{"id":777159,"date":"2026-02-26T08:30:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-26T08:30:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/777159\/"},"modified":"2026-02-26T08:30:19","modified_gmt":"2026-02-26T08:30:19","slug":"fact-checking-brian-gutekunsts-claims-about-rashan-gary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/777159\/","title":{"rendered":"Fact-checking Brian Gutekunst\u2019s claims about Rashan Gary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A lot of people are asking you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears these days. Apparently, Brian Gutekunst is among them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In his wide ranging press conference on Tuesday, Gutekunst touched on a whole host of Packers-related topics, including the performance of Rashan Gary. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.acmepackingcompany.com\/green-bay-packers-analysis\/78432\/potential-cap-casualties-2026-the-case-for-and-against-rashan-gary\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">We\u2019ve discussed Gary as a potential cap casualty<\/a>, but Gutekunst doesn\u2019t seem to think that\u2019s in the cards. Why? Because Gary had an \u201cimpactful\u201d second half of the season last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201dSometimes, there is an ebb and flow with production with sacks. He was impactful towards the second half of the season,\u201d Gutekunst said. \u201cMaybe not as much as the first, but he was impactful.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Gutekunst later noted he expects Gary to be productive \u201cnext year,\u201d perhaps giving a clue about Gary\u2019s 2026 status.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Let\u2019s be clear before we go any further. I don\u2019t expect Gutekunst to stand at the lectern and rag on his players. There are plenty of people capable of doing that (me, for instance) and there\u2019s no benefit to him getting up there and talking about what a disappointment Gary was and how he needs to be better and so on. Everybody already knows that.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But with respect to the general manager\u2026Brian, we\u2019ve all got eyes, man. Rashan Gary was simply not an impactful player for the Packers down the stretch in 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Gary appeared in 17 games for the Packers last year, including the playoffs, so it\u2019s easy to split his season up into two halves. We\u2019ll even give him a one-game boost when we\u2019re breaking down his stats and break his season into two uneven chunks: the first eight games of the year and the last nine. Surely if Gary was an impactful player, his second-half stats should easily surpass the first, right?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s not even close. I looked at seven different stats (and his playing time) to see if Gary showed any kind of improvement or impactful play at all in the second half of last season, and couldn\u2019t find any substantial impact at all. The seven stats were tackles, sacks (obviously), tackles for loss, quarterback hits, total pressures, and stops (a measure of how often a player prevents the offense from having a successful play (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pff.com\/news\/pro-defensive-stops-a-more-comprehensive-metric-than-tackles\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">read more here<\/a>)).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Gary declined in five of the seven stats, only showing minimal improvement in total pressures (which you\u2019d expect with one more game in the sample) and pressure rate (showing he got pressures slightly more frequently on a per-snap basis).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But even that increase in his per-snap effectiveness should come with a grain of salt. Why? Because Gary was playing fewer snaps per game in the second half of the season. Over the final nine games of the year, Gary averaged just 38.7 snaps per game, down nearly five full snaps from the 43.5 he averaged during the first eight games of the season. It\u2019s easier to put up better per-snap stats when you\u2019re playing fewer snaps!<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here\u2019s the full statistical comparison between the first eight games and the last nine.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.acmepackingcompany.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/02\/Screenshot.png?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"352\" data-pswp-width=\"548\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Again, to be clear, I understand that Brian Gutekunst is going to say things in support of his players. But the Packers have a big decision coming up on Gary\u2019s future. They\u2019re set to pay Gary more than $20 million in real dollars in 2026, to say nothing of his $28 million cap hit. If he\u2019s going to be a part of the team in 2026, he needs to be making a real impact \u2014 not just the kind his general manager will claim he made when speaking to friendly media.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A lot of people are asking you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears these days.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":777160,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[7,52919,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-777159","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-green-bay-packers-analysis","10":"tag-nfl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116136001530103177","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777159"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777159\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/777160"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}