{"id":394929,"date":"2025-09-25T04:06:20","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T04:06:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/394929\/"},"modified":"2025-09-25T04:06:20","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T04:06:20","slug":"indianapolis-colts-week-10-offensive-rankings-and-analysis-one-drive-wonders-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/394929\/","title":{"rendered":"Indianapolis Colts Week 10 Offensive Rankings and Analysis: One drive wonders"},"content":{"rendered":"

Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous Colts<\/a> game and analyzing the numbers to form a sort of \u201cwhat happened\u201d narrative, as well as comparing the Colts against all other teams in the league. For a glossary of the stats listed, reference Season Stats<\/a>. Thanks to Pro Football Reference<\/a>, NFL.com<\/a>, Pro Football Focus<\/a> and the nflFastR project<\/a> for being awesome sources of weekly data.<\/p>\n

The Colts\u2019 offense kept rolling in Week 3, racking up 26 first downs and posting an 84.6% Drive Success Rate, which highlights just how easily they\u2019ve been able to move the ball down the field. They also improved in the red zone, converting 3 touchdowns on 4 trips.<\/p>\n

One drive ended with something called a punt, and apparently there\u2019s a player on the team whose sole job is to handle that kind of play. Weird.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nMouseover for definitions:
\nPPD,
\nAdj PPD,
\nW-L,
\nPyth Wins,
\nPPG,
\nYds,
\nDSR,
\nStrt Fld,
\nyds\/ply,
\nEPA\/ply,
\nadj TSR,
\n1st\/ply,
\nPen 1st\/ Yds,
\n3DC,
\n3rd ytg,
\nExpl Plys,
\nTO,
\nTOP%\n<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

There isn\u2019t much to analyze here\u2014there\u2019s no hidden secret behind a 41-point performance. The Colts led the league in Points per Drive, ranked 2nd in Drive Success Rate, 2nd in yards per play, 1st in EPA per play, and 3rd in play success rate. They simply executed well. I know \u2014 right?!<\/p>\n

Three highly efficient games have vaulted the Colts to #1 in Points per Drive so far this year. However, when adjusting for opponent defenses, they slip to #4. With only three weeks of data, that adjustment is still a small sample, but it will grow more meaningful as the season progresses.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nMouseover definitions:
\nEPA\/db,
\nAdj EPA\/d,
\nPSR,
\nCmp,
\nAtt,
\nYds,
\nTD,
\n Int,
\nSck,
\nSck Y,
\nSck Fum,
\nScrm,
\nScrm Yds,
\nScrm TD,
\nScrm Fum,
\n1st\/db,
\nny\/d,
\ncmp %,
\naDOT,
\nCPOE,
\nAir Yd,
\nYAC,
\n20+ #\/Yd\n<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Daniel Jones delivered another stellar performance, driving the passing offense to the 3rd-best EPA efficiency and the 2nd-best Passing Success Rate. He did it without taking a single sack, which helped elevate his yards per dropback to 3rd best. The big gains translated directly into first downs, giving the Colts the 3rd-highest pass play conversion rate.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s really not much to complain about. While his red-zone performance has been poor overall, Week 3 was a step in the right direction. He currently ranks #1 in deep passing efficiency, #3 under pressure, and #1 outside the red zone. That combination has produced the league\u2019s most efficient passing offense\u2014though it\u2019s worth noting that this doesn\u2019t account for strength of opponent. On an adjusted basis, the team drops to #6.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nMouseover definitions:
\nwgt RSR,
\nadj RSR,
\nYDS,
\nCAR,
\nTD,
\n1st,
\nFum Lost,
\nRSR,
\n1st\/c,
\nYPC,
\n10+ #\/Yd,
\n3rd,
\nEPA\/c,\n<\/p>\n

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The Colts\u2019 ground game grabbed the #1 spot in rushing success this week. Jonathan Taylor scored three touchdowns and added three more first downs on just 17 carries. Third downs were a weakness, as the team went 0-for-3, but overall they still finished with the 5th-best run play conversion rate.<\/p>\n

On the season, I have them as the 8th-best rushing team when adjusting for opponent defenses, even though they rank 2nd on an unadjusted basis.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Both the passing and rushing attacks executed at a high level, producing a balanced performance and the most efficient offense of the week.<\/p>\n

The next graph does not yet include opponent adjustments, but it\u2019s still encouraging to see the Colts performing alongside the league\u2019s best.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>0 Comments<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous Colts game and…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":394930,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2059],"tags":[2005,7,2004,392,7711,20123,2381,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-394929","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-indianapolis-colts","8":"tag-colts","9":"tag-football","10":"tag-indianapolis","11":"tag-indianapolis-colts","12":"tag-indianapolis-colts-roster","13":"tag-indianapolis-colts-scores-results","14":"tag-indianapoliscolts","15":"tag-nfl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115262966132005675","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/394929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=394929"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/394929\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/394930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=394929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=394929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=394929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}