{"id":380180,"date":"2025-09-19T11:56:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T11:56:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/380180\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T11:56:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T11:56:11","slug":"predictions-scouting-report-for-week-2-nfl-clash-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/380180\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictions, scouting report for Week 2 NFL clash"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Broncos (1-1) at Chargers (2-0)<\/p>\n<p>When: 2:05 p.m. Sunday<\/p>\n<p>Where:\u00a0SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif.<\/p>\n<p>TV\/radio:\u00a0CBS, 850 AM\/94.1 FM<\/p>\n<p>Broncos-Chargers series: Denver\u2019s up 72-57-1 all-time on their AFC West rivals in the regular season. The Broncos, though, are coming off two 2024 losses to the Bolts, as quarterback Justin Herbert and coach Jim Harbaugh\u2019s run game downed Denver in both divisional matchups.<\/p>\n<p>In the spotlight: Can Justin Herbert handle the Broncos\u2019 blitz? And vice versa?<\/p>\n<p>Zach Allen, for one, isn\u2019t worried. And why should he be? His pass-rush has a demonstrated record of success, dating back to the start of 2024. And the Broncos just ate Cam Ward and the Titans up two weeks ago.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe got a special group up front,\u201d Allen said Monday. \u201cWe\u2019ve showed it last year, we\u2019ve showed it Week 1. There were games last year where we didn\u2019t have six sacks. So we\u2019ll be fine.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But they were not fine in Week 2. Denver blitzed the Colts on 71% of Indy\u2019s dropbacks last Sunday, according to Next Gen Stats \u2014 the highest single-game rate for any team since the start of last year. They pressured Indianapolis quarterback Daniel Jones 17 times and started collapsing pockets in the second half.<\/p>\n<p>They also got home only once. And Jones finished 16-of-25 passing for 265 yards against the blitz in Week 2, calmly sitting in the pocket and firing off quick strikes to a spread-out room of pass-catchers.<\/p>\n<p>That downed Denver last week in a 29-28 loss \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/2025\/09\/14\/broncos-colts-dondrea-tillman-leverage\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">leverage penalty or not<\/a>. And the Broncos will face a more talented quarterback in Week 3 in the Chargers\u2019 Justin Herbert, the golden-mopped gunslinger who\u2019s elevated his play to another echelon early in 2025 after five standout NFL seasons.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTwo weeks in \u2014 and again, this is last year as well \u2014 but you can see the confidence that they\u2019re playing with, in the receivers and the quarterback all being on the same page,\u201d Broncos head coach Sean Payton said Wednesday. \u201cThe timing has been real impressive.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Specifically, Herbert and Los Angeles have handled the blitz as well as any passing game in the NFL. The former Oregon Duck sifted through opposing rushes with excellent precision in 2024, finishing with a QB rating of 101.4 against the blitz. Still, offensive coordinator Greg Roman dedicated heaps of time and study in the offseason to picking up opposing blitzes. Herbert told Chargers reporters Thursday that he\u2019d gone back and studied every clip of protections the Chargers picked up in 2024 \u2014 ones executed successfully, and ones he could\u2019ve changed \u2014 to figure out how to beat the blitz.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s multiple ways of beating the blitz, and it\u2019s blocking it or getting the ball out quickly,\u201d Herbert said. \u201cAnd I think, whether you got two of those options \u2014 as long as you\u2019ve got one of \u2018em called, you\u2019re gonna do well.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles, 2-0 after a win over the Raiders on Monday night, has both. Right tackle Trey Pipkins III didn\u2019t surrender a single pressure against the Raiders, despite star edge rusher Maxx Crosby breathing down his neck. And Herbert \u2014 much like Jones and Indy \u2014 has a stable of receivers available for quick-hits underneath, from second-year slot star Ladd McConkey (11 catches for 122 yards) to steady veteran Keenan Allen (12 for 129).<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s all added up to ridiculous efficiency for Herbert when under duress in 2025: 18-of-24 passing for 264 yards and two TDs. The Chargers, too, are running more play-action in coach Jim Harbaugh\u2019s second year than they ever have in Herbert\u2019s career, opening up big-play threat Quentin Johnston to take the top off secondaries.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019ll give you gap schemes, they\u2019ll give you zone schemes,\u201d Payton said. \u201cThe play-action that comes off of those runs is difficult.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Through two games, the Broncos rank third in the NFL in pressure rate. Outside linebacker Nik Bonitto is first in the NFL in QB pressures when blitzing, according to Next Gen Stats; inside linebacker Justin Strnad is sixth, and Allen ranks 12th.