{"id":851478,"date":"2026-04-03T15:52:22","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T15:52:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/851478\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T15:52:22","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T15:52:22","slug":"nfl-execs-unfiltered-on-free-agency-thoughts-on-kyler-murray-the-bold-rams-and-all-nfc-teams","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/851478\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL execs unfiltered on free agency: Thoughts on Kyler Murray, the bold Rams and all NFC teams"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Talking through the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7165189\/2026\/04\/02\/nfl-free-agency-2026-afc-execs-best-worst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">AFC teams\u2019 free agencies<\/a> with NFL executives was so much fun that we\u2019re back with a run through the NFC. And what a run it turned out to be.<\/p>\n<p>There is nothing about what they have done that I can say, \u201cThat makes sense.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s a grab bag of, \u201cWe don\u2019t know what we\u2019re doing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Why are you doing these deals?<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s three execs from three teams, all trying to figure out the same team\u2019s plan.<\/p>\n<p>Which team was it? You won\u2019t have to read long.<\/p>\n<p>For each team, we\u2019ve listed their average salary per year (APY) added, lost and the differential, along with their rank in each category. Figures include contracts with values reported as of April 1.<\/p>\n<p>Arizona Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>Added: $38.6M (20th) | Lost: $18.3M (28th) | Differential: $20.3M (11th)<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals released quarterback Kyler Murray instead of trading him, and it\u2019s easy to see why. The team began telegraphing Murray\u2019s exit last season when handing over the job to Jacoby Brissett, limiting its leverage in trade talks.<\/p>\n<p>Some saw that as a missed chance.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI feel like they could have done a lot of different things, but they chose not to,\u201d one exec said. \u201cThey just wanted him off the roster, wanted to save the $19.5 million (in 2027 salary that would have become fully guaranteed this month). They did not want to mess with it. I don\u2019t know why. They don\u2019t have a good enough roster where that $19.5 million really matters.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Cutting Murray now meant there was zero chance the team would be on the hook for that $19.5 million in 2027 salary, in addition to the $22.8 million already locked in for 2026. (Minnesota is paying $1.3 million of that after signing Murray as a free agent and promising not to use the franchise tag on him next offseason.)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t know why you would not just keep him on your roster for the whole season and then figure it out next year,\u201d another exec said. \u201cYou could probably trade him straight up off the $19.5 million, or if you cut him, then he\u2019s making $1.5 million next year with someone else, so it\u2019s an $18 million risk. If you can get a third-round pick for him, that is well worth the risk.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals did not want to take that risk, and so first-year coach Mike LaFleur heads into the draft with Brissett, Gardner Minshew and Kedon Slovis on the QB depth chart. Arizona possesses the No. 3 pick.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHow were the Cardinals not able to trade him to the Jets, eat $35 million this year and then the Jets are on the hook for the $19.5 million next year?\u201d the exec added. \u201cThat is basically two years at $25 million. The Jets would not have signed up for that?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Jets went with Geno Smith instead. Whatever the Cardinals do at quarterback, they will be banking on better health in 2026, without Murray\u2019s presence defining the narrative. Their free-agent class was modest, led by former Steelers guard Isaac Seumalo at $10.5 million per year.<\/p>\n<p>Atlanta Falcons<\/p>\n<p>Added: $37.9M (21st) | Lost: $42.6M (16th) | Differential: -$4.7M (19th)<\/p>\n<p>The Falcons have been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/5464817\/2024\/05\/02\/nfl-draft-nfc-best-worst-classes-insider-reaction\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an easy team<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6327490\/2025\/05\/02\/nfl-draft-2025-nfc-teams-giants-bears\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">question over the years<\/a>. They got even easier to question during this free-agency cycle despite having new leadership in place.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is nothing about what they have done that I can say, \u2018That makes sense,\u2019\u201d one exec said.<\/p>\n<p>What about signing Tua Tagovailoa on the cheap?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor the price, you can\u2019t hate on that,\u201d another exec said. \u201cBut overall, it seems like they swapped out guys for guys. They have some talent, but they are not in win-now mode. They are not in tank mode, either. They seem very net neutral.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That was about as positive as these discussions sounded.