{"id":60442,"date":"2025-05-18T17:58:13","date_gmt":"2025-05-18T17:58:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/60442\/"},"modified":"2025-05-18T17:58:13","modified_gmt":"2025-05-18T17:58:13","slug":"texans-win-probability-for-every-game-on-2025-schedule","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/60442\/","title":{"rendered":"Texans’ win probability for every game on 2025 schedule"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Houston Texans<\/a> have high expectations heading into the 2025 season following back-to-back AFC South division titles and a pair of postseason wins behind C.J. Stroud and DeMeco Ryans. With new offensive coordinator Nick Caley in place, big things are expected from the passing game to pair with a potential top-three defense.<\/p>\n

In addition to facing their AFC South foes twice, the Texans will play the NFC West and AFC West next season, which includes home games against the Las Vegas Raiders<\/a> and Arizona Cardinals<\/a>, as well as away games against the two Los Angeles franchises and the Kansas City Chiefs<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

With the Texans finishing first in the AFC South, they’ll also face the same-place finisher in the AFC North (Baltimore Ravens<\/a>) and AFC East (Buffalo Bills<\/a>). With that additional 17th game, they’ll face the NFC South same-place finisher (Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/a>) at NRG Stadium.<\/p>\n

ESPN has released its 2025 projections<\/a>, including win probability for all 17 games for each team. Where do they project the Texans to finish in 2025 and how many of their 17 games do they have a favorable win probability in? Here’s a look:<\/p>\n

Texans win probabilities for every 2025 game<\/p>\n

Week 2: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51%)<\/p>\n

Week 5: at Baltimore Ravens (20%)<\/p>\n

Week 7: at Seattle Seahawks (55%)<\/p>\n

Week 8: vs, San Francisco 49ers (67%)<\/p>\n

Week 10: at Jacksonville Jaguars (71%)<\/p>\n

Week 11: vs. Tennessee Titans (68%)<\/p>\n

Week 12: at Buffalo Bills (41%)<\/p>\n

Week 14: at Kansas City Chiefs (42%)<\/p>\n

Week 15: vs. Arizona Cardinals (62%)<\/p>\n

Week 16: vs. Las Vegas Raiders (73%)<\/p>\n

Week 18: vs. Indianapolis Colts (64%)<\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Texans Wire: Texans’ win probability for every game on 2025 schedule<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Houston Texans have high expectations heading into the 2025 season following back-to-back AFC South division titles and…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":60443,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2056],"tags":[1466,390,117,53,1028,3607,258,7,221,253,2368,392,125,110,393,1014,262,58,1593,6,15986,252,261,250,394,222,7577],"class_list":{"0":"post-60442","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-texans","8":"tag-afc-south","9":"tag-arizona-cardinals","10":"tag-baltimore-ravens","11":"tag-buffalo-bills","12":"tag-c-j-stroud","13":"tag-demeco-ryans","14":"tag-denver-broncos","15":"tag-football","16":"tag-houston","17":"tag-houston-texans","18":"tag-houstontexans","19":"tag-indianapolis-colts","20":"tag-jacksonville-jaguars","21":"tag-kansas-city-chiefs","22":"tag-las-vegas-raiders","23":"tag-los-angeles","24":"tag-los-angeles-chargers","25":"tag-los-angeles-rams","26":"tag-nfc-west","27":"tag-nfl","28":"tag-nick-caley","29":"tag-san-francisco-49ers","30":"tag-seattle-seahawks","31":"tag-tampa-bay-buccaneers","32":"tag-tennessee-titans","33":"tag-texans","34":"tag-the-texans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/114530137134519486","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60442","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60442"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60442\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60443"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}