<\/p>\n<p>Sheer pressures could not save them against Indianapolis, though. And they certainly won\u2019t save Denver against Herbert, a quarterback operating at as high of a level as anyone in the NFL.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey have a lot of momentum coming into this week,\u201d cornerback Pat Surtain II said Wednesday. \u201cWe understand our opponent, and we know what we have to do at the end of the day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Who has the edge?<\/p>\n<p>When Broncos run:\u00a0Denver RB1 J.K. Dobbins is back in Los Angeles to tote the rock <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/2025\/06\/11\/jk-dobbins-broncos-running-backs\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">against the team that yanked him around this offseason<\/a>, and will get a fairly favorable matchup. The Chargers, despite largely holding Raiders rookie Ashton Jeanty in check last week, are surrendering the ninth-highest yards per carry in the NFL through two games. RJ Harvey could get a few more looks in this one as a change-of-pace option to break off the edge, too, as Los Angeles stud OLB Khalil Mack will miss Sunday\u2019s game with a dislocated elbow. Still, Los Angeles has plenty of defensive playmakers, starting with ascending young linebacker Daiyan Henley. Edge: Even<\/p>\n<p>When Chargers run:\u00a0Theoretically, a Jim Harbaugh-led team means an offensive line that punches other teams in the mouth. Through two weeks, though, Los Angeles\u2019s revamped ground game has been \u2026 fine. The Chargers sit in the middle of the league in run-block win rate thus far in 2025, and No. 22 overall pick Omarion Hampton has rushed for just 72 yards on 23 carries. Los Angeles is near the NFL\u2019s basement in yards per carry, too. They could bust out Sunday against a Broncos defense that just surrendered 165 yards to the Colts\u2019 Jonathan Taylor. Counterpoint: That was Jonathan Taylor.\u00a0Edge: Broncos<\/p>\n<p>When Broncos pass:\u00a0Bo Nix has four takeaways through two games and heads into the danger zone in Los Angeles. The Chargers have surrendered the second-lowest yards per attempt (5.3) to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL, and just had Raiders QB Geno Smith (24 of 43, 180 yards, three interceptions) in purgatory on Monday. Los Angeles plays a ton of four-DB looks and has secondary playmakers in safety Derwin James Jr. and young corner Tarheeb Still. Edge: Chargers<\/p>\n<p>When Chargers pass: Herbert has hit a new level in 2025 with a 127.8 passer rating. The Chargers also boast a triumvirate of receivers that rivals most any Denver will face this year: second-year star Ladd McConkey, deep-ball threat Quentin Johnston and vet extraordinaire Keenan Allen. The Broncos will probably go nickel-heavy in this one, which\u2019ll put Ja\u2019Quan McMillian and rookie Jahdae Barron in some big spots. Edge: Even<\/p>\n<p>Special teams: Chargers kicker Cameron Dicker is 4 of 4 on field goals this year and has been one of the most consistent legs in the league since his rookie year in 2022. Los Angeles punter JK Scott is also an early third in the NFL in yards per punt. The Broncos, meanwhile, have a laundry list of issues to clean up on special teams from these first two weeks: a muffed punt by Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 1, a crucial missed field goal by Wil Lutz in Week 2, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverpost.com\/2025\/09\/14\/broncos-colts-dondrea-tillman-leverage\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the dreaded leverage call<\/a>. Edge: Chargers<\/p>\n<p>Coaching:\u00a0Jim Harbaugh transformed the Chargers last year upon his arrival in Los Angeles, and has another well-oiled machine in Year 2. Sean Payton has a longer demonstrated history of NFL head-coaching success, but the Chargers have been cleaner offensively and defensively than Denver through two games and have made fewer glaring mental mistakes. Slight edge: Chargers<\/p>\n<p>Tale of the tape<\/p>\n<p>Broncos<br \/>\nChargers<\/p>\n<p>Total offense<br \/>\n320.5 (17th)<br \/>\n355.5 (9th)<\/p>\n<p>Rush offense<br \/>\n134.5 (10th)<br \/>\n85.5 (25th)<\/p>\n<p>Pass offense<br \/>\n186.0 (25th)<br \/>\n270.0 (4th)<\/p>\n<p>Points per game<br \/>\n24.0 (10th)<br \/>\n23.5 (12th)<\/p>\n<p>Total defense<br \/>\n303.0 (12th)<br \/>\n282.5 (7th)<\/p>\n<p>Run defense<br \/>\n119.0 (20th)<br \/>\n83.0 (8th)<\/p>\n<p>Pass defense<br \/>\n184.0 (9th)<br \/>\n199.5 (16th)<\/p>\n<p>Points allowed<br \/>\n20.5 (14th)<br \/>\n15.0 (3rd)<\/p>\n<p>By the numbers<\/p>\n<p>4.6: Average yards per carry the Chargers have surrendered on run plays in 2025. Coincidentally, also the yards per carry J.K. Dobbins has picked up on carries in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>42: Snaps Chargers defensive coordinator Jesse Winter has used dime packages (four DBs), the third-highest total in the NFL.<\/p>\n<p>14.7%: Los Angeles\u2019s blitz rate on passing plays, fifth-lowest rate in the NFL.<\/p>\n<p>42.4%:\u00a0Broncos tight end Evan Engram\u2019s total percentage of snaps played against the Colts in Week 2.