{"id":640858,"date":"2025-12-30T17:02:12","date_gmt":"2025-12-30T17:02:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/640858\/"},"modified":"2025-12-30T17:02:12","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T17:02:12","slug":"nfc-playoff-scenarios-the-49ers-could-be-the-1st-5th-or-6th-seed-after-rams-loss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/640858\/","title":{"rendered":"NFC Playoff scenarios: The 49ers could be the 1st, 5th, or 6th seed after Rams loss"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The San Francisco 49ers have quite a few playoff scenarios that could happen in the final week of the regular season, as they\u2019re vying for the No. 1 seed in the NFC.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The 49ers will play the Seahawks for the No. 1 seed next weekend at Levi\u2019s Stadium, with the winner getting the coveted first-round bye. But, after the Los Angeles Rams had a surprise 27-24 loss to the Atlanta Falcons, there are a few more scenarios for how the NFC playoff seeding could end up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Let\u2019s break it all down, starting with the guarantees.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">As mentioned, the No. 1 seed will be either the 49ers or the Seahawks, as the winner will have the best record in the conference.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The No. 2 and No. 3 seeds will be the Chicago Bears and the Philadelphia Eagles, with the order determined by the Week 18 matchups. If Chicago beats the Detroit Lions, they\u2019re the No. 2 seed. If they lose and the Eagles beat the Washington Commanders, they\u2019ll flip.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The No. 4 seed will be the winner of the NFC South, which got a little more complicated after Atlanta\u2019s win on Monday. If the Carolina Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they\u2019re in.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If Tampa Bay wins, they\u2019re not guaranteed a playoff spot. Because if the Falcons win again in Week 18 against the New Orleans Saints, there would be a three-way tie in the division, with the tiebreaker going to Carolina. So, Tampa Bay needs a win and an Atlanta loss to make the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Green Bay Packers are also set as the No. 7 seed. So, the final three spots (No. 1, No. 5, No. 6) are between the 49ers, Seahawks, and Rams. Here\u2019s how all the scenarios play out:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Seahawks win, and Rams win\u2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Seahawks win, and Rams lose\u2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If the 49ers win, the Seahawks would still have a better record than Los Angeles (13-4 vs. 12-5). If they lose and the Rams win against the Arizona Cardinals, though, San Francisco and Los Angeles would each have a 12-5 record.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In that scenario, the tiebreaker goes first to head-to-head record, which is a split. Then, it goes to division record, where both teams would be 4-2. Then, because they are divisional opponents, it goes to common opponent record. The Rams are 6-2 in those games, while the 49ers are 5-3. So, the Rams would get the No. 5 seed, and San Francisco would fall to No. 6.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If the 49ers don\u2019t get the No. 1 seed, the No. 5 seed would provide a better matchup as they\u2019d face either the Buccaneers, who have lost seven of their last eight, or the Panthers, whom they\u2019ve already beaten. But, it\u2019s looking unlikely that scenario plays out with Los Angeles being a considerable favorite at home over the 3-13 Cardinals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Currently, FPI gives the 49ers a 50.6 percent chance at the No. 1 seed, a 9.5 percent chance at the No. 5 seed, and a 39.9 percent chance at the No. 6 seed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The San Francisco 49ers have quite a few playoff scenarios that could happen in the final week of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":636958,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2081],"tags":[7,6,83990,1137,11446,238,237,261,2635],"class_list":{"0":"post-640858","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-seattle-seahawks","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-nfl","10":"tag-san-francisco-49ers-playoffs","11":"tag-san-francisco-49ers-news","12":"tag-san-francisco-49ers-schedule","13":"tag-seahawks","14":"tag-seattle","15":"tag-seattle-seahawks","16":"tag-seattleseahawks"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115809599269630557","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/640858","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=640858"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/640858\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/636958"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=640858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=640858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=640858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}