{"id":658508,"date":"2026-01-06T13:25:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T13:25:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/658508\/"},"modified":"2026-01-06T13:25:10","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T13:25:10","slug":"insights-into-afc-wild-card-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/658508\/","title":{"rendered":"Insights into AFC wild-card game"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Who has the advantage and where in the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills AFC wild-card matchup?<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/jaguarswire.usatoday.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jacksonville Jaguars<\/a> will host the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/buffalo-bills\/324\" data-autotag=\"1082767b-7fb4-4f44-b217-cdba2c3895e9\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Buffalo Bills<\/a> in the <a href=\"https:\/\/jaguarswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nfl\/jaguars\/2026\/01\/05\/everything-know-jaguars-bills-afc-wild-card-game\/88029301007\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFC wild-card round<\/a> of the NFL playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>So who has the advantage in key areas of this week&#8217;s game?<\/p>\n<p>When looking at this week&#8217;s matchup, as we know, the game is not played on paper. However, where these two teams rank in these key statistical areas could provide us with some valuable insight into where the\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/jacksonville-jaguars\/365\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Jaguars<\/a>\u00a0may have the upper hand in this game and also where they may not.<\/p>\n<p>With so much information out there nowadays, I did my best to boil this article down to the need-to-know statistics for this matchup that do still carry a lot of weight.<\/p>\n<p>This includes the run game performance, passing game performance, pressures, turnovers, third down and red zone success, and of course, points.<\/p>\n<p>With help from\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.teamrankings.com\/nfl\/stat\/opponent-red-zone-scoring-pct\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Team Rankings<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/years\/2025\/passing_advanced.htm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pro Football Reference<\/a>, here is how the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/jacksonville-jaguars\/365\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Jaguars<\/a>\u00a0match up stat-wise with the Bills in the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>Points per game: 27.9 (6th)Points per game allowed: 19.8 (8th)Yards per rush: 4.0 (27th)Yards per rush allowed: 3.9 (5th)Yards per pass attempt: 7.2 (11th)Yards per pass attempt allowed: 5.8 (5th)Pressure rate on QB: 22.6% (17th)Pressure rate allowed on QB: 21.8% (18th)Turnover differential: +13 (3rd)Third down conversion rate: 391% (19th)Defensive third-down conversion rate allowed: 40.3% (20th)Red zone success rate: 61.7% (10th)Defensive red zone success rate: 59.5% (T19)Buffalo BillsPoints per game: 28.3 (4th)Points per game allowed: 21.5 (12th)Yards per rush: 5.0 (2nd)Yards per rush allowed: 5.1 (30th)Yards per pass attempt: 8.0 (3rd)Yards per pass attempt allowed: 5.8 (3rd)Pressure rate on QB: 23.9% (11th)Pressure rate allowed on QB: 16.9% (3rd)Turnover differential: +1 (T12)Third down conversion rate: 44.7% (4th)Defensive third-down conversion rate allowed: 41.3% (24th)Red zone success rate: 66.5% (3rd)Defensive red zone success rate: 59.5% (T19)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Who has the advantage and where in the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills AFC wild-card matchup? The Jacksonville&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":658509,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2048],"tags":[247,265,825,215,214,53,2086,324,7,20842,212,125,213,248,267,246,88,6,35196,245,264,818,817,829,9,266,819,776],"class_list":{"0":"post-658508","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-buffalo-bills","8":"tag-american","9":"tag-american-football","10":"tag-american-football-conference","11":"tag-bills","12":"tag-buffalo","13":"tag-buffalo-bills","14":"tag-buffalobills","15":"tag-conference","16":"tag-football","17":"tag-hub","18":"tag-jacksonville","19":"tag-jacksonville-jaguars","20":"tag-jaguars","21":"tag-national","22":"tag-national-sports","23":"tag-neutral","24":"tag-news","25":"tag-nfl","26":"tag-nfl-hub","27":"tag-overall","28":"tag-overall-neutral","29":"tag-scores","30":"tag-sport","31":"tag-sport-scores-u0026-statistics","32":"tag-sports","33":"tag-sports-news","34":"tag-statistics","35":"tag-u0026"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115848382011344583","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/658508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=658508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/658508\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/658509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=658508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=658508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=658508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}