The NFL heads to Madrid on Sunday for a clash between the Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins.<\/p>\n
Washington has been decimated by injuries, and my Commanders vs. Dolphins predictions expect Miami to take advantage in Week 11. Here are my NFL picks<\/a> for this clash in Spain on Sunday, November 16.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed? Commanders vs Dolphins prediction<\/p>\n Commanders vs Dolphins Best bet: Dolphins -2.5 (-112)<\/p>\n The Miami Dolphins<\/a> have been wildly inconsistent this season, but they’re coming off a 30-13 victory against the Buffalo Bills. They also beat the Atlanta Falcons by 24 points on the road two weeks ago, and now they face a struggling Washington Commanders<\/a> squad.<\/p>\n The Commanders are 0-5 straight up and against the spread in their last five games, with four of those defeats coming by more than 20 points.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n Franchise quarterback Jayden Daniels is out with an elbow injury, with No. 1 wide receiver Terry McLaurin sidelined as well. McLaurin isn’t the only WR on the injury list, as Noah Brown, Luke McCaffrey, and Treylon Burks are also out.<\/p>\n With backup Marcus Mariota<\/a> throwing to that injury-plagued WR corps, Washington won’t be able to take advantage of a weak Dolphins’ secondary.<\/p>\n On the other side of the ball, the Commanders will be without their two best corners in Marshon Lattimore and Trey Amos. They also lost top edge rusher Dorrance Armstrong to a season-ending injury a few weeks ago, and their best defensive lineman, Daron Payne, will serve a one-game suspension.<\/p>\n Washington’s stop unit has just four sacks in its last four games and ranks dead last in the league in defensive dropback EPA. With Tua Tagovailoa<\/a> having time to operate in the pocket, expect Miami to move the ball.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n MORE NFL FREE PICKS<\/a><\/p>\n Commanders vs Dolphins same-game parlay<\/p>\n The primary reason I like the Dolphins to cover is because I expect their offense to put up points against a struggling and banged-up Washington D.<\/p>\n The Commanders are 29th in the league in ppg allowed (28.0), with that number soaring to 38.5 over their last four contests.<\/p>\n With Tyreek Hill out with a season-ending knee injury, Jaylen Waddle<\/a> has become the unquestioned top dog in Miami’s WR room. He’s racked up more than 80 receiving yards in five of his last six contests, and Washington allows the second-most receiving yards per game (177.9) to opposing wide receivers.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n De’Von Achane<\/a> has been the Dolphins’ top offensive weapon and has scored a touchdown in seven of 10 games this year \u2014 including all three Miami wins.<\/p>\n Commanders vs Dolphins SGP<\/p>\n Dolphins team total Over 24.5<\/p>\n Jaylen Waddle Over 78.5 receiving yards<\/p>\n De’Von Achane anytime touchdown<\/p>\n Our big-ticket SGP: Ertz so good<\/p>\n Zach Ertz<\/a> is one of the few reliable pass catchers remaining on Washington’s roster, and Miami is 25th in the league in DVOA against tight ends.<\/p>\n Commanders vs Dolphins SGP<\/p>\n Dolphins team total Over 24.5<\/p>\n Jaylen Waddle Over 78.5 receiving yards<\/p>\n De’Von Achane anytime touchdown<\/p>\n Zach Ertz Over 43.5 receiving yards<\/p>\n Commanders vs Dolphins odds<\/p>\n Spread: Commanders +2.5 (-108) | Dolphins -2.5 (-112)<\/p>\n Moneyline: Commanders +126 | Dolphins -148<\/p>\n Over\/Under: Over 47.5 (-104) | Under (-118)<\/p>\n More NFL picks and odds from CoversCommanders vs Dolphins trend to know<\/p>\n The Commanders are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games. Find more NFL betting trends<\/a> for Commanders vs. Dolphins.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n How to watch Commanders vs Dolphins<\/p>\n Location<\/p>\n Santiago Bernab\u00e9u, Madrid, Spain<\/p>\n Date<\/p>\n Sunday, November 16, 2025<\/p>\n Kickoff<\/p>\n 9:30 a.m. ET<\/p>\n TV<\/p>\n NFLN<\/p>\n Commanders vs Dolphins latest injuriesCommanders vs Dolphins weather<\/p>\n Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info<\/a> and learn how weather impacts NFL betting<\/a>.<\/p>\n Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The NFL heads to Madrid on Sunday for a clash between the Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins. 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