{"id":669219,"date":"2026-01-11T16:39:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T16:39:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/669219\/"},"modified":"2026-01-11T16:39:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T16:39:17","slug":"nfl-wild-card-weekend-player-props-target-josh-allen-omarion-hampton-nico-collins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/669219\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Wild Card weekend player props: Target Josh Allen, Omarion Hampton, Nico Collins"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\tGambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards<\/a> for more information.<\/p>\n

Wild Card weekend<\/a> is upon us as we head into Saturday, Sunday and Monday with seriously entertaining football on tap.<\/p>\n

We head into the playoffs after Week 18 was mostly a farce with teams sitting their players and not worrying about playoff seeding<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Noted for next year.<\/p>\n

But the reality of losing bets is what you\u2019re expecting, with us finishing the week minus two units, which dips us into the negative on the season.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve lost 0.63 units this season in an up-and-down year.<\/p>\n

New season here in the playoffs as we look to end the year in the green with star players shouldering the load and putting teams on their backs to keep them afloat.<\/p>\n

NFL Wild Card weekend player props, best bets<\/p>\n

Josh Allen Under 274.5 pass + rushing yards (-110, DraftKings<\/a>)<\/p>\n

An Under here to switch things up, as the Bills just ask Josh Allen to do way too much on a weekly basis and the Jaguars\u2019 defense is too good to expect Allen to clear this number easily.<\/p>\n

Buffalo has poor pass catchers, with really only Dalton Kincaid putting up strong numbers this late in the year, while receivers Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir and others are not exactly lighting it up.<\/p>\n

Allen may get the volume, but the Jaguars don\u2019t really let quarterbacks run on them, allowing just 3.59 yards per carry (YPC), the seventh-best figure in the league.<\/p>\n

Allen is elite, but the Jaguars\u2019 No. 6-ranked defense per DVOA is too good to allow Allen to have his way like that. <\/p>\n

\"WildJosh Allen might have a tough time against the Jaguars\u2019 defense. Getty Images<\/p>\n

Omarion Hampton Over 45.5 rushing yards (-110, DraftKings) | Over 69.5 rushing yards (+402, DraftKings) | Over 99.5 (+1920, DraftKings)<\/p>\n

DraftKings is severely undervaluing star rookie running back Omarion Hampton this week, despite declaring that he will play this week. <\/p>\n

Hampton is one player that I am particularly bullish on this week, as the Patriots are a leaky run defense that will be tested even against a bad Chargers offensive line. <\/p>\n

Los Angeles\u2019 rookie running back is averaging 4.4 YPC, and his Over\/Under rush attempts prop comes in at 12.5.<\/p>\n

Betting on the NFL? <\/p>\n

Multiply those together, and you\u2019re looking at a projected run total of 55 yards, 10 yards more than what DraftKings currently has his price at.<\/p>\n

Hampton is at 49.5 at most other sportsbooks. <\/p>\n

New England is No. 17 in the NFL in DVOA and 10th worst YPC allowed in their last three games.<\/p>\n

Hampton has cleared this number in three of his last four games, and I suspect a strong showing Sunday night in what is shaping up to be a rainy, cold game will have the Chargers looking to make it ugly rather than a shootout.<\/p>\n

\"NicoNico Collins of the Houston Texans running with the ball against Elijah Molden of the Los Angeles Chargers. Getty Images<\/p>\n

Nico Collins Over 68.5 receiving yards (-115, BetMGM<\/a>) | Anytime touchdown scorer (+150, bet365<\/a>)<\/p>\n

The Steelers are not good at defending the pass, and if Lamar Jackson were healthy last week he would have thrown for over 300 yards.<\/p>\n

Even clearly hobbled, he nailed Zay Flowers on multiple broken coverages for deep touchdowns, and I see more of the same for a top receiver like Nico Collins. <\/p>\n

The Steelers allow a lot of big plays and have the 13th-worst coverage according to Pro Football Focus.<\/p>\n

Quarterback CJ Stroud gives me some hesitation that he can play well against a tough Steelers pass rush, but Collins is Over this number in six of his last nine games and it\u2019s very low for a game against the Steelers\u2019 bad secondary.<\/p>\n

Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he\u2019s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":669220,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2056],"tags":[1107,53,7,221,253,2368,872,262,6,6020,84,9,5433,7634,222],"class_list":{"0":"post-669219","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-texans","8":"tag-betting","9":"tag-buffalo-bills","10":"tag-football","11":"tag-houston","12":"tag-houston-texans","13":"tag-houstontexans","14":"tag-josh-allen","15":"tag-los-angeles-chargers","16":"tag-nfl","17":"tag-nfl-betting","18":"tag-nfl-playoffs","19":"tag-sports","20":"tag-sports-betting","21":"tag-sports-picks","22":"tag-texans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115877456678704264","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/669219","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=669219"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/669219\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/669220"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=669219"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=669219"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=669219"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}