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou give the 41-year-old kicker (Nick Folk) two years, $9 million, $4 million guaranteed,\u201d a third exec said. \u201cJake Bailey, a punter, gets three years, $9 million, $5 million guaranteed. Austin Hooper is 31. Tua, I can see that \u2014 they needed to do something. Christian Harris is young enough as a linebacker to have some upside. But that is not a good class. That\u2019s a grab bag of, \u2018We don\u2019t know what we\u2019re doing.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It sounds harsh, but this feedback was consistent across every conversation regarding Atlanta. Either the Falcons are smarter than everyone else, or they are making confounding moves.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhy are you doing these deals?\u201d the third exec added. \u201cIf you are going to pay these guys, why wouldn\u2019t you pay to keep Kaden Elliss? He is 30 years old, but a good player coming off one of his best years. Played like 100 percent of the snaps (99.9 percent), can play multiple spots, can rush, play off the ball. It\u2019s crazy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Carolina Panthers<\/p>\n<p>Added: $54.7M (8th) | Lost: $31.5M (23rd) | Differential: $23.2M (9th)<\/p>\n<p>If paying $30 million per year for Jaelan Phillips felt like going over the top one year after getting outbid for Milton Williams, who chose New England over Carolina in 2025 free agency, it\u2019s a plausible theory.<\/p>\n<p>The deal for Phillips, whom Philadelphia tried to re-sign, ranks No. 1 in annual average among all deals for free agents changing teams this offseason (Trent McDuffie got more from the Rams after they acquired him by trade). The Panthers invested another $14 million per year in linebacker Devin Lloyd, a clear signal they expect another jump in defensive performance after moving from last to 22nd in defensive EPA per play last season.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLloyd has one year of production, but I like him,\u201d an exec said. \u201cI like Phillips as a move-around piece, but he has never been a finisher.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Phillips, 26, set a career high in pressure rate last season (18.8 percent). That ranked eighth among 271 players with at least 100 pass-rush snaps (10.8 percent was the average). He converted only 6.8 percent of those pressures (five) into sacks, which ranked 199th (12.6 percent was the average).<\/p>\n<p>\u201c(Phillips) fits that 26-year-old, second-contract guy who matches your window,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThat\u2019s where Maxx Crosby and Trey Hendrickson don\u2019t make as much sense for Carolina. Jaelan kind of allows them to finally replace Brian Burns, who they traded for cents on the dollar.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Chicago Bears<\/p>\n<p>Added: $43.6M (18th) | Lost: $69.3M (6th) | Differential: -$25.7M (23rd)<\/p>\n<p>The Bills took heat for sending a second-round pick to Chicago for receiver D.J. Moore, which means the Bears deserve some applause for the move. The Bears didn\u2019t do much else on offense, but acquiring Garrett Bradbury from the Patriots provided Caleb Williams with a veteran center after Drew Dalman\u2019s surprise retirement.<\/p>\n<p>Execs also liked safety Coby Bryant\u2019s addition to the secondary.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGood player \u2014 wish we could have gotten him,\u201d an exec said of Bryant.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSeattle wanted to keep him,\u201d another exec said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/GettyImages-2266077583-scaled.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7168133 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/GettyImages-2266077583-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Coby Bryant, wearing a black suit, shirt and tie, looks forward in front of a backdrop with the Bears' logo.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n      Many around the league approved of the Bears\u2019 addition of safety Coby Bryant. (Chris Sweda \/ Chicago Tribune \/ Tribune News Service via Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>The Bears\u2019 defense led the NFL with 33 turnovers collected last season. Their top three turnover producers \u2014 cornerback Nahshon Wright (eight), safety Kevin Byard (seven) and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds (five) \u2014 all signed elsewhere. (Chicago cut Edmunds in a salary dump.)<\/p>\n<p>The message was clear: Chicago felt the turnovers masked bigger problems, so it signed Bryant and linebacker Devin Bush early in free agency.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou cannot bank on that stuff,\u201d an exec said of the turnovers. \u201cThey had to get better. They are banking on (corners) Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon being healthy. Coby Bryant is going to play in the post. Devin Bush is the athlete that they like. They will probably either (blitz) him or match him underneath. And then I\u2019d be shocked if they do not continue to build the defensive front.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A gap remains between what the Bears have invested in their defensive front and what they are getting from that group. Eight of the top 12 players on the depth chart at defensive line and linebacker started their careers elsewhere, led by Montez Sweat, Grady Jarrett, Dayo Odeyingbo, T.J. Edwards and now Bush.