Jan. 11, 2026, 12:51 a.m. ET<\/p>\n
The No. 7 seed LA Chargers<\/a> (11-6) visit the No. 2 seed New England Patriots<\/a> (14-3) Sunday in an AFC Wild Card game. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, is at 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC \/ Peacock). Let’s analyze\u00a0BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a>\u00a0Chargers vs. Patriots odds and tab the\u00a05 best prop bets to win\u00a0among SportsbookWire’s expert\u00a0NFL picks and predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n The Chargers closed the regular season with back-to-back losses, including a 19-3 defeat at the Denver Broncos in the finale. The Chargers failed to cover as 15.5-point road underdogs as the Under (38.5) hit. QB Justin Herbert sat out the final game to rest for the playoffs after finishing the season with 3 more total touchdowns (26), but 10 additional interceptions (13) compared to last year.<\/p>\n The Patriots finished the regular season on a 3-game winning streak, closing with back-to-back blowout wins by a combined 60 points. New England capped the run with a 38-10 victory over the Miami Dolphins<\/a>, covering as 14.5-point home favorites with the Over (44.5) cashing. QB Drake Maye emerged as the franchise centerpiece, throwing for 4,394 yards with 31 TDs and 8 INTs, while adding 450 rushing yards and 4 more scores.<\/p>\n Watch the NFL on Fubo!<\/a>SNF: Odds, picks and predictions<\/a>Best Chargers at Patriots prop bets<\/p>\n Odds provided by\u00a0BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access\u00a0USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a>\u00a0for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n Patriots QB Drake Maye OVER 237.5 PASSING YARDS (-115)<\/p>\n Backing Maye to go over his passing yards prop is a strong play. Maye was one of the league\u2019s most consistent QBs in 2025, averaging 258.5 yards per game and clearing this prop number in 13 games. Over his final 10 starts, Maye topped 250 yards 8 times, with the only exceptions coming in run-heavy or late-game situations.<\/p>\n The matchup isn\u2019t easy against the Chargers, but game script should favor volume in a playoff setting. With New England likely leaning on Maye\u2019s arm, the rookie is positioned to showcase his poise and push past his yardage total.<\/p>\n Chargers WR Keenan Allen OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (-110)<\/p>\n In high-leverage games, Herbert consistently leans on his most trusted target, and that remains Allen. While Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston offer more vertical upside, Allen is Herbert\u2019s safety valve on key downs. He led the Chargers with 81 receptions this season and was targeted heavily in tough matchups, catching 4 balls or more in 13 games.<\/p>\n The matchup further supports volume. New England relies on 2-high safety looks designed to limit explosive plays, forcing offenses underneath. That coverage funnels targets to possession receivers, perfectly fitting Allen\u2019s route tree. In a game that should demand efficiency and reliability, Allen\u2019s target floor makes the over on his receptions a strong play.<\/p>\n Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 34.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)<\/p>\n Stevenson has been steady down the stretch for New England, clearing 39 rushing yards in 5 straight games and erupting for 131 yards in Week 18. He remains the Patriots\u2019 primary between-the-tackles runner and the preferred option in clock-killing situations.<\/p>\n While Treyvon Henderson brings more explosive upside, Stevenson\u2019s role is built on volume and physicality. That matters against the Chargers, who have improved defensively, but still allow 84.9 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs. With a modest rushing total and a clear workload edge, Stevenson is well positioned to clear his number.<\/p>\n Chargers QB Justin Herbert OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards (-115)<\/p>\n Herbert cleared this number in 9 games during the regular season, including 3 of his final 4, and averaged 31.1 rushing yards per game overall. His legs have become a necessary part of the Chargers offense, especially with protection issues up front.<\/p>\n Los Angeles has been without both starting tackles for much of the season, contributing to Herbert being sacked 54 times, third most in the NFL. That pressure forces him to escape the pocket and create with his legs. The Patriots generate pressure at a high rate and are well aware of Herbert\u2019s scrambling ability, which should lead to broken plays and rushing opportunities.<\/p>\n With Los Angeles entering as slight underdogs in a playoff setting, Herbert\u2019s willingness to tuck it and move the chains sets up well for him to clear his rushing total.<\/p>\n Chargers WR Tre Harris OVER 18.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)<\/p>\n This is a nice value play. The rookie has carved out a larger role down the stretch, having 18 or more receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games and doing so with consistent opportunity. Harris has seen at least 4 targets in each of those outings, a notable jump in usage since the Week 12 bye.<\/p>\n While the Chargers have multiple pass-catchers, Harris earning looks from Herbert is what matters most. With a season average of 10.8 yards per catch, he needs only 2 routine receptions to clear most low-yardage prop lines. Given the recent target volume and modest threshold, Harris is well positioned to go over his number.<\/p>\n The Huddle<\/a> has been turning players like you into winners for over 25 years. Custom fantasy football rankings, sleepers and tools are just a click away. 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