{"id":775373,"date":"2026-02-25T12:24:47","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T12:24:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/775373\/"},"modified":"2026-02-25T12:24:47","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T12:24:47","slug":"predicting-all-32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-for-2026-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/775373\/","title":{"rendered":"Predicting all 32 NFL starting quarterbacks for 2026 season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022256_406_walder_seth.png&#038;h=80&#038;w=80&#038;scale=crop.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Seth WalderFeb 25, 2026, 06:20 AM ET<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"icon-font-after icon-close-solid-after\" href=\"#\">Close<\/a>Seth Walder is an analytics writer at ESPN, specializing in quantitative analysis. He is also a regular on &#8220;ESPN Bet Live&#8221; and helps cover sports betting. Seth has been at ESPN since 2017. He previously worked at the New York Daily News covering the Jets and Giants. You can follow Seth on X via @SethWalder.<\/p>\n<p>Multiple Authors<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47876708\/2026-nfl-offseason-quarterbacks-bad-market-teams-needs-free-agency-draft-trade\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2026 NFL quarterback market<\/a> is about to open up, and the future at the game&#8217;s most important position hangs in the balance for several teams. And with only one surefire first-rounder in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft\/news\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2026 NFL draft<\/a>, plenty of teams will have to seek a new QB via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/nfl-free-agency\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">free agency<\/a> or a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/48023453\/2026-nfl-offseason-trade-candidate-ranking-top-15-players-available\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">trade<\/a> &#8212; or stick with who they have right now.<\/p>\n<p>The Vikings must decide if they want a quarterback to come in to replace, compete with or back up <a data-player-guid=\"460fbf74-c64d-3862-b942-852d104e94dd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4433970\/jj-mccarthy\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">J.J. McCarthy<\/a>. The Cardinals must determine whether <a data-player-guid=\"9bef707d-d33f-266b-3020-81900d735915\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3917315\/kyler-murray\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kyler Murray<\/a> has played his last snap with the team. Do the Colts want to combine <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47236840\/colts-qb-daniel-jones-suffers-achilles-injury-ruled-out\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an injured<\/a> <a data-player-guid=\"5ad1bcc2-57bc-bb72-bcd0-0cdd0d945444\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3917792\/daniel-jones\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Daniel Jones<\/a> with a short-term solution? And who might the Dolphins and the Jets turn to for hope?<\/p>\n<p>So, who will be the quarterback for each team? I tried to read the tea leaves and predict how it will all shake out. In this case, I am specifically predicting who will be the Week 1 starter for next season. That means even the Chiefs &#8212; with <a data-player-guid=\"37d87523-280a-9d4a-0adb-22cfc6d3619c\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3139477\/patrick-mahomes\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Patrick Mahomes<\/a> coming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47306436\/patrick-mahomes-exits-knee-injury-chiefs-playoff-hopes-end\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">off an injury<\/a> &#8212; are very much a question mark here. Let&#8217;s dive into the 32 potential Week 1 starters for 2026.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Jump to:<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#ARI\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ARI<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#ATL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ATL<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#BAL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BAL<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#BUF\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BUF<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#CAR\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CAR<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#CHI\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CHI<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#CIN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CIN<\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#CLE\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CLE<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#DAL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DAL<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#DEN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DEN<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#DET\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DET<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#GB\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">GB<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#HOU\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">HOU<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#IND\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">IND<\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#JAX\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">JAX<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#KC\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">KC<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#LV\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">LV<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#LAC\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">LAC<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#LAR\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">LAR<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#MIA\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MIA<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#MIN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MIN<\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#NE\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NE<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#NO\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NO<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#NYG\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NYG<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#NYJ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NYJ<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#PHI\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PHI<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#PIT\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PIT<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#SF\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SF<\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#SEA\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SEA<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#TB\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TB<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#TEN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TEN<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47977560\/32-nfl-starting-quarterbacks-predictions-2026-season#WSH\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">WSH<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/_end_rule.png\" width=\"100%\"\/>Looking for someone new<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022258_835_cle.