{"id":539923,"date":"2025-11-20T11:01:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T11:01:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/539923\/"},"modified":"2025-11-20T11:01:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T11:01:08","slug":"colts-playoff-chances-and-playoff-picture-ahead-of-chiefs-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/539923\/","title":{"rendered":"Colts playoff chances and playoff picture ahead of Chiefs game"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Colts<\/a> play the vaunted — but struggling Kansas City Chiefs — on Sunday in one of the NFL’s premier games of the week … and it really won’t mean much to the Colts’ playoff chances.<\/p>\n

The New York Times’ NFL Playoff Simulator gives the Colts a 94% chance to make the playoffs and a 78% chance to win the division. That’s not a surprise when a team is two games up on the second-place team (Jacksonville)in the division and has a three-game lead on the eighth-place teams in the conference (Houston, Kansas City and Baltimore are 5-5).<\/p>\n

What’s a little surprising is how little impact losing to Kansas City would seem to have on the bigger prizes. The Colts currently have a 20% chance to get the 1 seed and a 58% chance to host a playoff game.<\/p>\n

>> If the Colts win, they have a 32% chance at the 1 seed and a 53% chance to host a playoff game<\/p>\n

>> If the Colts lose, it’s a 12% chance at the 1 seed and a 61% shot at hosting a playoff game<\/p>\n

Obviously, winning is better but even losing means the Colts have a 73% chance of, at worst, hosting a playoff game.<\/p>\n

Joel A. Erickson<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Nathan Brown<\/a>\u00a0cover the Colts\u00a0all season. Get more coverage on\u00a0IndyStarTV<\/a>\u00a0and with the\u00a0Colts Insider newsletter<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Colts play the vaunted — but struggling Kansas City Chiefs — on Sunday in one of the…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":482031,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[247,265,2005,622,7,20842,2004,392,248,267,246,206,80181,88,6,35196,84,245,264,9,266,2618,225],"class_list":{"0":"post-539923","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl-playoffs","8":"tag-american","9":"tag-american-football","10":"tag-colts","11":"tag-company","12":"tag-football","13":"tag-hub","14":"tag-indianapolis","15":"tag-indianapolis-colts","16":"tag-national","17":"tag-national-sports","18":"tag-neutral","19":"tag-new","20":"tag-new-york-times-company","21":"tag-news","22":"tag-nfl","23":"tag-nfl-hub","24":"tag-nfl-playoffs","25":"tag-overall","26":"tag-overall-neutral","27":"tag-sports","28":"tag-sports-news","29":"tag-times","30":"tag-york"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115581687229058187","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/539923","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=539923"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/539923\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/482031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=539923"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=539923"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=539923"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}