{"id":560851,"date":"2025-11-28T12:18:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T12:18:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/560851\/"},"modified":"2025-11-28T12:18:47","modified_gmt":"2025-11-28T12:18:47","slug":"buffalo-bills-trending-up-down-ahead-of-week-13-at-pittsburgh-steelers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/560851\/","title":{"rendered":"Buffalo Bills trending up\/down ahead of Week 13 at Pittsburgh Steelers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Buffalo Bills\u2019 23-19 defeat to the Houston Texans in Week 12 felt like a punch to the gut \u2014 it was a wake-up call to a 7-4 contender for their playoff aspirations. Quarterback Josh Allen endured a brutal eight-sack onslaught from Houston\u2019s vaunted No. 1-ranked defense, which racked up 28 pressures and three turnovers, including two interceptions off Allen. The final drive died on a 4th &amp; 6 incompletion, leaving Buffalo\u2019s faithful stunned.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Yet amid the failures, a few glimpses of hope emerged, while glaring issues deserve scrutiny. Here\u2019s my deep dive into the top three Heroes trending up, the top three Head Scratchers trending down, and honorable mentions on both sides \u2014 as usual, backed by stats and advanced metrics that justify the individual impacts.<\/p>\n<p>Heroes: The Standouts Who Kept the Flame Alive<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In a game where the offense sputtered to a league-worst -0.12 EPA per play (per NFL Next Gen Stats), these performers provided sparks that nearly ignited a comeback. Their efforts highlight resilience against a Texans defense allowing just 16.9 points per game entering the matchup.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.buffalorumblings.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/51\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247134586.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,3.3397766323024,100,93.320446735395\" data-pswp-height=\"2896.6666666666665\" data-pswp-width=\"4345\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 20: Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir (10) goes out of bunds after successfully carrying the ball in the fourth quarter during the NFL game between the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans on November 20, 2025 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson\/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247134586.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>HOUSTON, TX &#8211; NOVEMBER 20: Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir (10) goes out of bunds after successfully carrying the ball in the fourth quarter during the NFL game between the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans on November 20, 2025 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson\/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) Icon Sportswire via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Wide receiver Khalil Shakir emerged as Josh Allen\u2019s most reliable target, and the only one he actually seems to trust, hauling in eight of 10 targets for 110 receiving yards \u2014 a season-high that included several clutch conversions on third down. His 82.3 Pro Football Focus (PFF) receiving grade was the highest among Bills skill players, and he generated a league-leading 3.2 yards per route run against Houston\u2019s man coverage schemes. Advanced metrics highlight his efficiency: Shakir\u2019s 94.7 PFF grade on short passes (under 10 yards) underscores his role as a chain-mover in an offense desperate for separation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With injuries sidelining other receivers, Shakir\u2019s rapport with Allen (now 28 completions on 35 targets this season) positions him as the de facto WR1 moving forward. His stock is skyrocketing each week \u2014 expect eight to 10 targets per game in favorable matchups.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.buffalorumblings.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/51\/2025\/11\/imagn-27639216.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"2602\" data-pswp-width=\"3903\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"Nov 20, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Buffalo Bills running back James Cook III (4) runs against Houston Texans linebacker Henry To\u2019oTo\u2019o (39) in the fourth quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/imagn-27639216.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nov 20, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Buffalo Bills running back James Cook III (4) runs against Houston Texans linebacker Henry To\u2019oTo\u2019o (39) in the fourth quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images Thomas Shea-Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Running back James Cook\u2019s 45-yard scamper for Buffalo\u2019s lone offensive touchdown in the first quarter wasn\u2019t just explosive \u2014 it was historic. It pushed him over 1,000 rushing yards for the third straight season, a franchise feat shared only with NFL Hall of Fame running backs O.J. Simpson and Thurman Thomas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">He finished with 116 yards on 17 carries (6.8 YPC), including a 4.2 EPA on that touchdown run alone. Against a Texans front seven that ranks top-five in run-stop win rate (38%), Cook\u2019s 76.5 PFF rushing grade highlighted his burst (top-10 in NFL at 0.18 missed tackles forced per attempt). His vision and elusiveness kept drives alive, making him indispensable to a Bills offense that has struggled on clear passing downs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">On a day when a lot of things didn\u2019t work on offense, Cook certainly was an option to slow down Houston\u2019s pass rush and make things less complicated for Josh Allen and the offensive line.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.buffalorumblings.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/51\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247964207.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0.0041673612268696,0,99.991665277546,100\" data-pswp-height=\"3999\" data-pswp-width=\"5998.5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 20: Cole Bishop #24 of the Buffalo Bills lines up before the snap during an NFL football game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 20, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill\/Getty Images)\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247964207.