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"9bef707d-d33f-266b-3020-81900d735915\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3917315\/kyler-murray\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kyler Murray<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I wonder if the Seahawks <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/game\/_\/gameId\/401772988\/seahawks-patriots\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">winning the Super Bowl<\/a> with <a data-player-guid=\"938f19a1-ef9b-618c-2365-d55291e0fcc6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3912547\/sam-darnold\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sam Darnold<\/a> at quarterback will be good for the reclamation quarterback market. And frankly, Murray is a much less daunting proposition now than Darnold was when he signed with the Vikings <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/39712987\/vikings-agree-1-year-deal-qb-sam-darnold\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">two years ago<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Though Murray&#8217;s play dropped off last season, he&#8217;s only one year removed from a 63.4 QBR in 2024, the ninth best that season. That was his second top-10 QBR campaign, after ranking seventh in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Editor&#8217;s Picks<\/p>\n<p>2 Related<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland&#8217;s eternal search for a quarterback could lead it to Murray, especially with the draft lacking top-flight QB prospects beyond <a data-player-guid=\"2d69f2b3-fc07-332b-bd84-8793a3a1b74a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/college-football\/player\/_\/id\/4837248\/fernando-mendoza\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Fernando Mendoza<\/a>. Murray is due $42.5 million in cash, which hovers around fair value for one season, especially since he&#8217;d be under contract for non-guaranteed years at similar prices in 2027 and 2028. Cleveland is tight on cap space (due in large part to quarterback <a data-player-guid=\"b6ec8e9e-3d85-a1de-9d0a-5a51621a9c20\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3122840\/deshaun-watson\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Deshaun Watson<\/a>&#8216;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/33538489\/deshaun-watson-willing-waive-no-trade-clause-cleveland-browns-sources-say\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">contract<\/a>), so I would expect the Cardinals to eat some of Murray&#8217;s 2026 money in exchange for a Browns draft pick.<\/p>\n<p>Some might clamor to give <a data-player-guid=\"fecbc03c-f8bf-342e-82be-991901cf6449\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4432762\/shedeur-sanders\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Shedeur Sanders<\/a> more development time, but I think that would be a mistake. A fifth-round pick whose 18.9 QBR would have been by far the worst in the league had he played enough to qualify ought to be considered the longest of shots, so the Browns should be pursuing other quarterback options.<\/p>\n<p>Despite Cleveland boasting a similarly strong defense, it would be overly optimistic to compare the 2026 Browns to the 2025 Seahawks. Cleveland is in much worse shape than Seattle was a year ago because its offensive roster is completely lacking &#8212; it needs an entire O-line! &#8212; even if the Browns acquire Murray and he regains his previous form. But remember, this could be a multiyear arrangement, as Murray has three years left <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/34275993\/arizona-cardinals-star-kyler-murray-agrees-2305-million-deal-now-nfl-richest-qbs-source-says\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">on his contract<\/a>. It&#8217;s a bet worth making for the Browns.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022258_238_mia.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"77d56116-fed8-b61e-d8d8-9a30107e2104\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4242512\/malik-willis\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Malik Willis<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Let me be the millionth person to connect the Packers&#8217; backup quarterback to the Dolphins, but I think Miami is Willis&#8217; most likely landing spot.<\/p>\n<p>Miami&#8217;s new brain trust consists of two former Packers in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47560463\/sources-dolphins-finalizing-gm-deal-packers-sullivan\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47663739\/sources-dolphins-hiring-packers-dc-jeff-hafley-new-coach\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">coach Jeff Hafley<\/a>. While I think NFL coaches and front office personnel dramatically overemphasize the importance of previously working with a player, there&#8217;s no denying it plays a huge role in personnel decisions. Therefore, I think it absolutely increases the probability Willis ends up in Miami.<\/p>\n<p>Willis&#8217; results in his limited time across 2024 and 2025 were incredible. He posted an 86.3 QBR in that span, a plus-7% completion percentage over expected (per NFL Next Gen Stats), zero interceptions (three fumbles, though) and 9.2 yards per dropback. He scrambled on 13% of his dropbacks and had 17 designed rushes.<\/p>\n<p>But he started only three games, so the Dolphins would be basing their 2026 starting quarterback decision on an extremely small sample size. And those three games came under coach Matt LaFleur, an elite offensive designer. So, there certainly is risk. But there&#8217;s also upside.<\/p>\n<p>The Dolphins are hamstrung at quarterback and in terms of cap space due to <a data-player-guid=\"3858bbe0-6348-e3ef-5d9f-2dd2acb46f44\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4241479\/tua-tagovailoa\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tua Tagovailoa<\/a>&#8216;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/40648415\/miami-dolphins-qb-tua-tagovailoa-agrees-4-year-extension\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">extension<\/a>. Tagovailoa <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47335130\/sources-dolphins-bench-tua-tagovailoa-favor-quinn-ewers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was benched<\/a> toward the end of last season. But Willis is the type of player they should make an exception for, and signing him would be worth a chance in the quest to find their quarterback of the future.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022258_665_min.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"53bec012-c2ed-bc7c-a8d5-438611f9faa1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/14880\/kirk-cousins\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kirk Cousins<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Vikings managed 14 wins in 2024 with a quarterback (Darnold) who ranked only 14th in QBR. While they won&#8217;t always have a defense as dominant as that team had, I have to imagine Minnesota is hankering for palatable quarterback play.