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe pass rush has been their biggest question on defense the last few years,\u201d another exec said. \u201cIt hasn\u2019t really been the back end, where they\u2019ve given contracts to Jaylon Johnson and their nickel (Gordon), drafted Tyrique Stevenson. They need to improve the D-line, but they couldn\u2019t really do it because they are locked into guys with guaranteed money. They didn\u2019t really address their biggest defensive need.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Cowboys<\/p>\n<p>Added: $42.9M (19th) | Lost: $21.2M (27th) | Differential: $21.7M (10th)<\/p>\n<p>The Cowboys own two of the top 20 picks in the draft, which should help them for the long term, but is there any evidence they are pushing to get past where they\u2019ve been for decades?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDallas is one of those spin-your-wheels type teams that never really gets a lot better,\u201d an exec said.<\/p>\n<p>The Cowboys traded a fourth-round pick for Rashan Gary, who was a candidate to be released, to help a pass rush that wasn\u2019t as good without Micah Parsons. They also subtracted defensive tackle Osa Odighizuwa, whom they traded to San Francisco for a third-round pick a year after signing him to a four-year, $80 million deal.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI was a little disappointed with Dallas,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey got Rashan Gary, who Green Bay was not fired up about. They were not necessarily going to bring him back.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Owner\/GM Jerry Jones said the Cowboys have long-term plans for receiver George Pickens, whom the team franchise-tagged, but what does that mean?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat are they going to do with Pickens?\u201d another exec asked. \u201cAre you going to have two receivers making (at least $34 million, CeeDee Lamb\u2019s APY), plus the quarterback (Dak Prescott) making $60 million?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Detroit Lions<\/p>\n<p>Added: $18.7M (28th) | Lost: $43.4M (13th) | Differential: -$24.7M (22nd)<\/p>\n<p>For the second offseason in a row, the Lions are waiting to see whether new additions to their coaching staff can give Detroit the edge it enjoyed before acclaimed offensive coordinator Ben Johnson left to become the Bears\u2019 head coach.<\/p>\n<p>New offensive coordinator Drew Petzing and new pass game coordinator Mike Kafka appear more important than the modest additions in free agency, which addressed the offensive line. Cade Mays was added at center, but the biggest move might be internal, with right tackle Penei Sewell moving to the left side after the release of Taylor Decker.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTo me, they did not do anything notable from a personnel standpoint outside of some special teams guys they added, which I think were pretty good for them,\u201d an exec said.<\/p>\n<p>Linebacker Damone Clark, signed from Houston, made eight solo tackles on special teams last season, more than anyone else currently on the Lions. Exciting, right?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe biggest questions with Detroit remain on the coaching staff,\u201d another exec said. \u201cLet\u2019s see what Petzing and Kafka are able to infuse in terms of better ideas, better execution, more creative play calling or whatever.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Green Bay Packers<\/p>\n<p>Added: $26.8M (26th) | Lost: $97.6M (2nd) | Differential: -$70.8M (31st)<\/p>\n<p>The Packers took a big swing in acquiring Micah Parsons before the 2025 season, but that was an outlier move, not an indication Green Bay is suddenly shoving all its chips to the middle.<\/p>\n<p>Players leaving their roster in free agency or via trade commanded $97.6 million in combined APY, second most in the league. That was a big part of the -$70.8 million APY differential for the Packers, the second-largest negative differential this offseason (Miami is at -$79.0 million \u2014 no other team is beyond -$60 million). The differential would have been more extreme if left tackle Rasheed Walker, who is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6999636\/2026\/01\/26\/packers-rasheed-walker-arrested-gun\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">facing a gun charge<\/a>, hadn\u2019t found a cool market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey drafted (receiver Matthew) Golden in the first round and are letting him flourish while they let Romeo Doubs hit the market,\u201d an exec said. \u201cThat\u2019s them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Packers are in line to net four 2027 compensatory picks, per Over the Cap: fourth-rounders for Malik Willis and Romeo Doubs, a fifth-rounder for Quay Walker and a sixth for Kingsley Enagbare.<\/p>\n<p>The cycle will repeat.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGreen Bay didn\u2019t do anything,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey are a team that historically drafts very well. They are really not a player in free agency.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Packers\u2019 most expensive signing, Javon Hargrave, will not cost them a comp pick because he was not a true unrestricted free agent (the Vikings released him). The Packers traded defensive tackle Colby Wooden to Indy for linebacker Zaire Franklin, so no draft picks were sacrificed there.