{"id":734034,"date":"2026-02-06T18:56:11","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T18:56:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/734034\/"},"modified":"2026-02-06T18:56:11","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T18:56:11","slug":"sportsbooks-root-for-low-scoring-super-bowl-amid-big-prop-action","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/734034\/","title":{"rendered":"Sportsbooks root for low-scoring Super Bowl amid big prop action"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The betting total for Super Bowl LX is unusually low, but sportsbooks will be rooting for the final result to be even lower.<\/p>\n<p>At 45.5, according to DraftKings odds as of Friday afternoon, Sunday&#8217;s matchup between the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/team\/_\/name\/sea\/seattle-seahawks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Seattle Seahawks<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/team\/_\/name\/ne\/new-england-patriots\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New England Patriots<\/a> is the ninth-lowest Super Bowl over\/under in the past 40 seasons and the lowest since Super Bowl 50 between the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/team\/_\/name\/car\/carolina-panthers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Panthers<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/team\/_\/name\/den\/denver-broncos\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Broncos<\/a> in 2016 (44), a 24-10 Denver win.<\/p>\n<p>All time, the over is 29-28-1, excluding Super Bowl I, which has total data missing, according to ESPN Research.<\/p>\n<p>Editor&#8217;s Picks<\/p>\n<p>2 Related<\/p>\n<p>Early action for this year&#8217;s contest saw sharp bettors snap up the under across the sportsbook marketplace. At open, Caesars Sportsbook&#8217;s head of football Joey Feazel said his book saw big money come in on the under at 46.5 and 46 before the number settled at 45.5, adding that, &#8220;45 is the key number there; don&#8217;t see it going lower than that.&#8221; He and other bookmakers are expecting a public surge on the over as the game approaches kickoff.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a Super Bowl, so you&#8217;re going to take money on the over, just how it goes,&#8221; Feazel told ESPN. &#8220;People want to see an exciting game and I don&#8217;t blame them, so you&#8217;re going to see more action on the over.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Other bookmakers agree with that sentiment and are beginning to see over money come in heading into the weekend: theScore Bet reports 58.4% of bets on the over, with DraftKings and BetMGM each reporting a little more than half of wagers supporting a higher-scoring game.<\/p>\n<p>John Ewing, media insights manager at BetMGM, expects the total will &#8220;continue to climb again as more casual bettors come in to place their wagers.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Another reason sportsbooks are hoping for a low-scoring game is due to the cascade effect it would have on props. Anytime touchdown scorer is consistently the most-bet player prop, so a high-scoring contest would likely mean that many of those props could hit for bettors, chipping away at the sportsbook&#8217;s profits on the game.<\/p>\n<p>The unquestioned leader in that market is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4430878\/jaxon-smith-njigba\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jaxon Smith-Njigba<\/a>, who is -110 to get in the end zone, according to DraftKings, and is the most-bet player in the market at BetMGM and theScore Bet. Other popular plays include <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4567048\/kenneth-walker-iii\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kenneth Walker III<\/a> (-190), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/2977187\/cooper-kupp\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cooper Kupp<\/a> (+260) and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4431452\/drake-maye\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Drake Maye<\/a> (+275).<\/p>\n<p>Yardage props could also cause problems for sportsbooks in a high-scoring game, but so too could the unusual props that tend to attract handle for the Super Bowl, such as 2.5 players to have a pass attempt (over +160), will there be a flea-flicker attempted (yes +210), and will there be an octopus (player to score touchdown then 2-point conversion, +1500).<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I can go down a whole list of props where they bet &#8217;em and if they hit, we&#8217;re going to be losers because they&#8217;ve taken a lot of dogs, a lot of long shots on some different types of bets,&#8221; DraftKings Sportsbook director Johnny Avello told ESPN. &#8220;It doesn&#8217;t matter who wins &#8212; if this game ends up 34 to 31 somebody, that will not be a good result, because that means there&#8217;s been a lot of touchdown scorers, there&#8217;s been a lot of passing yards, there&#8217;s been a lot of receptions. The best scenario at this point is for this game to have limited scoring.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>ESPN&#8217;s David Purdum contributed to this report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The betting total for Super Bowl LX is unusually low, but sportsbooks will be rooting for the final&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":732433,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[77],"tags":[7,6,84],"class_list":{"0":"post-734034","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl-playoffs","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-nfl","10":"tag-nfl-playoffs"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116025215444344086","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/734034","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=734034"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/734034\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/732433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=734034"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=734034"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=734034"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}