<\/p>\n<p>J.J. McCarthy&#8217;s performance last season did not indicate he could deliver it. Given how Minnesota let its known quantity in Darnold <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/44194464\/sam-darnold-seahawks-3-year-1005m-deal-sources-say\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">walk out the door<\/a> in favor of McCarthy, I suspect coach Kevin O&#8217;Connell will want to go back to known, solid production. And Cousins represents that. The veteran quarterback was playing some of the best ball in his career with the Vikings in 2023 prior to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/38793760\/kirk-cousins-undergoes-surgery-torn-achilles\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">suffering an Achilles injury<\/a>. Cousins wasn&#8217;t the same with Atlanta, though he did play well at the end of last season.<\/p>\n<p>The Falcons are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/48022693\/falcons-gm-informed-qb-cousins-released-march-11\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">expected to release<\/a> Cousins. Once they do, the Vikings might take him back.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022259_681_nyj.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"8a3a5113-e81b-582c-e5a2-e097ed7a1813\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4426339\/spencer-rattler\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Spencer Rattler<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Jets were the hardest team for me to predict in this exercise. There are so many feasible candidates.<\/p>\n<p>What to know for the NFL offseason<img decoding=\"async\" data-lazyload=\"true\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1770899134_93_nfl_offseason-guide_5x2.jpg\" class=\"round lazyload\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47454831\/2026-nfl-offseason-guide-every-team-priorities-free-agents-draft-predictions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Every team&#8217;s offseason guide<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47872166\/nfl-offseason-priorities-2026-key-dates-storylines\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Schedule<\/a><br \/>\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47734163\/2026-nfl-free-agency-top-50-ranking-hendrickson-pickens-hall-willis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Top free agents<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/46573669\/2026-nfl-draft-rankings-mel-kiper-big-board-top-prospects-players-positions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best draft prospects<\/a><br \/>\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/48023453\/2026-nfl-offseason-trade-candidate-ranking-top-15-players-available\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Top trade candidates<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47937538\/2026-nfl-offseason-trade-proposals-offers-fits-deals-free-agency-barnwell\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">11 trade proposals<\/a><br \/>\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47876708\/2026-nfl-offseason-quarterbacks-bad-market-teams-needs-free-agency-draft-trade\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">QB market<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47898678\/2026-nfl-offseason-overhaul-tiers-rebuild-18-teams-turnarounds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Rebuild tiers<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47958363\/2026-nfl-offseason-ranking-positions-free-agency-draft-class-deep-thin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Deepest positions<\/a><br \/>\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46437226\/2025-nfl-coaching-changes-latest-news-rumors-firings-hires\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Coach hirings<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47444785\/2026-nfl-draft-order-first-round-top-32-picks-needs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Draft order<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47878161\/2026-nfl-franchise-tag-transition-tracker-updates-cap-space-free-agency\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Franchise tags<\/a><\/p>\n<p>New York certainly could be a landing place for a non-Mendoza rookie quarterback, and it would make sense for the Jets to be in the Willis sweepstakes. If they want a stable veteran, perhaps the Jets would look at Cousins or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/16757\/derek-carr\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Derek Carr<\/a>, though neither would be the necessary long-term solution. Or New York could contemplate a few trade candidates, with <a data-player-guid=\"1b10c3ae-12ed-7035-5b1e-4512832b6efc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4241464\/mac-jones\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Mac Jones<\/a>, <a data-player-guid=\"2c956767-311d-3239-9e76-9402f34af990\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4685201\/tanner-mckee\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tanner McKee<\/a> and Rattler among them.<\/p>\n<p>Though he ultimately gave way to rookie <a data-player-guid=\"0eb2837a-e6ed-bbd7-d7d5-cbeb2cd7ab11\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4360689\/tyler-shough\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tyler Shough<\/a>, Rattler was solid last season in New Orleans. He recorded a 50.3 QBR and a plus-3% completion percentage over expected, and his 9% off-target rate was the lowest among all QBs with at least 100 pass attempts. The former fifth-round pick is entering his third season, so he could still improve. And Rattler likely would cost less on the trade market than Jones, as well.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/_end_rule.png\" width=\"100%\"\/>Early-season injury stand-in<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022265_959_ind.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"a64e025b-8608-fd26-e1f8-df83133d7a59\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4038524\/gardner-minshew\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Gardner Minshew<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Colts are in an interesting bind, having found success with Daniel Jones last season but:<\/p>\n<p>Not having him under contract for 2026 or beyond.<\/p>\n<p>Needing a stop-gap solution even if they do bring Jones back after he suffered <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47236840\/colts-qb-daniel-jones-suffers-achilles-injury-ruled-out\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an Achilles injury<\/a> in December.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s start with the first point. I suspect the Colts want to bring Jones back but would likely prefer to sign him to a multiyear deal considering he is unlikely to play until late 2026 at the earliest. But the Colts have some leverage. As much as they might need Jones, the Colts also offer him a better path to starting again in a situation where he&#8217;s had more success than anywhere else. They would probably offer him more money than anyone else due to that success.