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is hard to say they did anything beyond just stay pat,\u201d another exec said.<\/p>\n<p>With no first-round pick because of the Parsons trade, Green Bay has few avenues remaining to make impact additions.<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Rams<\/p>\n<p>Added: $50.2M (11th) | Lost: $5.4M (32nd) | Differential: $44.8M (4th)<\/p>\n<p>Acquiring former Chiefs cornerback Trent McDuffie for picks in the first, fifth and sixth rounds this year, plus a third-rounder in 2027, showed how serious the Rams were about fixing a fatal flaw at the position.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t mind it,\u201d an exec said. \u201cIf you still think you are in the window and you have Matt Stafford coming back, you have to do everything you can to try to win it one more time. They still have a first-round pick.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>McDuffie\u2019s addition was only part of the story. Signing him for $31 million per year, the highest figure among cornerbacks, was the exclamation point.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI know they paid McDuffie a ton of money. But those teams that embrace where the cap is going and can adjust to the percentages instead of the sticker shock are ahead of the game,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey realize that $30 million is going to be (more palatable) down the line because other guys will get paid.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>One exec joked he had a hard time picturing coach Sean McVay waiting to see what player might be available to him in the 29th slot.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey probably didn\u2019t see much value in the first-rounder they had and said f\u2014 it, if we can get this guy (McDuffie), let\u2019s just get him,\u201d another exec said.<\/p>\n<p>Adding McDuffie\u2019s former Kansas City teammate, cornerback Jaylen Watson, in free agency felt like an attempt to replicate in the secondary what worked well for the Rams atop the 2024 draft. That\u2019s when they selected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/5451818\/2024\/04\/27\/jared-verse-braden-fiske-los-angeles-rams\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Florida State teammates Jared Verse and Braden Fiske<\/a> in the first two rounds.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCorner is a position where even for the top guys, it\u2019s hard to be consistent year over year,\u201d another exec said, \u201cbut I do like how they were aggressive. Their biggest need by far was to get more size, more competitive in the secondary. You are pairing McDuffie with Watson so they can come in together, communicate well together, have that rapport.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Rams traded their own first-round pick, No. 29, to Kansas City while holding onto the 13th pick, which they acquired from Atlanta to drop from 26th to 46th in the 2025 draft. The Rams could have drafted a corner at No. 26 last year, but Maxwell Hairston, who picked off two passes for Buffalo as the 30th pick in 2025, was the only corner selected between the 20th and 47th choices.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey put their chips to the middle of the table,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey have not extended any of their young core. It\u2019s going to be very interesting what happens there if it doesn\u2019t work.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Vikings<\/p>\n<p>Added: $11.3M (30th) | Lost: $40.5M (17th) | Differential: -$29.2M (26th)<\/p>\n<p>The Vikings had to feel even better about adding quarterback Kyler Murray on the cheap after seeing one of their former QBs, Kirk Cousins, command <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7086984\/2026\/04\/02\/kirk-cousins-raiders-nfl-free-agency-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">guarantees in the second year from Las Vegas<\/a>. Yes, the Vikings agreed not to use the franchise tag on Murray after 2026, but that\u2019s a problem Minnesota might welcome at this point.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMinnesota improved,\u201d an exec said. \u201cI like what they did with Kyler Murray. How could you not? They have a ton of talent on offense. They have a more competitive QB room now.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Murray is one of 29 quarterbacks to start at least 25 games over the past three seasons. He ranks 17th among them in quarterback EPA per start, about the same as Sam Darnold, who ranks 16th.<\/p>\n<p>Darnold has a league-best 28-7 (.800) starting record among those 29 quarterbacks over this three-year span. Murray\u2019s record is only 13-17 (.433).<\/p>\n<p>The difference: Darnold\u2019s Vikings and Seahawks averaged +7.5 combined EPA on defense and special teams in his starts, which ranked No. 1 in the 29-quarterback sample. Murray\u2019s Cardinals averaged -2.5 combined EPA on defense\/special teams, worst in the sample.<\/p>\n<p>This all points to Murray\u2019s record improving significantly in Minnesota, unless the defense falls off.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey lost some pieces on defense and had to shed a lot of cap,\u201d another exec said. \u201cWithout a GM in place, I\u2019d imagine (defensive coordinator) Brian Flores is very involved in what decisions are being made on defense, and he\u2019ll be able to adjust. That should give them some comfort.