{"id":434929,"date":"2025-10-10T09:39:29","date_gmt":"2025-10-10T09:39:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/434929\/"},"modified":"2025-10-10T09:39:29","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T09:39:29","slug":"indianapolis-colts-week-10-offensive-rankings-and-analysis-one-drive-wonders-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/434929\/","title":{"rendered":"Indianapolis Colts Week 10 Offensive Rankings and Analysis: One drive wonders"},"content":{"rendered":"

Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous Colts<\/a> game and analyzing the numbers to form a sort of \u201cwhat happened\u201d narrative, as well as comparing the Colts against all other teams in the league. For a glossary of the stats listed, reference Season Stats<\/a>. Thanks to Pro Football Reference<\/a>, NFL.com<\/a>, Pro Football Focus<\/a> and the nflFastR project<\/a> for being awesome sources of weekly data.<\/p>\n

The first drive of the game looked like it was going to be a long day for the Colts. The Raiders opened with a 29-yard completion and marched 83 yards to the Colts\u2019 3-yard line before a timely Tyquan Lewis sack set up 3rd-and-14 and Las Vegas eventually settled for a field goal.<\/p>\n

However, after that opening drive, the Raiders\u2019 offense stalled, as the Colts\u2019 defense kept them off the scoreboard for the next six consecutive possessions. The Raiders managed a respectable 72.4% Drive Success Rate with 21 first downs, but most of their production came during garbage time\u2014and they still managed to come away with only 3 additional points from it.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nMouseover for definitions:
\nPPD,
\nAdj PPD,
\nW-L,
\nPyth Wins,
\nPPG,
\nYds,
\nDSR,
\nStrt Fld,
\nyds\/ply,
\nEPA\/ply,
\nadj TSR,
\n1st\/ply,
\nPen 1st\/ Yds,
\n3DC,
\n3rd ytg,
\nExpl Plys,
\nTO,
\nTOP%\n<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Point-wise, it was the best defensive performance of the week. The Colts held the Raiders to the lowest yards per play and the 3rd-lowest EPA per play.<\/p>\n

Metrics like Success Rate (15th) weren\u2019t as impressive, but playing with a commanding lead had a lot to do with that. Also, the Colts did give up three first downs via penalties, but they made up for it with two takeaways.<\/p>\n

On the year, the defense jumps 6 spots to 15th.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nMouseover definitions:
\nEPA\/db,
\nAdj EPA\/d,
\nPSR,
\nCmp,
\nAtt,
\nYds,
\nTD,
\n Int,
\nSck,
\nSck Y,
\nSck Fum,
\nScrm,
\nScrm Yds,
\nScrm TD,
\nScrm Fum,
\n1st\/db,
\nny\/d,
\ncmp %,
\naDOT,
\nCPOE,
\nAir Yd,
\nYAC,
\n20+ #\/Yd\n<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The Colts held Geno Smith to the 4th-lowest EPA per dropback, with two interceptions playing a big role in that. It also didn\u2019t help the Raiders that they posted the lowest yards per dropback\u2014partly due to being sacked four times for a loss of 38 yards, but also because Geno was forced into the 3rd-shortest pass attempts, and the receivers\u2019 13th-shortest YAC couldn\u2019t make up for it.<\/p>\n

This performance pushes the Colts\u2019 defense all the way up to 9th best against the pass after adjusting for opponent.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nMouseover definitions:
\nwgt RSR,
\nadj RSR,
\nYDS,
\nCAR,
\nTD,
\n1st,
\nFum Lost,
\nRSR,
\n1st\/c,
\nYPC,
\n10+ #\/Yd,
\n3rd,
\nEPA\/c,\n<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Game script kept the Raiders from running the ball much, and when they did, they didn\u2019t get much value from it. The Colts held them to the 10th-lowest rush play conversion rate and the 11th-lowest EPA per carry.<\/p>\n

The Raiders did manage to convert 3 of 4 rushing third downs, but when accounting for game situation, Las Vegas posted the 8th-worst rushing success rate of the week.<\/p>\n

On the year, the Colts are still below average against the run, ranking 21st on an opponent-adjusted basis.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The Raiders were successful on their first scripted drive, but after that, the Colts shut them down with ease\u2014both through the air and on the ground. Part of me wishes it had been a closer game, just to see if those last two drives were truly the Colts easing off the gas, but the more rational part of me just wishes it had been a bigger blowout.<\/p>\n

In general, the defense seems to be better against the pass than the run\u2014but of course, we haven\u2019t faced many top-tier quarterbacks yet.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous Colts game and…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":434930,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2059],"tags":[2005,7,2004,392,7711,20123,2381,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-434929","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-indianapolis-colts","8":"tag-colts","9":"tag-football","10":"tag-indianapolis","11":"tag-indianapolis-colts","12":"tag-indianapolis-colts-roster","13":"tag-indianapolis-colts-scores-results","14":"tag-indianapoliscolts","15":"tag-nfl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115349210082417651","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=434929"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434929\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/434930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=434929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=434929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=434929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}