<\/p>\n<p>But if the Colts bring Jones back, they&#8217;ll need another QB to start the season. And they would want it to be someone who they can win with in the short and medium term &#8212; but probably not someone who would cost too much or that they would have to commit to beyond 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Enter Minshew. The journeyman had more success playing for Shane Steichen in 2023 than at any other point in his career. Steichen got much more out of Minshew &#8212; who recorded a 60.4 QBR that season &#8212; than he has out of <a data-player-guid=\"cfd567df-191e-29cf-0dc6-0bcf84085135\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/11252\/joe-flacco\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Joe Flacco<\/a> (50.0) or <a data-player-guid=\"bfee0387-e51a-3429-baa1-8f8f84c37769\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4429084\/anthony-richardson-sr\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Anthony Richardson Sr<\/a>. (44.4). That 2023 earned Minshew <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/39710470\/source-raiders-add-gardner-minshew-compete-qb-job\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$15 million fully guaranteed<\/a> from the Raiders the next offseason, but it went so badly in Vegas that he played for the Chiefs for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/44240609\/gardner-minshew-joins-chiefs-back-patrick-mahomes\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">just $1.2 million<\/a> last season. It was feared that Minshew had torn his ACL in December, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47391618\/chiefs-qb-gardner-minshew-avoids-acl-tear-sources-say\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">he did not<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Because Minshew star&#8217;s has fallen, he would be a cheap option for the Colts to pair with second-year QB <a data-player-guid=\"0fc207a0-e79c-31b6-9e66-3049f845027f\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4683423\/riley-leonard\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Riley Leonard<\/a> while they wait for Jones to heal.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022265_689_kc.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"33be1f4a-d812-75b9-7b7c-5319d2a7113a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/2576980\/marcus-mariota\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Marcus Mariota<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Of course, this hinges on the recovery timeline of Patrick Mahomes, who had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47320352\/kansas-city-chiefs-qb-patrick-mahomes-undergoes-surgery-torn-acl-lcl\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">surgery in December<\/a> to repair two ligaments in his left knee. Mahomes has indicated he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47622840\/chiefs-patrick-mahomes-want-ready-week-1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">wants to be back for Week 1<\/a>, and perhaps that will happen. But any prediction about his Week 1 status is just a guess, so I imagine that the Chiefs would want to be cautious with Mahomes given his importance to the franchise.<\/p>\n<p>If that is the case, they&#8217;d want a reliable backup who can ideally win a few games while Mahomes finishes up his recovery. I believe Mariota fits the bill.<\/p>\n<p>The 32-year-old stood in for <a data-player-guid=\"f03f3238-b035-6f0e-5844-1529ca021c3a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4426348\/jayden-daniels\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jayden Daniels<\/a> for eight starts in Washington last season and was capable, with a 50.2 QBR. He has a long history of being solid, which is essentially what Kansas City needs &#8212; a player who can keep the team afloat in Mahomes&#8217; absence but is willing to be a backup and won&#8217;t be overly expensive.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\" lazyload lazyload\"\/>play<\/p>\n<p>2:08<\/p>\n<p>Where should Chiefs look to improve with savings from Mahomes&#8217; restructuring?<\/p>\n<p class=\"contentItem__subhead\">Louis Riddick and Kimberley A. Martin examine where the Chiefs should look to improve with the cap space provided by Patrick Mahomes&#8217; restructured contract.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/_end_rule.png\" width=\"100%\"\/>Decent bet <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022266_234_ari.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"efcb42e5-0bef-62d1-b58b-dbc17fde2479\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/2578570\/jacoby-brissett\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jacoby Brissett<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals don&#8217;t have to move on from Murray, and with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47800131\/sources-cardinals-set-hire-rams-mike-lafleur-head-coach\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a new regime coming in<\/a>, maybe they won&#8217;t. But the vibes from last season pointed to a quarterback change and Brissett is the most likely Week 1 starter, even if only as a bridge after starting 12 games in 2025. Murray is currently slated to make $42.5 million in cash, <a href=\"https:\/\/overthecap.com\/player\/kyler-murray\/7792\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">per OverTheCap.com<\/a>, so if the Cardinals are able to trade him they would save all or part of that by turning to the much cheaper Brissett (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/44210546\/source-jacoby-brissett-plans-sign-cardinals-qb2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">due $5.4 million in cash<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Though Brissett averaged 280.5 passing yards in his starts last season, that number was more an indication of how often he passed than his true efficiency, as his 41.2 QBR was well below average. But he can serve as a short-term fix. The Cardinals could draft Alabama&#8217;s <a data-player-guid=\"d2b7e374-7a14-319e-8474-564a6b2c7474\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/college-football\/player\/_\/id\/4685522\/ty-simpson\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ty Simpson<\/a> &#8212; perhaps late in the first round or in the second &#8212; and Brissett could start the 2026 season before yielding to the rookie.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022266_554_atl.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"28022fa1-9050-eee1-5160-c77a6a379ec2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4360423\/michael-penix-jr\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Michael Penix Jr<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Penix <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47023643\/falcons-qb-penix-season-ending-surgery-torn-acl\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">suffered a torn ACL<\/a> in November, so his status for the season opener is in question. Also, what kind of player will the Falcons get when he returns to the field? Penix was inconsistent last season, producing a QBR of 83 or higher in four of his nine games &#8230; and a 31 or lower in four others.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022267_417_pit.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"5fbab03e-2816-55ab-ae10-83b132803d9e\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/8439\/aaron-rodgers\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Aaron Rodgers<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t think Rodgers&#8217; return is a foregone conclusion, but Mike McCarthy&#8217;s introductory news conference pushed me to thinking it will happen. When <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47746811\/new-steelers-coach-mccarthy-rodgers-return\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">asked if he wanted Rodgers back<\/a>, McCarthy said, &#8220;I mean, definitely. I don&#8217;t see why you wouldn&#8217;t.