{"id":693858,"date":"2026-01-21T13:59:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-21T13:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/693858\/"},"modified":"2026-01-21T13:59:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T13:59:15","slug":"broncos-vs-patriots-afc-title-game-preview-history-on-the-line-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/693858\/","title":{"rendered":"Broncos vs Patriots AFC title game preview: History on the line (again)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Denver Broncos are one win away from the Super Bowl.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Now Jarrett Stidham, Sean Payton, and the Broncos will look to put forth a game that keeps the season alive this Sunday. And once again, the New England Patriots are the opponent. For those keeping track, this is the third time the Broncos will host New England in the AFC title game. This is also the first time Denver will host the AFC championship.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s no surprise that Denver is the home underdog without starting quarterback Bo Nix. FanDuel Sportsbook has the Broncos as the +5.5-point underdogs. The total sits at over\/under 42.5 points.<\/p>\n<p>Offensive Rankings (post-season) <\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">New England: Ninth in total offense (314.5 yards per game), sixth in rushing offense (125.5 YPG), 10th in passing offense (189.0 YPG), 10th in scoring offense (22.0 points per game).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Denver: Sixth in total offense (349.0 yards per game), 13th in rushing offense (70.0 YPG), third in passing offense (279.0 YPG), second in scoring offense (33.0 points per game).<\/p>\n<p>Defensive Rankings (regular season) <\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">New England: Second in total defense (224.0 yards per game), first in rushing defense (67.5 YPG), fourth in passing defense (156.5 YPG), second in scoring defense (9.5 points per game).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Denver: Fourteenth in total defense (449.0 yards per game), 14th in rushing defense (183.0 YPG), 10th in passing defense (266.0 YPG), 10th in scoring defense (30.0 points per game).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here are the MHR staff\u2019s keys to Sunday\u2019s game.<\/p>\n<p>Win the line of scrimmage<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For the Broncos to advance to Super Bowl 60, they need to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and win it. Check that, Denver needs to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Regardless of who the running back is, consistently open lanes in the run game. The Broncos offensive line also needs to give protection to Stidham. Give him time in the pocket. On defense, the front must do a better job in run defense. Denver\u2019s defense cannot get gashed on the ground as it did against the Buffalo Bills. The Broncos have the best rush in the NFL, but stopping the run is the only way for the rushers to do their job. Win the line of scrimmage, win the game. \u2014 Ian St. Clair<\/p>\n<p>Defense must win on third down<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For the Broncos to win this week, the defense needs to win on third down. They can\u2019t expect 30 points from the offense, so getting the Patriots offense off the field is priority No. 1. I\u2019m expecting Vance Joseph\u2019s creative blitz plays to be the difference maker on third downs. \u2014 sadaraine<\/p>\n<p>Limit the mistakes and miscues on offense and defense<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With Sitdham starting at quarterback, the Broncos have a tougher battle ahead of them. To defeat the Patriots and advance to Super Bowl 60, they can\u2019t afford mistakes or miscues. No turning the ball over on offense, no big-time penalties that put them at a disadvantage, and receivers can\u2019t continue to drop the ball. The offense needs to be as clean as possible, going against a formidable Patriots defense that does a good job of forcing turnovers and limiting points. The same can be said for the defense. No bone-headed penalties, and it has to stop giving up big plays on third down. \u2014 Christopher Hart<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I was frustrated that Vance Joseph and Co. didn\u2019t seem prepared for all the things we knew would be the Bills\u2019 plan going into the game. Their bread and butter is beating you up on the ground, running with Josh Allen, and getting cheap yards off play action and leak outs from their TEs, and they did all of those things at will on Saturday. Plus, they\u2019ve had success multiple times in clutch moments on the hook and ladder, and we didn\u2019t seem prepared for it on a must-have drive. I\u2019m hoping this week, we\u2019ll be a lot more focused on stopping the things New England likes to do, and I like our pass rush and secondary\u2019s chances against Drake Maye. \u2014 Jeffrey Essary<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A good early drive by he offense would do wonders for this game. It will give everyone the belief that the Broncos can beat this team without Nix. I think that\u2019s what they do, but an early touchdown by Stidham would certainly steel my nerves a bit. \u2014 Tim Lynch<\/p>\n<p>What are your keys to Sunday\u2019s game?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Denver Broncos are one win away from the Super Bowl. Now Jarrett Stidham, Sean Payton, and the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":693859,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2062],"tags":[232,231,258,61708,1151,2426,7,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-693858","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-denver-broncos","8":"tag-broncos","9":"tag-denver","10":"tag-denver-broncos","11":"tag-denver-broncos-game-information","12":"tag-denver-broncos-news","13":"tag-denverbroncos","14":"tag-football","15":"tag-nfl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/115933450707558873","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/693858","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=693858"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/693858\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/693859"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=693858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=693858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=693858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}