<\/p>\n<p>100%: The Chargers\u2019 completion rate in 2024 when targeting the Broncos\u2019 starting linebackers on pass plays (17 for 17), according to PFF. Also, the Colts\u2019 completion rate from Week 2 when targeting the Broncos\u2019 starting linebackers on pass plays (6-of-6).<\/p>\n<p>6.2:\u00a0Broncos quarterback Bo Nix\u2019s average depth of target through two weeks, tied for 31st in the NFL out of 34 quarterbacks with at least 30 drop-backs.<\/p>\n<p>X-factors<\/p>\n<p>Broncos:\u00a0C Luke Wattenberg.\u00a0Not a super-sexy pick here. But J.K. Dobbins has run for 46 yards on five carries when hitting gaps adjacent to Wattenberg, according to PFF. Denver needs to establish the run game against a Chargers defense that is often light loading the box, and Wattenberg, who spent the offseason trying to improve as a run-blocker, will be key Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Chargers: TE Tyler Conklin.\u00a0Conklin hasn\u2019t done much for Los Angeles since coming over in the offseason as a free agent, after the Chargers missed out on Evan Engram. Still, he was a perennial 50-catch-a-year guy for the Jets for a while, and the Broncos struggled to adequately cover Colts rookie Tyler Warren last week with linebackers. Denver can\u2019t afford to throw Pat Surtain II on Conklin with the Chargers\u2019 receiving corps.<\/p>\n<p>Post predictions<\/p>\n<p>Parker Gabriel, Broncos beat writer:\u00a0Chargers 23, Broncos 17<\/p>\n<p>Jim Harbaugh\u2019s got his team off to a terrific start. He oversaw a sweep of Sean Payton\u2019s team a year ago. And he\u2019s got a defense coordinated by Jesse Minter that is flying. They make you dink and dunk, which the Broncos did powerfully for almost a half in December, then forgot to carry on with. A 1-2 start isn\u2019t ideal, but it\u2019s not the end of the world for Denver, either. On the flip side, 2-1 with a road win over the Chargers would look awfully good.<\/p>\n<p>Luca Evans, Broncos beat writer: Chargers 27, Broncos 17<\/p>\n<p>Not going to be very popular here, but the Broncos have a lot of kinks to iron out on the road in sunny Los Angeles. The Bolts have the weaponry around Justin Herbert to attack the gaps in Denver\u2019s secondary, and the defensive playmakers to contain Bo Nix. They just made Geno Smith look like his 2013 Jets rookie-disaster self again. This is an early inflection point for Sean Payton\u2019s squad.<\/p>\n<p>Troy Renck, columnist: Chargers 23, Broncos 19<\/p>\n<p>Styles make fights. And the tale of the tape is not kind to the Broncos. The Chargers make them uncomfortable and impose their will like few teams do. With Jim Harbaugh in his first season, the Chargers swept the Broncos because they dominated time of possession, were more disciplined, took care of the ball, and wore them down on the ground. And now Justin Herbert and his receivers are better. This is a statement game that Denver needed at home.<\/p>\n<p>Sean Keeler, columnist: Chargers 23, Broncos 20<\/p>\n<p>Justin Herbert right now is everything we want Bo Nix to be. And more. Safety Derwin James Jr. is doing his best Steve Atwater. L.A. coach Jim Harbaugh has some kind of Peter DeBoer-like hold over Sean Payton-coached teams (5-1 lifetime). If the Broncos lose this one, Herbert and Harbaugh might have the AFC West locked up before the end of September. Surely, the Chargers have to find a way to Charger this one. Don\u2019t they? (Nah.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.denverpost.com\/dp\/preference\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Want more Broncos news? Sign up for the Broncos Insider to get all our NFL analysis.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Broncos (1-1) at Chargers (2-0) When: 2:05 p.m. Sunday Where:\u00a0SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif. TV\/radio:\u00a0CBS, 850 AM\/94.1 FM Broncos-Chargers&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":380181,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1303,925,127,2772,258,4919,2826,7,1507,601,8233,1006,1012,1159,3907,1328,3278,929,1014,3883,926,6,1625,3267,5295,1813,9,2831,1626],"class_list":{"0":"post-380180","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl","8":"tag-ashton-jeanty","9":"tag-bo-nix","10":"tag-cam-ward","11":"tag-daniel-jones","12":"tag-denver-broncos","13":"tag-derwin-james","14":"tag-evan-engram","15":"tag-football","16":"tag-geno-smith","17":"tag-j-k-dobbins","18":"tag-jaquan-mcmillian","19":"tag-jahdae-barron","20":"tag-jim-harbaugh","21":"tag-justin-herbert","22":"tag-justin-strnad","23":"tag-keenan-allen","24":"tag-khalil-mack","25":"tag-latest-headlines","26":"tag-los-angeles","27":"tag-luke-wattenberg","28":"tag-more-broncos-news","29":"tag-nfl","30":"tag-nik-bonitto","31":"tag-pat-surtain-ii","32":"tag-sean-keeler","33":"tag-sean-payton","34":"tag-sports","35":"tag-troy-renck","36":"tag-zach-allen"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115230840086682988","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380180","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=380180"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380180\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/380181"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=380180"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=380180"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=380180"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}