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Despite McCarthy&#8217;s comment, there are plenty of reasons why the Steelers might not want Rodgers back. He&#8217;s a 42-year-old quarterback who was last an above-average starter in 2021 (to be fair, he did win MVP that season). And Rodgers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47465231\/steelers-qb-aaron-rodgers-42-ponder-future-season\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">must decide<\/a> if he wants to play football in 2026 too.<\/p>\n<p>But I suspect the Steelers won&#8217;t have the appetite to rebuild or take a flier on an unknown QB. So they&#8217;ll try to recreate the Packers of yesteryear, with Rodgers and McCarthy at the helm. Rodgers recorded a 44.4 QBR with the Steelers last season (23rd best). He continued to excel at turnover avoidance, but it came in conjunction with short, safe throws that weren&#8217;t that productive. Rodgers&#8217; 2.59-second average time to throw was the fastest in the league, and 76% of his pass attempts were under 10 air yards, higher than any other quarterback.<\/p>\n<p>Pittsburgh can rely on its defense, and with a smart addition or two, things could break right when coupled with a turnover-averse Rodgers &#8212; even if his upside is severely limited at this point of his career. Perhaps that&#8217;s why they aren&#8217;t ready to tear it all down just yet.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\" lazyload lazyload\"\/>play<\/p>\n<p>1:15<\/p>\n<p>The Aaron Rodgers predicament facing Mike McCarthy<\/p>\n<p class=\"contentItem__subhead\">Jeff Saturday and Jason McCourty discuss Aaron Rodgers\u2019 short-term impact and the Steelers\u2019 long-term QB plan.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/_end_rule.png\" width=\"100%\"\/>Locked in<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022268_876_bal.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"7d76fbb1-1c5e-d9f4-954f-cad43f720ae2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3916387\/lamar-jackson\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lamar Jackson<\/a><\/p>\n<p>After winning the MVP <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/39488311\/ravens-qb-lamar-jackson-wins-2nd-career-nfl-mvp-award\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in 2023<\/a> and almost winning it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/43726453\/commanders-daniels-named-top-offensive-rookie-nfl-honors\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in 2024<\/a>, Jackson had a down season in 2025 in which he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47429256\/ravens-qb-lamar-jackson-back-inactive-packers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">missed a few games<\/a> and wasn&#8217;t quite himself when he played. Now Jackson will be in a new system under <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47781378\/ravens-hire-bears-declan-doyle-oc-sources-say\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">offensive coordinator Declan Doyle<\/a>, but there should be high confidence that he can return to form in 2026.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022268_425_buf.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"237b9f2a-4701-8fc3-60eb-250978af9893\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3918298\/josh-allen\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Josh Allen<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Bills have it better than perhaps anyone else at the game&#8217;s most important position, as Allen would arguably be the QB1 in a leaguewide quarterback redraft. Allen is coming off a &#8220;down&#8221; year in which he still got a couple of MVP votes. He finished only seventh in QBR, but his receiving options weren&#8217;t great. If Allen is on the field, the Bills have a good chance to win any game, no matter the opponent.<\/p>\n<p>What to know for the 2026 NFL draft<img decoding=\"async\" data-lazyload=\"true\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nfl_jordan-reid-mock-draft_5x2.jpg\" class=\"round lazyload\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Mocks: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47989848\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-kiper-32-picks-pre-combine-predictions-round-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kiper<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47756543\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-two-rounds-64-picks-matt-miller-senior-bowl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Miller<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47503334\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-first-round-predictions-32-picks-jordan-reid\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Reid<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47840791\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-field-yates-first-round-predictions-32-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Yates<\/a><br \/>\u2022 Rankings: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/46573669\/2026-nfl-draft-rankings-mel-kiper-big-board-top-prospects-players-positions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kiper<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47190881\/2026-nfl-draft-rankings-matt-miller-top-prospects-players-positions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Miller<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47027232\/2026-nfl-draft-rankings-jordan-reid-top-prospects-players-positions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Reid<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47590505\/2026-nfl-draft-rankings-board-top-prospects-best-positional-field-yates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Yates<\/a><br \/>\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/46149416\/2026-nfl-draft-rankings-top-prospects-position\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best by position<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft2026\/story\/_\/id\/47444785\/2026-nfl-draft-order-first-round-top-32-picks-needs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Draft order<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/draft\/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">More<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022273_77_car.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"975cc6da-01e5-3dcc-8a1a-1c9ecdb27d58\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4685720\/bryce-young\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Bryce Young<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The pendulum on how much the Panthers should believe in Young continued to swing back and forth in 2025, as it has for his entire career. On one hand, Young led the Panthers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/game\/_\/gameId\/401772979\/rams-panthers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to the playoffs<\/a> and looked quite improved at times. But he also had his share of down moments. He ended the season with a 47.6 QBR (22nd best) and only 5.7 yards per dropback &#8212; nothing to write home about.<\/p>\n<p>He showed enough to be the starter again in 2026 and have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47600316\/panthers-eye-big-picture-pick-5th-year-option-qb-young\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">his fifth-year option picked up<\/a> in 2027. But the Panthers should be hesitant to commit to Young beyond that until he shows more growth.