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Saints<\/p>\n<p>Added: $47.1M (15th) | Lost: $38.5M (20th) | Differential: $8.7M (14th)<\/p>\n<p>The Saints rank second to the Dolphins ($179.2 million) in dead money at $112.1 million, the amount of salary counting against the cap for players no longer with the team. New Orleans avoided making short-term moves that might grow that number, which execs around the league applauded.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Saints\u2019 build is impressive, I\u2019ll give them that,\u201d an exec said. \u201c(Travis) Etienne is a fast guy that has juice on that turf. Losing Demario Davis and his leadership is tough. We liked Alontae Taylor as well. Those defensive losses are huge, but they make sense. They are not trying to build around 30-year-olds.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The additions on offense \u2014 David Edwards at guard, Etienne at running back and Noah Fant at tight end \u2014 give second-year quarterback Tyler Shough more of a chance.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are limited because of the cap, and so you can\u2019t go wrong investing in O-line,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey got younger at running back. Outside of (Chris) Olave, they did not have much speed. Adding Fant and Etienne, they definitely got a lot faster. Kaden Elliss is solid.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Saints still need receiver help and could target that in the draft.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are slowly and steadily getting out of cap hell, and making moves that don\u2019t hamper flexibility is smart,\u201d an exec said.<\/p>\n<p>New York Giants<\/p>\n<p>Added: $48.4M (12th) | Lost: $50.9M (10th) | Differential: -$2.5M (17th)<\/p>\n<p>The Giants\u2019 big free-agent signing was coach John Harbaugh, not tight end Isaiah Likely, linebacker Tremaine Edmunds or cornerback Greg Newsome. Harbaugh, whose background is in special teams, also brought in a new kicker (Jason Sanders), punter (Jordan Stout, whom his Ravens drafted in Round 4 in 2022) and long snapper (Zach Triner).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think what they have done is pretty good to this point,\u201d an exec said. \u201cTo get some familiarity, Likely is a good get for them. The key is, the two rookies from last year, (Cam) Skattebo and (Jaxson) Dart. They did the right thing by letting the receiver (Wan\u2019Dale Robinson) go, but they do not have a lot there beyond (Malik) Nabers. I could see them drafting one of the receivers early on.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Likely ($13.3 million APY) and Edmunds ($12 million) were the most expensive additions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe liked Isaiah Likely,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey know him well. He is a good No. 2 (tight end). I\u2019ve never been a huge fan of Edmunds. We were looking at linebackers, and that was not someone we spent a lot of time on. Nothing they did really scares you.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/GettyImages-2170907830-scaled.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-6566210 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/GettyImages-2170907830-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Isaiah Likely, wearing a white No. 80 uniform and a black helmet, reaches out his right hand.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1706\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n      Isaiah Likely will be reunited with former Ravens head coach John Harbaugh with the Giants. (Christian Petersen \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Philadelphia Eagles<\/p>\n<p>Added: $25.1M (27th) | Lost: $52.1M (9th) | Differential: -$27.0M (24th)<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s easy to forget the Eagles won 11 games last season and were the third seed in the NFC, as the roster seems to be trending negatively in some key spots.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s just like a little lull in their process, and they will build back up,\u201d an exec said. \u201cThey lost guys, and that is what happens when you are in your window. They have done some for-now moves. They also have acquired future picks. They will get a third-round comp pick for (Jaelan) Phillips, so they will be whole there.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Much rides on whether the offensive line and offensive play calling can elevate quarterback Jalen Hurts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPhilly is always going to be Philly by virtue of them drafting and then making strategic decisions, signing guys for extensions early, whether it was the quarterback or the two receivers,\u201d another exec said. \u201cNow they are doing it with the D-linemen. They got stale because their running game sucked and their offensive line was not very good. Let\u2019s see what they do in the draft and if the quarterback can get better.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Eagles signed Jordan Davis, who had 4.5 of his eight career sacks in 2025, to the league\u2019s second-highest APY ($26 million) at his position, and fellow defensive tackle Jalen Carter is also eligible for an extension. A third exec predicted Philadelphia could wind up like New Orleans did in recent years after overleveraging the cap.