{"id":379491,"date":"2025-09-19T05:18:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T05:18:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/379491\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T05:18:15","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T05:18:15","slug":"indianapolis-colts-week-10-offensive-rankings-and-analysis-one-drive-wonders-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/379491\/","title":{"rendered":"Indianapolis Colts Week 10 Offensive Rankings and Analysis: One drive wonders"},"content":{"rendered":"

Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous Colts<\/a> game and analyzing the numbers to form a sort of \u201cwhat happened\u201d narrative, as well as comparing the Colts against all other teams in the league. For a glossary of the stats listed, reference Season Stats<\/a>. Thanks to Pro Football Reference<\/a>, NFL.com<\/a>, Football Outsiders<\/a>, and the nflFastR project<\/a> for being awesome sources of weekly data.<\/p>\n

The Colts\u2019 defense regressed in Week 2, giving up four touchdowns to the Broncos. That worked out to the 4th-most Points per Drive allowed. Denver kept moving the chains, piling up 22 first downs and posting the 3rd-best Drive Success Rate of the week.<\/p>\n

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\nMouseover for definitions:
\nPPD,
\nAdj PPD,
\nW-L,
\nPyth Wins,
\nPPG,
\nYds,
\nDSR,
\nStrt Fld,
\nyds\/ply,
\nEPA\/ply,
\nadj TSR,
\n1st\/ply,
\nPen 1st\/ Yds,
\n3DC,
\n3rd ytg,
\nExpl Plys,
\nTO,
\nTOP%\n<\/p>\n

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The 10th-most yards per drive isn\u2019t as bad as the 4th-worst points per drive. So, I guess the Colts were better at limiting yards than they were points. This is confirmed by the 6.0 yards per play carrying an average EPA of 0.23, the 5th-highest allowed by any defense.<\/p>\n

They just couldn\u2019t stop Miami from moving the chains and finishing drives in the end zone. We were lucky to walk away with a \u201cW.\u201d After the first 2 games the Colts defense has dropped to 19th by PPD.<\/p>\n

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\nMouseover definitions:
\nEPA\/db,
\nAdj EPA\/d,
\nPSR,
\nCmp,
\nAtt,
\nYds,
\nTD,
\n Int,
\nSck,
\nSck Y,
\nSck Fum,
\nScrm,
\nScrm Yds,
\nScrm TD,
\nScrm Fum,
\n1st\/db,
\nny\/d,
\ncmp %,
\naDOT,
\nCPOE,
\nAir Yd,
\nYAC,
\n20+ #\/Yd\n<\/p>\n

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Miami didn\u2019t pile up yards through the air (11th fewest), but Bo Nix still produced 0.38 EPA per play, making him the 5th-most efficient QB of the week. He paired the 4th-highest play conversion rate with the 5th-highest completion rate. He wasn\u2019t flashy \u2014 he simply kept moving the chains, and the Colts defense had few answers.<\/p>\n

That effort knocked Indy down to #8 in passing defense after two weeks.<\/p>\n

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\nMouseover definitions:
\nwgt RSR,
\nadj RSR,
\nYDS,
\nCAR,
\nTD,
\n1st,
\nFum Lost,
\nRSR,
\n1st\/c,
\nYPC,
\n10+ #\/Yd,
\n3rd,
\nEPA\/c,\n<\/p>\n

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Against the run, the Colts were better \u2014 but still far from good. Their 19th-ranked weighted Rush Success Rate is nothing to write home about. Miami picked up 7 first downs and a TD on 22 carries, giving them the 7th-best rushing play conversion rate of the week.<\/p>\n

That 19th rank is mirrored in their first 2 week cumulative totals.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The defense was sub-par in both phases, and unless that changes, it\u2019s hard to expect many more last-minute wins.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>0 Comments<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous Colts game and…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":379492,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2059],"tags":[2005,7,2004,392,7711,20123,2381,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-379491","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-indianapolis-colts","8":"tag-colts","9":"tag-football","10":"tag-indianapolis","11":"tag-indianapolis-colts","12":"tag-indianapolis-colts-roster","13":"tag-indianapolis-colts-scores-results","14":"tag-indianapoliscolts","15":"tag-nfl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115229275391827695","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/379491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=379491"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/379491\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/379492"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=379491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=379491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=379491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}