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022273_647_chi.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"dd15176c-3004-333f-beaa-149216c42968\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4431611\/caleb-williams\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Caleb Williams<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Williams took a big step in his second season and delivered some truly unforgettable throws during Chicago&#8217;s improbable run to the divisional round of the playoffs. There are still accuracy questions &#8212; Williams ranked last among QBR-qualifying quarterbacks in both off-target rate and completion percentage over expected (per NFL Next Gen Stats). But the Bears know they can win with Williams at the helm.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022274_501_cin.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"e6957db5-5b2e-a82d-c788-d889115d9772\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3915511\/joe-burrow\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Joe Burrow<\/a><\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46268673\/sources-bengals-joe-burrow-needs-toe-surgery-3-months\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">toe injury<\/a> derailed more than half of Burrow&#8217;s 2025 campaign, helping extend the Bengals&#8217; frustrating three-year streak of missing the playoffs. If Cincinnati can get a healthy Burrow and also improve its defense to support him, the Bengals will be back in the postseason.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022274_173_dal.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"5f09781b-6b0b-7325-049b-a91e60d794e6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/2577417\/dak-prescott\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Dak Prescott<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Prescott&#8217;s exceptional play last season was overshadowed by the Cowboys missing the playoffs. He ranked fifth in QBR and third in completion percentage over expected (per NFL Next Gen Stats) despite playing with the lead on only 26% of his snaps. If the Cowboys&#8217; defense can improve to merely average and Prescott maintains his 2025 level of play, Dallas should easily return to the postseason.<\/p>\n<p>All of ESPN. All in one place.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/plus.espn.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"imageLoaded\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/r1531432_1296x729_16-9.jpg\" width=\"100%\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Watch your favorite events in the newly enhanced ESPN App. Learn more about what plan is right for you. <a href=\"https:\/\/plus.espn.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sign Up Now<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022277_289_den.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"f9de7512-a950-3317-816b-abe094068409\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4426338\/bo-nix\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Bo Nix<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Losing Nix <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47645966\/broncos-qb-bo-nix-fractures-ankle-rest-playoffs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to injury in the divisional playoffs<\/a> was a brutal blow for the Broncos, who could have (should have?) advanced to the Super Bowl otherwise. That was especially true because Nix finished the season strong. Though he was 15th in QBR for the season (58.3), he registered a 66.3 from Week 13 on (the equivalent of ranking seventh). I previously believed Nix was good enough to win with, but he showed signs that he could ascend to become a player the Broncos could win because of.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022277_643_det.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"987f4f39-ed6f-5915-57eb-ec7dc356171c\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3046779\/jared-goff\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jared Goff<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Like the rest of his team in 2025, Goff didn&#8217;t reach his previous level of play, when Detroit&#8217;s offense was at the top of the league. But considering that he played behind an offensive line that quietly ranked 31st in pass block win rate last season, Goff&#8217;s 18th-ranked QBR starts to become more understandable. He, and the Lions, certainly can get back to previous form in 2026.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022278_914_gb.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"f19ea9a5-ca4d-79b9-3e49-543e438cd336\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4036378\/jordan-love\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jordan Love<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Love took a step forward in 2025, finishing third in QBR behind <a data-player-guid=\"2fbd2f9e-624d-3e63-9bb5-9bb965782b68\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4431452\/drake-maye\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Drake Maye<\/a> and <a data-player-guid=\"d2e39a38-732d-5a24-f242-a4f9de87dabe\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4361741\/brock-purdy\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Brock Purdy<\/a> thanks to his ability to avoid major mistakes. Love committed only eight turnovers last season and took sacks at a 4.3% rate (seventh best). If the Packers continue to get that level of performance from Love, they will be contenders.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022278_814_hou.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"147e6862-2ac0-3a97-8f36-e3b1c0147320\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4432577\/cj-stroud\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">C.J. Stroud<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The results weren&#8217;t pretty the last time we saw Stroud &#8212; he threw four interceptions in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/game\/_\/gameId\/401772983\/texans-patriots\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">playoff loss to the Patriots<\/a>. But ball security was a strength for most of 2025 and Stroud was mostly solid, especially considering that Houston ranked 30th in pass block win rate. We still don&#8217;t quite know Stroud&#8217;s long-term path, but he&#8217;s locked in for 2026.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022279_516_jax.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"76111495-d1d9-2333-170d-4206eebe673f\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4360310\/trevor-lawrence\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Trevor Lawrence<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The second half of 2025 finally saw Lawrence become the player who had been promised since he entered the league in 2021. Lawrence ranked fifth in the league in QBR after Jacksonville&#8217;s Week 8 bye &#8212; and from Week 11 on he moved up to third. Normally I&#8217;m wary of strictly looking at second-half splits to project forward, but there&#8217;s a reasonable explanation in this case, as it was his first year in coach Liam Coen&#8217;s system. Jaguars fans have the right to be bullish on Lawrence for 2026 and beyond.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022279_770_lv.