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>HOUSTON, TX &#8211; NOVEMBER 20: Cole Bishop #24 of the Buffalo Bills lines up before the snap during an NFL football game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 20, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">On a night when the secondary started slowly but ended up locking the Texans\u2019 offense up, safety Cole Bishop was the defensive anchor, logging six tackles (3 solo) and flying all over the place. His 78.9 PFF coverage grade was Buffalo\u2019s best among DBs, including a critical third-down stop on wide receiver Nico Collins that forced a punt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Advanced tracking data reveals Bishop covering 28 yards in the air on his reps, with a 91.2% success rate in run support \u2014 that\u2019s elite for a second-year player thrust into a starting role for the first time in his career. Bishop\u2019s instincts shone in zone looks, where he limited Houston to 4.2 yards per target underneath.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">As the Bills\u2019 youth movement takes shape, his poise suggests he\u2019s no fluke. Bishop is another player with his stock rising fast \u2014 a potential Pro Bowl dark horse by season\u2019s end.<\/p>\n<p>Trending Down: Warning Signs Exposed<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The loss amplified longstanding issues, particularly up front, where protection crumbled, and execution faltered.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.buffalorumblings.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/51\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247963265.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0.0097732603596512,0,99.980453479281,100\" data-pswp-height=\"3410\" data-pswp-width=\"5115\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 20: Dion Dawkins #73 of the Buffalo Bills drops back to block during an NFL football game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 20, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill\/Getty Images)\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247963265.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>HOUSTON, TX &#8211; NOVEMBER 20: Dion Dawkins #73 of the Buffalo Bills drops back to block during an NFL football game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 20, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Left tackle Dion Dawkins\u2019 veteran lapses were glaring, allowing three pressures and two sacks on 32 pass-blocking reps \u2014 a 15.6% rate that ranked dead last among starting left tackles in Week 12, per PFF\u2019s 39.4 pass-block grade. Next Gen Stats tracking exposed his quit on several reps: he disengaged early on four of Anderson\u2019s rushes, yielding a 2.8-second pocket collapse time when blitzed \u2014 making things worse for Allen\u2019s 8-sack nightmare.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">His run-blocking held at a middling 62.1 grade, but the killer was a false start on 4th &amp; 1 late in the fourth, putting the Bills in a 4th &amp; 6 scenario and then getting beat again, allowing a Texans defender to get into Allen\u2019s face and rushing his decision and throw.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For an All-Pro-caliber vet in Year 8, that\u2019s inexcusable; his 7.2% penalty rate this season is up from a 4.1% career rate, signaling focus issues. Dawkins\u2019 exposure left Allen scrambling 12 times to his side alone. His stock is down, with leadership questions swirling.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.buffalorumblings.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/51\/2025\/11\/imagn-27535640.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,1.7188103514871,100,96.562379297026\" data-pswp-height=\"1666.6666666666667\" data-pswp-width=\"2500\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"Brandon Beane, general manager of then Buffalo Bills, heads off the field at the end of practice at the Buffalo Bills training camp at St. John Fisher University in Pittsford on July 24, 2025.\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/imagn-27535640.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Brandon Beane, general manager of then Buffalo Bills, heads off the field at the end of practice at the Buffalo Bills training camp at St. John Fisher University in Pittsford on July 24, 2025. Tina MacIntyre-Yee\/Democrat and Chronicle \/ USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">General manager Brandon Beane\u2019s offseason bravado \u2014 berating radio hosts with expletives, insisting \u201cwe can win a championship with this wide receiver room\u201d despite the obvious lack of top-notch talent in the group \u2014aged like milk after Houston\u2019s secondary showed zero fear of getting beat deep, playing man, and feasting on underneath throws. Then, after refusing to pay the price for a talent like wide receiver Jaylen Waddle at the trade deadline, Beane signed veteran wide receivers Mecole Hardman (now on Injured Reserve) and now Brandin Cooks to the 53-man roster. It\u2019s a desperation move contradicting his April rant and trade-deadline inaction (\u201cno deals came together\u201d).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Metrics mock the irony: Buffalo\u2019s wide receivers rank 24th in separation rate (32.1%), per PlayerProfiler, and Cooks (age 32, 4.8 YPRR career low) won\u2019t fix a group allowing 1.2 EPA\/Target in man coverage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s an awful look for the overconfident Beane, making the trust in his vision and capabilities of building a contender around Josh Allen falter as the AFC East\u2019s sixth consecutive title seems like a long shot. Worse yet, even making the playoffs starts to become a question mark.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.buffalorumblings.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/51\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247491775.