{"id":833156,"date":"2026-03-25T16:00:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T16:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/833156\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T16:00:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T16:00:18","slug":"2026-nfl-draft-no-3-pick-odds-david-bailey-leads-close-race-at-top-of-board","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/833156\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 NFL Draft No. 3 Pick Odds: David Bailey Leads Close Race at Top of Board"},"content":{"rendered":"

According to most analysts, bettors and bookmakers, Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 pick<\/a> in the NFL Draft in April. He’s the heavy favorite to hear his name called first, with odds at some books as short as -20000 (bet $10 to win $10.05 total).<\/p>\n

When it comes to the second pick, Arvell Reese<\/a> is at the top of that board. Although he’s not as clear a favorite as Mendoza, his odds to go No. 2 are as short as -250.<\/p>\n

The No. 3 pick, however, is still a toss-up. In fact, there’s not much separation between the first and third names.<\/p>\n

Let’s take a look at the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of March 25.<\/p>\n

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

No. 3 NFL Draft Pick<\/p>\n

David Bailey<\/a> (Texas Tech<\/a>): +255 (bet $10 to win $35 total)
Francis Mauigoa<\/a> (Miami<\/a>): +330 (bet $10 to win $43 total)
Arvell Reese<\/a> (Ohio State<\/a>): +370 (bet $10 to win $47 total)
Jeremiyah Love<\/a> (Notre Dame<\/a>): +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Sonny Styles<\/a> (Ohio State): +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)
Spencer Fano<\/a> (Utah Utes<\/a>): +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Monroe Freeling<\/a> (Georgia<\/a>): +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Rueben Bain Jr<\/a>. (Miami): +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Ty Simpson<\/a> (Alabama<\/a>): +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Caleb Downs<\/a> (Ohio State): +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Carnell Tate<\/a> (Ohio State): +8000 (bet $10 to win $810 total)<\/p>\n

Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:\u00a0<\/p>\n

Red Raider at 3: Texas Tech’s David Bailey is the 6-foot-3 linebacker who played his first three seasons at Stanford before transferring to Tech in 2025. During his short stint as a Red Raider, he had 32 solo tackles, assisted on 20 and had three defended passes. In his most recent mock draft, FOX Sports Lead College Football Analyst Joel Klatt<\/a> has Bailey going third. “There’s a lot of hype around Bailey, and rightly so,” Klatt explained<\/a>. “This guy is a game-wrecker \u2026 Bailey led all power-conference players in sacks and tackles for loss this past season. The [Arizona] Cardinals need help wherever they can get it, and Bailey will do that.”<\/p>\n

Hurricane Mauigoa: Francis Mauigoa made a name for himself at Miami and is considered by some to be the best offensive lineman in the 2026 NFL Draft. He was a three-year starter for the Hurricanes, and during that time, he earned All-ACC First Team honors and was a 2025 consensus first-team All-American. Klatt, though, believes Mauigoa would be a good fit with the Dolphins and could get drafted with the 11th pick \u2014 not the third. “I\u2019m not sure if he projects as a left tackle for the long haul,” Klatt wrote<\/a>, “but he\u2019ll flourish right away at right tackle.”<\/p>\n

Noteworthy Buckeye: Like Mauigoa at Miami and Bailey at Texas Tech, Arvell Reese had a valuable impact on his squad during his time at Ohio State. In 2024 and 2025, he had 52 solo tackles and assisted on 60 others. The 6-foot-4 Reese had seven total tackles in the Buckeyes’ semifinal loss to Miami, including three solo. According to FOX Sports Betting Analyst Geoff Schwartz<\/a>, Reese at three could be a perfect match. “Reese is a physical freak who projects to rush the passer in the NFL,” Schwartz acknowledged<\/a>. “His on-the-field profile (not projection) is Micah Parsons \u2026 He will make plays from a variety of alignments and the Cardinals can use him as it best fits their defense.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"According to most analysts, bettors and bookmakers, Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 pick in the…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":833157,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[2222,1107,613,2240,331,4155,7,7779,6124,122,6,15,69,2239,7723],"class_list":["post-833156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl-draft","tag-arvell-reese","tag-betting","tag-caleb-downs","tag-carnell-tate","tag-college-football","tag-david-bailey","tag-football","tag-francis-mauigoa","tag-gambling","tag-national-football-league","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-draft","tag-ohio-state-buckeyes","tag-sonny-styles","tag-spencer-fano"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116290652094381261","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/833156","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=833156"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/833156\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/833157"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=833156"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=833156"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=833156"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}