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"2d69f2b3-fc07-332b-bd84-8793a3a1b74a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/college-football\/player\/_\/id\/4837248\/fernando-mendoza\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Fernando Mendoza<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Is it too early to call this locked in? I don&#8217;t think so.<\/p>\n<p>The Raiders need a quarterback badly. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/college-football\/story\/_\/id\/47298246\/fernando-mendoza-becomes-1st-indiana-hoosier-win-heisman\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Heisman Trophy winner<\/a> looks like he fits the bill. And most important: There&#8217;s no other quarterback in the draft that seems particularly close to his tier. Even now, Mendoza&#8217;s odds of being selected first by the Raiders are -20000 at <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/leagues\/football\/nfl?category=2026-draft&amp;subcategory=number-1-pick\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\" lazyload lazyload\"\/>play<\/p>\n<p>2:00<\/p>\n<p>Is Fernando Mendoza not throwing at combine a big deal?<\/p>\n<p class=\"contentItem__subhead\">Mike Tannenbaum and Dan Graziano examine Fernando Mendoza&#8217;s potential combine week after his decision not to throw there.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022279_886_lac.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"ec880cbc-1490-cdae-548f-f844104974ae\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4038941\/justin-herbert\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Justin Herbert<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Herbert has long been held in a slightly higher regard than his production would indicate, and the pairing with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47735344\/chargers-officially-hire-mike-mcdaniel-offensive-coordinator\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">new offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel<\/a> (and, ideally, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46837021\/chargers-lt-joe-alt-undergo-season-ending-ankle-surgery\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">two healthy tackles<\/a>) should give us the opportunity to finally see Herbert perform with a favorable supporting cast. This could be the year we see Herbert&#8217;s elite ceiling.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022280_604_lar.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"20c41c33-a33f-6dc2-7e1f-0771e39ce49a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/12483\/matthew-stafford\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Matthew Stafford<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Stafford has already announced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47898227\/los-angeles-rams-offseason-moves-driven-going-all-qb-matthew-stafford\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">he&#8217;ll be back for 2026<\/a>. After <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47845508\/matthew-stafford-wins-nfl-mvp-closest-vote-2003\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">winning MVP<\/a> last season, he and the Rams will surely revisit a contract that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/44055674\/matthew-stafford-agrees-restructured-deal-stay-rams\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">currently underpays him<\/a>, but it&#8217;s hard to imagine the two sides not working it out. The expectation for Stafford continues to be excellence, as long as he is healthy.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022280_436_ne.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"2fbd2f9e-624d-3e63-9bb5-9bb965782b68\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4431452\/drake-maye\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Drake Maye<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sure, things were undeniably rough for Maye in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/game\/_\/gameId\/401772988\/seahawks-patriots\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Super Bowl<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47873928\/patriots-maye-had-injection-ailing-shoulder-loss\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">perhaps due to injury<\/a>). But Maye was exceptional in 2025 and was the league&#8217;s Most Valuable Player <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47663581\/nfl-top-100-rankings-mvp-candidates-2025-regular-season-maye-stafford-prescott\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in my view<\/a>. New England is set for years to come and can go all-in in 2026 knowing they have an elite starter on a rookie contract.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022281_159_no.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"0eb2837a-e6ed-bbd7-d7d5-cbeb2cd7ab11\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4360689\/tyler-shough\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tyler Shough<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Shough&#8217;s immediate success was a pleasant surprise last season. The numbers weren&#8217;t overwhelming &#8212; 21st in QBR, 16th in completion percentage over expectation, 12th in turnover rate and 18th in yards per dropback &#8212; but they were strong enough over nine starts to show his NFL potential. The Saints might have found themselves a quarterback &#8212; and outside the first round, too.<\/p>\n<p>Breaking news from Adam Schefter<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/contributor\/adam-schefter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatright\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/schefter_adam.png\" width=\"40%\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Download the ESPN app and enable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/contributor\/adam-schefter\" target=\"new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Adam Schefter&#8217;s news alerts<\/a> to receive push notifications for the latest updates first. Opt in by tapping the alerts bell in the top right corner. For more information, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/espn\/story\/_\/id\/43511398\/introducing-espn-reporter-breaking-news-alerts-faq-fans\" target=\"new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022284_951_nyg.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"13e97d3e-2171-371b-9a7a-2c44670b5a62\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4689114\/jaxson-dart\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jaxson Dart<\/a><\/p>\n<p>As poor as 2025 was recordwise for the 4-13 Giants, it gave the franchise optimism going forward. The most important part of that hope is Dart, who finished 17th in QBR as a rookie (despite mostly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46421654\/source-mri-confirms-torn-acl-giants-malik-nabers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">being without<\/a> emerging star receiver <a data-player-guid=\"44a2174b-1d11-3acf-8e75-fe0c13db47a6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4595348\/malik-nabers\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Malik Nabers<\/a>) and lifted the team when he played. The Giants&#8217; offense averaged 0.05 EPA per play when Dart was on the field, roughly the same as the Super Bowl champion Seahawks.