{"id":763552,"date":"2026-02-20T01:55:28","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T01:55:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/763552\/"},"modified":"2026-02-20T01:55:28","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T01:55:28","slug":"atlanta-falcons-projected-win-total-for-2026-nfl-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/763552\/","title":{"rendered":"Atlanta Falcons projected win total for 2026 NFL season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Updated Feb. 19, 2026, 12:47 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_b_p\">Over the last five NFL seasons, no team has been as aggressively average as the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/atlanta-falcons\/323\" data-autotag=\"55e278ca-caf0-429b-8b4a-caeb78bff5ff\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Atlanta Falcons<\/a>. The team went 7-10 in three consecutive years under former head coach Arthur Smith (2021-2023). Raheem Morris took over as head coach in 2024 and led the Falcons to back-to-back 8-9 seasons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_b_p\">Despite the team ending the year on a four-game winning streak, Atlanta fired Morris and brought in former <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/cleveland-browns\/329\" data-autotag=\"9cb205d1-d46a-4c2c-a80a-90061986bc20\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Cleveland Browns<\/a> head coach Kevin Stefanski. Only time will tell if the Falcons made the right move, but NFL oddsmakers don&#8217;t seem to have much faith in the team&#8217;s direction.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_b_p\">For the 2026 season,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/leagues\/football\/nfl\" data-t-l=\":b|z|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a>\u00a0set the Falcons\u2019 line at 6.5 wins. The team has averaged 7.4 wins over the last five seasons. Atlanta has a talented roster, but quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is coming off an ACL reconstruction, and there are question marks at the edge rusher and tight end.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_b_p\">Check out the projected win totals for all 32 NFL teams below.<\/p>\n<p>2026 NFL projected win totals<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/arizona-cardinals\/355\" data-autotag=\"c6331531-478d-4c7a-b93a-28f5b26af3f9\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Arizona Cardinals<\/a>: 4.5 wins (Over -110 | Under -110)Atlanta Falcons: 6.5 wins (Over -140 | Under +115)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/baltimore-ravens\/366\" data-autotag=\"6f9d8950-4e8a-4277-ba96-ee5ce9eb842e\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Baltimore Ravens<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over -145 | Under +120)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/buffalo-bills\/324\" data-autotag=\"1082767b-7fb4-4f44-b217-cdba2c3895e9\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Buffalo Bills<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over -125 | Under +105)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/carolina-panthers\/364\" data-autotag=\"8afac4d1-41b4-4302-b154-b45f5b48a0d2\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Carolina Panthers<\/a>: 6.5 wins (Over -120 | Under +100)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/chicago-bears\/326\" data-autotag=\"69c69e75-f807-4542-90d2-619e6d4a23b1\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Chicago Bears<\/a>: 9.5 wins (Over +100 | Under -120)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/cincinnati-bengals\/327\" data-autotag=\"6d3e484d-5133-4c06-a871-967f8646390b\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Cincinnati Bengals<\/a>: 9.5 wins (Over -115 | Under -105)Cleveland Browns: 6.5 wins (Over +100 | Under -120)Dallas Cowboys: 8.5 wins (Over -130 | Under +110)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/denver-broncos\/332\" data-autotag=\"80ecb2c2-c4e3-4c9a-8c53-01c0a2da3542\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Denver Broncos<\/a>: 9.5 wins (Over -110 | Under -110)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/detroit-lions\/334\" data-autotag=\"a9d615a6-a025-4346-9c29-28956ed45852\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Detroit Lions<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over -130 | Under +110)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/green-bay-packers\/335\" data-autotag=\"2b76aec5-0d77-4545-9a2a-f864de5488eb\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Green Bay Packers<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over +100 | Under -120)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/houston-texans\/325\" data-autotag=\"4fdb1a06-1d90-42ff-b7f7-5268ecaf7955\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Houston Texans<\/a>: 9.5 wins (Over -110 | Under -110)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/indianapolis-colts\/338\" data-autotag=\"d3fda36a-3eb5-4700-8763-caba831c06ae\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Indianapolis Colts<\/a>: 8.5 wins (Over +105 | Under -125)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/jacksonville-jaguars\/365\" data-autotag=\"0e187629-debe-49e8-9e02-83bd36ad3fcc\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Jacksonville Jaguars<\/a>: 9.5 wins (Over +100 | Under -120)Kansas City Chiefs: 10.5 wins (Over -105 | Under -115)Los Angeles Chargers: 10.5 wins (Over +110 | Under -130)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/los-angeles-rams\/343\" data-autotag=\"f489e821-d3f9-4cff-bec5-7eaa0f4b51cb\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Los Angeles Rams<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over -140 | Under +115)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/las-vegas-raiders\/341\" data-autotag=\"ce712068-67db-47b5-b6da-5d6ec8fefe0f\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Las Vegas Raiders<\/a>: 6.5 wins (Over +115 | Under -140)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/miami-dolphins\/345\" data-autotag=\"22ef43a4-dc5a-43ce-87cd-912a7e348a81\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Miami Dolphins<\/a>: 4.5 wins (Over -110 | Under -110)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/minnesota-vikings\/347\" data-autotag=\"839728ed-97f0-4c7c-9ea6-299b7540514e\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Minnesota