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,1.518412242946,100,96.963175514108\" data-pswp-height=\"2703.333333333333\" data-pswp-width=\"4055\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 16: Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Joe Brady on the field before a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Highmark Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig\/Getty Images)\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/gettyimages-2247491775.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK &#8211; NOVEMBER 16: Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Joe Brady on the field before a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Highmark Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Offensive coordinator Joe Brady\u2019s play-calling imploded against Houston\u2019s ferocious pass-rush duo of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, who combined for 4.5 sacks. He leaned heavily on five-man protections (used on 62% of dropbacks, per Next Gen data), which morphed into de facto four-man schemes when the Texans\u2019 spy occupied an interior lineman \u2014 exposing Allen to a 28.4% pressure rate, the highest of the season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Brady never adjusted after halftime, sticking to his incredibly predictable tendencies that yielded just 4.1 yards per play on third downs (bottom-3 league-wide). His early abandonment of the run despite James Cook\u2019s efficiency doomed drives.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Pro Football Focus charts show 14 \u201cbad play calls\u201d leading to negative outcomes, and his approach exposed his offensive linemen to one-on-one matchups against a player of Will Anderson\u2019s caliber (12.5% pressure rate). The result? Eight sacks and 28 pressures, with Brady\u2019s calls yielding a -1.4 EPA on third downs (bottom-third league-wide).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Allen vented frustration over questionable decisions on the sidelines. Protecting the franchise\u2019s $250 million asset shouldn\u2019t come with such reckless exposure. Despite head coach Sean McDermott\u2019s support, his seat has to be getting hotter.<\/p>\n<p>Fullback Reggie Gilliam (76.4 PFF grade for lead-blocking on Cook\u2019s big runs)Center Connor McGovern (75.2 PFF pass-block grade, one of few O-linemen not whistled for pressures)CB Tre\u2019Davious White (5 tackles including 3 solo, 2 passes defended with a 72.1 PFF coverage grade \u2014 his season-best)Guard O\u2019Cyrus Torrence (38.9 PFF grade, 2 sacks and 4 pressures allowed amid leverage woes)CB Taron Johnson (5 tackles and good run support, but allowed 6 receptions for 85 yards, earning a 48.3 PFF coverage grade \u2014 his lowest since Week 5 of 2024. Allowed an opponent\u2019s passer rating of 109.7 and 2.9 yards per route run)DT T.J. Sanders (the second-round pick posted zero pressures or run stops in his last two games, has lined up as DE recently, with a dismal 41.7 PFF grade overall and 2.3 yards per carry allowed in those sub-packages \u2014 another high Beane draft choice underperforming while the D-line leaks).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This loss stings, but the Bills\u2019 resilience \u2014 the team still had a real shot at winning in Week 12 late despite all the clear issues evident all game long \u2014 hints at a possibility of still competing in a wide-open AFC. Adjustments will be needed, though. Cooks having some gas left in the tank should help \u2014 if Brady actually uses him consistently in the offense. Heavy rotations in the wide receivers room don\u2019t inspire confidence. Better\/less predictable play-calling can also do wonders for this offense.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">On the other side of the ball, McDermott and defensive coordinator Bobby Babich seem capable of making the defense play well for stretches. The problem is, what about the other periods of the game? The run defense has been bad for a while now, and it\u2019s been a long time since this unit has put together a complete game. It\u2019s always a good half after an awful one, or the other way around.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Overall, the Bills have a very flawed roster with questionable schemes on both sides of the ball. To make things worse, injuries have piled up. The coaches insist on heavy rotations all over the positional groups, on both sides of the ball, making it difficult for players to know their real roles, build up confidence and chemistry with the few starters who have their roles well established.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Josh Allen has managed to lead Buffalo to a winning record, but it\u2019s clear he hasn\u2019t been comfortable, and the demands with such a poor operation being run around him have affected his play, making him more mistake-prone. Time will tell, but it doesn\u2019t look like this team will be able to overcome its flaws \u2014 not without some changes that I don\u2019t believe are possible at this point in the season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Catch up on all this and more with the latest edition of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/live\/siQSDD7Y3vM?si=NSfczcKJQSUbpj1T\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Leading the Charge<\/a>!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Buffalo Bills\u2019 23-19 defeat to the Houston Texans in Week 12 felt like a punch to the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":560852,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2056],"tags":[7,221,253,2368,6,320,222],"class_list":{"0":"post-560851","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-texans","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-houston","10":"tag-houston-texans","11":"tag-houstontexans","12":"tag-nfl","13":"tag-opinion","14":"tag-texans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115627292567514787","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560851","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=560851"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560851\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/560852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=560851"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=560851"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=560851"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}