<\/p>\n<p>If Dart can take another leap in Year 2 and the rest of the offense&#8217;s core &#8212; Nabers, offensive tackle <a data-player-guid=\"68d25617-2587-2944-33f0-66a188dd73d2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4259566\/andrew-thomas\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Andrew Thomas<\/a> and second-year running back <a data-player-guid=\"0be760c4-3eb7-338a-9b0b-20de5895543c\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4696981\/cam-skattebo\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Cam Skattebo<\/a> &#8212; can also stay healthy, the Giants&#8217; improvement could happen quick.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022285_145_phi.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"caceb80c-6350-a107-9fcf-7c7bd1b4edd8\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4040715\/jalen-hurts\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jalen Hurts<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Hurts is just a year removed from being a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/43773474\/eagles-quarterback-jalen-hurts-named-mvp-super-bowl-lix\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Super Bowl MVP<\/a> quarterback, but his stock has fallen after a poor 2025 season in which he ranked only 20th in QBR. If he doesn&#8217;t improve in 2026, will we be putting him in a different category in this exercise next year? Given the Eagles&#8217; track record, I bet so.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022285_282_sf.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"d2e39a38-732d-5a24-f242-a4f9de87dabe\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4361741\/brock-purdy\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Brock Purdy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Purdy is coming off an excellent 2025 season &#8230; when he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46823310\/purdy-unlikely-100-year-says-49ers-shanahan\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was on the field<\/a>. The nine games he did play were stellar, producing a 72.8 QBR that ranked second only to Maye. And when Purdy was active, the 49ers often looked like the best offense in football (especially when they weren&#8217;t playing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/game\/_\/gameId\/401772961\/seahawks-49ers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Seahawks<\/a>). If Purdy can stay healthy, the 49ers will be contenders again.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022285_596_sea.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"938f19a1-ef9b-618c-2365-d55291e0fcc6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3912547\/sam-darnold\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sam Darnold<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Even after a second straight 14-win campaign and leading the Seahawks to the Super Bowl title, it&#8217;s still reasonable to ask which Darnold the Seahawks will get going forward. He was legitimately lights-out in the first half of the season but then one of the least efficient QBs in the second half. He finished somewhere between good enough and actually good in the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>In the end, Darnold finished 19th in QBR, but the Seahawks clearly feel pretty good about him heading into 2026 considering how last season turned out.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022286_140_tb.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"5bb4376a-d089-e3e4-e49a-44f1d709a012\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/3052587\/baker-mayfield\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Baker Mayfield<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Mayfield started 2025 hot but cooled off to finish 12th in QBR and with a minus-2% completion rate over expected, per Next Gen Stats. Mayfield can play at a good enough level that the Buccaneers can win the division and then some with support around him. And given his cost &#8212; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/45844314\/sources-reworked-deal-gives-baker-mayfield-30m-guaranteed\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$40 million in 2026<\/a> &#8212; it makes sense for the Buccaneers to remain on the same trajectory at quarterback.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022286_789_ten.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"9f4e87b5-5da8-38c0-9951-e3496b55b3c8\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4688380\/cam-ward\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Cam Ward<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Last year&#8217;s first overall pick finished last in QBR among qualifying quarterbacks. But considering what he went through as a rookie &#8212; an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46583863\/titans-fire-coach-brian-callahan-1-5-start-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">early-season coaching change<\/a>, no rushing attack and a lackluster receiving group &#8212; Ward showed enough flashes to justify the optimism toward him when he entered the league. He will be Tennessee&#8217;s starter for the first season of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/47667622\/sources-titans-finalizing-deal-make-robert-saleh-coach\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Robert Saleh era<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"floatleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1772022287_948_wsh.png&#038;h=110&#038;w=110.png\" width=\"31\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Predicted 2026 starter: <a data-player-guid=\"f03f3238-b035-6f0e-5844-1529ca021c3a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/4426348\/jayden-daniels\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jayden Daniels<\/a><\/p>\n<p>After a stellar rookie campaign, Daniels&#8217; sophomore season was an unequivocal disappointment, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46272322\/sources-commanders-jayden-daniels-knee-injury-status-iffy\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">knee<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46826912\/commanders-qb-daniels-suffers-serious-looking-left-arm-injury\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">elbow<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/46653079\/jayden-daniels-exits-commanders-cowboys-hamstring-injury\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hamstring<\/a> injuries limiting him to only seven games in 2025. But perhaps more worrying was Daniels&#8217; efficiency when he was on the field, with his QBR dropping from 67.7 in 2024 to 44.7 in 2025, which would have ranked 23rd had he played enough to qualify. It prompts a question &#8212; was 2025 an outlier, or was it 2024?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Seth WalderFeb 25, 2026, 06:20 AM ET CloseSeth Walder is an analytics writer at ESPN, specializing in quantitative&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":775374,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[77],"tags":[7,6,84],"class_list":{"0":"post-775373","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl-playoffs","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-nfl","10":"tag-nfl-playoffs"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116131265634637142","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/775373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=775373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/775373\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/775374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=775373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=775373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=775373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}