Vikings<\/a>: 8.5 wins (Over +115 | Under -140)New England Patriots: 9.5 wins (Over -140 | Under +115)New Orleans Saints: 7.5 wins (Over +100 | Under -120)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/new-york-giants\/351\" data-autotag=\"9402befb-12da-4b26-905a-81ab1fea0850\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">New York Giants<\/a>: 7.5 wins (Over +110 | Under -130)New York Jets: 6.5 wins (Over +115 | Under -140)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/philadelphia-eagles\/354\" data-autotag=\"c1b3a094-e294-4a77-b1b2-dbdbd5bfa2c5\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Philadelphia Eagles<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over +105 | Under -125)Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 wins (Over +115 | Under -140)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/seattle-seahawks\/361\" data-autotag=\"91fb7995-f6cd-4aa3-adbc-98eb39d76a79\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Seattle Seahawks<\/a>: 10.5 wins (Over -130 | Under +110)San Francisco 49ers: 10.5 wins (Over +125 | Under -150)<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/teams\/tampa-bay-buccaneers\/362\" data-autotag=\"0975654b-7314-4c6a-8b1d-0052f65c0335\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\">Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/a>: 8.5 wins (Over -140 | Under +115)Tennessee Titans: 8.5 wins (Over -140 | Under +115)Washington Commanders: 7.5 wins (Over -110 | Under -110)Expert NFL picks: <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-t-l=\":body nav (nfl)|e|auto spike click:6|\u2691u\" class=\"gnt_ar_b_sp_a\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/football\/nfl\/picks\">Exclusive betting insights only at USA TODAY.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_b_p\">The Falcons have won at least seven games in 10 of the last 11 seasons, but they haven&#8217;t won more than eight games since 2017. With that in mind, it would seem wise to take the over on Atlanta&#8217;s projected total of 6.5 wins.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"gnt_em_cp_cw_i\" data-g-r=\"lazy\" data-gl-src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1771552526_561_88306778007-usatsi-9646487.jpg\" data-gl- decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\"\/><a class=\"gnt_em gnt_em_gl gnt_em__el\" href=\"http:\/\/thefalconswire.usatoday.com\/picture-gallery\/sports\/nfl\/falcons\/2026\/01\/09\/falcons-2026-nfl-free-agent-list-kyle-pitts\/88101605007\/\" data-t-l=\"\u2691g:l|l|c|view gallery:inline promo\" aria-label=\"View Gallery - Falcons 2026 NFL offseason: List of players set to become free agents\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img class=\"gnt_em_gl_i\" data-g-r=\"lazy\" data-gl-src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1771552527_589_87907872007-2251485629.jpg\" data-gl- decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"372\"\/><\/a> <a class=\"gnt_em gnt_em__lp gnt_em_gl gnt_em__el\" href=\"http:\/\/thefalconswire.usatoday.com\/picture-gallery\/sports\/nfl\/falcons\/2026\/02\/02\/falcons-2026-nfl-schedule\/88476760007\/\" data-t-l=\"\u2691g:l|l|c|view gallery:inline promo\" aria-label=\"View Gallery - 2026 NFL schedule: Which teams will the Falcons face in 2026?\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img class=\"gnt_em_gl_i\" data-g-r=\"lazy\" data-gl-src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1771552528_949_88477485007-2236618080.jpg\" data-gl- decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"372\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_ld_p\">Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose.\u202f While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.\u202f We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site.\u202f Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gnt_ar_ld_p\">Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24\/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Updated Feb. 19, 2026, 12:47 p.m. ET Over the last five NFL seasons, no team has been as&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":763553,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2074],"tags":[95878,223,254,2554,224,7,6,96607,96608,95882,95890,96609,95898,96033,96059,96089,95913,95957,95886,96242,95976,95953,95903,95936,95885,95924,95951,96194,95988,95896,95891,95888,95895,95899,95906,96191,95977,95902,96057,96053,95883,96239,95881],"class_list":{"0":"post-763552","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-atlanta-falcons","8":"tag-accessfree","9":"tag-atlanta","10":"tag-atlanta-falcons","11":"tag-atlantafalcons","12":"tag-falcons","13":"tag-football","14":"tag-nfl","15":"tag-sstssportsnflfalcons","16":"tag-sstsnfalcons","17":"tag-tagamerican-football","18":"tag-tagarizona-cardinals","19":"tag-tagatlanta-falcons","20":"tag-tagbaltimore-ravens","21":"tag-tagbuffalo-bills","22":"tag-tagcarolina-panthers","23":"tag-tagchicago-bears","24":"tag-tagcincinnati-bengals","25":"tag-tagcleveland-browns","26":"tag-tagdenver-broncos","27":"tag-tagdetroit-lions","28":"tag-taggreen-bay-packers","29":"tag-taghouston-texans","30":"tag-tagindianapolis-colts","31":"tag-tagjacksonville-jaguars","32":"tag-taglas-vegas-raiders","33":"tag-taglos-angeles-rams","34":"tag-tagmiami-dolphins","35":"tag-tagmichael-penix-jr","36":"tag-tagminnesota-vikings","37":"tag-tagnational-sports","38":"tag-tagnew-york-giants","39":"tag-tagnfl","40":"tag-tagnfl-hub","41":"tag-tagoverall-neutral","42":"tag-tagoverall-positive","43":"tag-tagphiladelphia-eagles","44":"tag-tagseattle-seahawks","45":"tag-tagsport-scores-statistics","46":"tag-tagsports-betting","47":"tag-tagsports-betting-widget-and-disclaimer","48":"tag-tagsports-news","49":"tag-tagtampa-bay-buccaneers","50":"tag-typestory"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":"Validation failed: Text character limit of 500 exceeded"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763552","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=763552"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763552\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/763553"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=763552"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=763552"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=763552"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}