>I just don\u2019t believe in you<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals: Kyler Murray is a high-floor, low-ceiling guy who needs a perfect team around him to make a playoff run.<\/p>\n<p>Panthers: Bryce Young looked much improved to end the season, but Carolina has the lowest-graded defense in the league per PFF.<\/p>\n<p>Falcons: This one\u2019s tough. Good offense, but new quarterback (Michael Penix Jr.) that I can\u2019t get behind. They were my fifth team, but I just can\u2019t do it.<\/p>\n<p>Betting on the NFL? <\/p>\n<p>The picks<\/p>\n<p>49ers (-180, <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/article\/betrivers-promo-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetRivers<\/a>): Loaded on both sides of the ball with Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Fred Warner, and they finally look healthy. NFC West is wide open. <\/p>\n<p>Patriots (+160, <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/article\/fanatics-sportsbook-promo-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Fanatics<\/a>): Drake Maye looked electric last season, Mike Vrabel is coaching, and Stefon Diggs is in the fold. Division is easy beyond Bills, as well.<\/p>\n<p>Bears (+165, <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/article\/betmgm-sign-up-offer\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>): Ben Johnson in charge, offensive line dramatically improved. Serious improvements here.<\/p>\n<p>Bengals (-141, BetRivers): Ownership is a joke, but Cincinnati can outscore anyone and has top-five QB in Joe Burrow.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n<p>Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he\u2019s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":326508,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2053],"tags":[228,1107,391,227,256,2296,7,249,6,6020,252,9,5433,7634],"class_list":{"0":"post-326507","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cincinnati-bengals","8":"tag-bengals","9":"tag-betting","10":"tag-chicago-bears","11":"tag-cincinnati","12":"tag-cincinnati-bengals","13":"tag-cincinnatibengals","14":"tag-football","15":"tag-new-england-patriots","16":"tag-nfl","17":"tag-nfl-betting","18":"tag-san-francisco-49ers","19":"tag-sports","20":"tag-sports-betting","21":"tag-sports-picks"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115112246264067251","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/326507","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=326507"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/326507\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/326508"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=326507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=326507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=326507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}