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou find yourself having to extend players you do not necessarily want to extend to help leverage your books out so you can keep a competitive roster,\u201d this exec said. \u201cIf you don\u2019t continue to win, that thing blows itself up. \u2026 When you are paying those high-priced players, they have to come through.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This exec was not the only one predicting darker days ahead. So much depends on drafting replacements so the Eagles can escape leveraged contracts over time.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7156886\/2026\/03\/29\/aj-brown-speculation-eagles-gm-howie-roseman\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">cannot even trade A.J. Brown<\/a> until June 2 because of the (salary-cap impact),\u201d another exec said. \u201cThey have a lot of deals they have to pay the piper on.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>San Francisco 49ers<\/p>\n<p>Added: $50.8M (10th) | Lost: $11.6M (30th) | Differential: $39.2M (6th)<\/p>\n<p>The 49ers recently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7156270\/2026\/03\/29\/49ers-john-lynch-substation-investigation-results\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">declared their practice facility<\/a> safe, citing a study they commissioned to determine whether a nearby electrical substation was causing injuries.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEveryone starts talking about the substation and, \u2018Why are we always hurt?\u2019\u201d an exec said. \u201cIt\u2019s because you sign hurt players. Mike Evans is going to miss 4-6 games this year, Dre Greenlaw is going to miss eight and you are going to wonder why your players are always hurt.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Evans and Greenlaw, the 49ers\u2019 most expensive additions in free agency, each missed nine of 17 games last season.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA one-year deal for $14 million, that is low risk (on Evans),\u201d another exec said. \u201cIt gives them a big body. You get a vet in that locker room at that position. I do not mind it for a one-year rental.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>There were conflicting opinions over just how much Evans would help the offense.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are going for it, man,\u201d another exec said. \u201cThe red zone production is going to go up even more. Now you have the backside X that can win one-on-one.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A different exec challenged what he heard from a national analyst suggesting Evans would help create space and stretch the field.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis guy runs 19 mph,\u201d this exec said. \u201cHe is a back-shoulder, possession X, which has not been Brock Purdy\u2019s game, and he\u2019s not going to run in the middle of the field like Jauan Jennings did on those bang 8s (skinny posts) and daggers and the deep-ins, catching it on the go and being a run-after-catch guy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>One move everyone liked: adding Osa Odighizuwa to the defensive line via trade with Dallas.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat was a good get and a total upgrade,\u201d one of the execs said.<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Seahawks<\/p>\n<p>Added: $3.0M (32nd) | Lost: $61.5M (8th) | Differential: -$58.5M (30th)<\/p>\n<p>The Seahawks have added zero players for more than $1.8 million per year, choosing instead to make homegrown receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba the NFL\u2019s highest-paid receiver, while exercising a $21.2 million fifth-year option on cornerback Devon Witherspoon, who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7162583\/2026\/04\/02\/seahawks-devon-witherspoon-nfl-draft\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">could be next to cash in with Seattle<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Seahawks watched a long list of contributors leave in free agency, including rotational pass rusher Boye Mafe, Super Bowl MVP running back Kenneth Walker III, safety Coby Bryant and cornerback Riq Woolen.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t mind them letting the back go for that price,\u201d an exec said. \u201cThey will draft one.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s tough to say the Super Bowl champs got better, and with only four picks in the upcoming draft, this figures to be a mostly quiet offseason until the team is sold. Execs felt the team wanted Bryant back, but not Woolen. Most understood the investment in Smith-Njigba.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe receiver (Smith-Njigba) is one of their own, and (GM) John (Schneider) has never really made an outside guy the highest-paid player,\u201d an exec said. \u201c(Smith-Njigba) is a good player, great kid, does it the right way, and he has really developed into one of the best receivers in the NFL.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The team\u2019s upcoming sale had some execs looking into the future.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDo we think Sam Darnold is the long-term answer at quarterback?\u201d one asked. \u201cWhat happens a year from now when there\u2019s a new owner who is not emotionally connected?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Darnold has two years left on his contract. An extension could make sense one year from now.