{"id":731630,"date":"2026-02-05T17:53:15","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T17:53:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/731630\/"},"modified":"2026-02-05T17:53:15","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T17:53:15","slug":"breaking-down-lions-financial-options-with-kerby-josephs-contract","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/731630\/","title":{"rendered":"Breaking down Lions\u2019 financial options with Kerby Joseph\u2019s contract"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This week, more conversation about the future of Detroit Lions safety Kerby Joseph was fueled by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freep.com\/videos\/sports\/nfl\/lions\/2026\/02\/03\/detroit-lions-injuries\/88494570007\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an interview between Detroit Free Press\u2019 Dave Birkett and former NFL doctor David Chao<\/a>. The two discussed Joseph\u2019s knee injury that cost him 11 games this season, and while I won\u2019t get into the details of Chao\u2019s analysis\u2014seeing as neither Birkett nor Chao appear to have a confirmed diagnosis of Joseph\u2019s condition\u2014let\u2019s just say he is not optimistic about Joseph\u2019s future in the NFL. There has been conflicting information regarding whether Joseph\u2019s knee condition is career-altering. I am not willing to speculate, nor do I desire to further fuel any theories.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">However, I think it\u2019s worth exploring the financial impact of Joseph\u2019s newly signed four-year $85 million extension, signed less than a year ago, given the uncertain nature of his future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Because the contract is fairly uniquely structured\u2014and because sites like OverTheCap and Spotrac can be slightly misleading in the way they are displaying the contracts\u2014it has led to some misunderstandings about Joseph\u2019s deal and the Lions\u2019 options moving forward. Case in point: both <a href=\"https:\/\/overthecap.com\/player\/kerby-joseph\/10142\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OTC<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spotrac.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/76973\/kerby-joseph\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Spotrac<\/a> suggest the Lions would only incur minimal dead cap hits if Detroit opted to part ways in 2027 or 2028. Unfortunately, that is not the reality. The situation is much worse.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The reasoning is that those figures don\u2019t include what is at the heart of Joseph\u2019s contract: huge option bonuses every year. The Lions opted to give Joseph low salaries each year of his contract, with the highest being $1.435 million in 2029. However, each of those salaries is accompanied by significant option bonuses, which function much like a signing bonus\u2014their cap hit is spread over the remaining years of the contract (up to five maximum). Here are those option bonus amounts for each season:<\/p>\n<p>2026 option bonus: $9,625,000 ($1.925M cap hit per year)2027 option bonus: $16,580,000 ($3.316M cap hit per year)2028 option bonus: $19,035,000 ($3.807M cap hit per year)2029 option bonus: $23,905,000 ($4.781M cap hit per year)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The advantage of option bonuses is that it lessens the cap hit each year by essentially dividing that amount by five over the next five years. For example, Joseph\u2019s $9.625 million option bonus for this year will only count $1.925 million against the cap for each of the next five years. If that was just a $9.625 million salary, all of it would count against the Lions\u2019 2026 cap.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The downside of option bonuses is that the Lions will have to deal with the larger amounts if they choose to terminate the contract early. As soon as the Lions exercise each individual option, they become guaranteed. The minute the contract is terminated, all of the remaining prorations on Joseph\u2019s contract come due on the cap immediately.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Confused? Let\u2019s use a visual of Joseph\u2019s contract to explain.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here\u2019s what Joseph\u2019s contract looks like on a per-year basis if Detroit opts to cut ties with Joseph in 2028, before that year\u2019s option bonus kicks in:<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.prideofdetroit.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/127\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-at-8.18.21%E2%80%AFPM.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"594\" data-pswp-width=\"2380\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-at-8.18.21\u202fPM.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If the Lions cut ties with Joseph in 2028, they will still owe dead cap for:<\/p>\n<p>2 signing bonus prorations (around $2.002M each)3 prorations from his 2026 option bonus ($1.925M each)4 prorations from his 2027 option bonus ($3.316M each)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That\u2019s a total of over $23 million in dead cap. If Joseph were healthy and still playing at a high level, the Lions could keep him, and his cap hit would only be $13 million for that season, thanks to this option-bonus structured contract. But, as you can see, Detroit would essentially be paying double the cap hit for Joseph not to play. As you get deeper into Joseph\u2019s contract and those option bonuses increase in size, it only becomes harder to get out of the contract at a reasonable cap hit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The (relative) good news is that it doesn\u2019t quite hurt as much if Detroit opts to cut ties after 2026. It\u2019s still not as good as the $6 million in dead cap that OTC suggests (it\u2019s over double that), but because Joseph\u2019s option bonus is only $9.625 million in 2026, it becomes a little easier to eat all at once. Here\u2019s that visual breakdown:<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.prideofdetroit.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/127\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-at-8.25.00%E2%80%AFPM.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"544\" data-pswp-width=\"2120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-04-at-8.25.00\u202fPM.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In this case, the Lions owe three signing bonus prorations and four prorations from Joseph\u2019s 2026 option bonus. That totals about $13.7 million in dead cap. Again, that number is much higher than the cap hit if Joseph plays on his 2027 cap hit ($9.16 million), so it would cost the Lions money to cut him. But that\u2019s about as clean a release as Detroit can possibly get in this contract if they want out early.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If you\u2019re wondering what it would cost to cut him this year before his 2026 option is due on March 20, there is a complication in that matter. He is due $11.5 million in guaranteed new money this year, meaning Detroit would be on the hook for that, plus the four remaining signing bonus prorations (just over $8 million), leaving a hefty $19.5 million dead cap hit, when he\u2019d only cost about $5.5 against the cap if he stayed on the team.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">At this point, we have only rumors and speculation to work off of regarding Joseph\u2019s long-term health. But when it comes to his standing on the Lions\u2019 roster and his contractual ties, the conclusion is clear: Detroit has a decision to make at the end of the 2026 season. If the outlook is positive, they can enjoy a few more seasons of relatively cheap cap hits for a top-tier safety. If there\u2019s any concern about his long-term health, the 2027 offseason is the time to cut ties, because it\u2019ll only get more and more messy after that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"This week, more conversation about the future of Detroit Lions safety Kerby Joseph was fueled by an interview&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":731631,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2026],"tags":[52187,449,7],"class_list":{"0":"post-731630","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-football","8":"tag-detroit-lions-contracts-and-salary-cap","9":"tag-detroit-lions-analysis","10":"tag-football"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116019306223543064","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/731630","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=731630"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/731630\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/731631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=731630"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=731630"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=731630"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}