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDak Prescott is making $60 million without a Super Bowl,\u201d the exec added. \u201cSam is at $33.5 million, so \u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s early for that kind of talk.<\/p>\n<p>One small surprise for Seattle: re-signing receiver and game-breaking return specialist Rashid Shaheed for $17.5 million per year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe had $15 million-$18 million listed for him,\u201d an exec said. \u201cYou throw in the return factor and how it flips the field, that is a huge piece of that $17.5 million. You are starting at the 40-yard line if someone lets him return the ball. Then he has such an explosive element that \u2026 I don\u2019t want to say Jaxon is not explosive, but Rashid has that dynamic speed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/p>\n<p>Added: $30.8M (24th) | Lost: $38.7M (19th) | Differential: -$7.8M (20th)<\/p>\n<p>The general feeling among execs was that the Buccaneers slipped this offseason after receiver Mike Evans and cornerback Jamel Dean signed elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey have definitely taken a step back,\u201d one exec said. \u201cI don\u2019t know how they are better.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tampa Bay is certainly different without mainstays in Evans, who signed with San Francisco, and linebacker Lavonte David, who retired.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLosing Mike Evans is huge, and the fact that he left for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7112481\/2026\/03\/12\/mike-evans-49ers-nfl-free-agency\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">what he perceived to be a closer contender<\/a>, and for less money, seems like an indictment on the direction in Tampa,\u201d one exec said. \u201cLavonte David was more veteran presence but starting to become a liability in coverage. \u201d<\/p>\n<p>Rachaad White is out at running back. Kenneth Gainwell is in for $7 million per year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEverything they did was kind of a wash,\u201d another exec said.<\/p>\n<p>Washington Commanders<\/p>\n<p>Added: $80.1M (3rd) | Lost: $23.1M (26th) | Differential: $57.0M (3rd)<\/p>\n<p>The Commanders entered free agency with lots of cap space, but that was partly a mirage. They had more roster spots to fill than most after signing so many short-term contracts over the past two offseasons, and they filled them with a league-high seven newcomers earning at least $6.5 million per year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou kind of get what you pay for with those $6 million-$8 million guys,\u201d an exec said. \u201cThey are fringe starters. It makes some sense. You gotta fill out your roster. They had to get younger.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Badly in need of pass-rush help, Washington committed $35 million in combined APY to free-agent edge rushers Odafe Oweh ($24 million) and K\u2019Lavon Chaisson ($11 million).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThose are rotational pieces,\u201d an exec said. \u201cOweh is more of a DPR (designated pass rusher) than an every-down guy, a little hit and miss. But they needed some speed on defense.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>One under-the-radar signing to watch: defensive lineman Tim Settle, who spent his first four seasons in D.C. after Washington drafted him in 2018.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSettle was Houston\u2019s best run defender, the interior guy who knocks people back,\u201d one exec said. \u201cI would have loved to have had him. He\u2019s a Virginia Tech kid, from Virginia, so that was what it was.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Quarterback Jayden Daniels\u2019 return to health under first-time offensive coordinator David Blough stands out as the key variable, more than these signings.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are making a bunch of revolving-door moves this year, which looks like a panic to me,\u201d one exec said. \u201cIt is going to depend on how the quarterback plays. He can save it all.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Talking through the AFC teams\u2019 free agencies with NFL executives was so much fun that we\u2019re back with&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":851479,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[390,254,260,391,257,113,7,345,58,259,55,56,6,109,252,261,250,111],"class_list":{"0":"post-851478","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl","8":"tag-arizona-cardinals","9":"tag-atlanta-falcons","10":"tag-carolina-panthers","11":"tag-chicago-bears","12":"tag-dallas-cowboys","13":"tag-detroit-lions","14":"tag-football","15":"tag-green-bay-packers","16":"tag-los-angeles-rams","17":"tag-minnesota-vikings","18":"tag-new-orleans-saints","19":"tag-new-york-giants","20":"tag-nfl","21":"tag-philadelphia-eagles","22":"tag-san-francisco-49ers","23":"tag-seattle-seahawks","24":"tag-tampa-bay-buccaneers","25":"tag-washington-commanders"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116341584416265538","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851478","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=851478"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851478\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/851479"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=851478"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=851478"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=851478"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}