Part two<\/a> revealed that struggles with accuracy were his largest weakness, but that improved significantly late in the season.<\/p>\n We saw in part three<\/a> that Caleb was great at setting up scramble drill situations, but the Bears have to take better advantage of those opportunities.<\/p>\n Part four<\/a> found the pass protection was solid in 2025, but questions at C and LT create real concerns about how it will fare in 2026.<\/p>\n In part five<\/a>, we saw Caleb generally performed well when blitzed and\/or pressured, but accuracy issues limited his overall impact in these situations.<\/p>\n Today, we\u2019re going to wrap up the series by exploring how Caleb did against man and zone coverage.<\/p>\n General Overview<\/p>\n Let\u2019s start with a general look at how Williams performed against man and zone coverage in 2025. All data comes from\u00a0Pro Football Focus (PFF)<\/a>\u00a0unless otherwise noted.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n Before we get into the data, a quick caveat: PFF doesn\u2019t publicly show this data by QB, but instead by pass catcher. I manually compiled it to do comparisons, but it doesn\u2019t include all throws. This accounts for a little under 80% of Williams\u2019 total pass attempts (and total pass attempts thrown in the NFL in 2025); it for sure does not include throwaways with no pass target (which PFF says were about 7.5% of Caleb\u2019s throws), and I would imagine also does not include screens and quick hitters where the play developed too quickly to determine the coverage.<\/p>\n With that said, the table below shows how Williams fared throwing against both man and zone compared to the NFL average (I couldn\u2019t do the usual NFL high\/medium\/low since this wasn\u2019t split up by QB).<\/p>\n (If you can\u2019t view the full figure, click on it to open in a new tab. Sorry about formatting issues.)<\/p>\n A few thoughts:<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n The first thing to note is that teams generally play far more zone than man coverage, and so zone performance ends up being more important for overall production. The NFL average is over 70% zone to less than 30% man, and Williams in particular had roughly 3x as many passes against zone coverage as he did man.<\/p>\n Given that we\u2019ve seen issues with Williams\u2019 accuracy<\/a> (and therefore completion percentage) throughout the entire series, the first thing that stands out to me is he\u2019s actually fairly close to average completing passes against man coverage. The accuracy discrepancy is much larger in zone. This is directly flipped from what happened in Williams\u2019 rookie season<\/a>.<\/p>\n Without more data, I\u2019m not sure if this is a meaningful data point, small sample size, due to target depth (the air yards\/catch here is only for completed passes, not intended passes), or what.<\/p>\n I do find it interesting, however, that Williams\u2019 average completed pass was about a yard shorter than the NFL average against man coverage and about a yard farther than the NFL average against zone coverage. This speaks to the types of passes Williams was attempting (or at least completing) against each coverage.<\/p>\n Williams\u2019 yards\/attempt was solid in both of these areas despite generally being lower than average<\/a> in most places this series, which highlights the impact Caleb\u2019s high rate of throwaways (which are not included in this data) had on his yards\/attempt mark overall.<\/p>\n Unsurprisingly, Williams was excellent at avoiding interceptions against both coverages.<\/p>\n Positional Split \u2013 Man<\/p>\n Let\u2019s look now at how Williams did throwing to various positions against both man and zone, starting with man coverage. The table below shows how frequently and effectively Williams threw to running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends when the opposing defense was in man.<\/p>\n A few thoughts:<\/p>\n In general, WRs are the man-beaters in NFL offenses, as their target share is about 10% higher against man than zone.<\/p>\n Caleb targeted all three positions at a league-average rate. This is a huge change from his rookie season<\/a>, when he was heavily reliant on WRs, and likely speaks to losing high-volume WR Keenan Allen<\/a> and adding high-volume TE Colston Loveland<\/a>.<\/p>\n DJ Moore<\/a> (20 targets against man) and Olamide Zacchaeus (16) were 2nd and 3rd, respectively, in targets against man coverage for the 2025 Bears. With their departures, I am guessing we will see more man-beaters go to TEs in 2026.<\/p>\n The reason for that is Colston Loveland, who emerged as a real weapon down the stretch of his rookie season. He saw 16 targets, 11 catches, and 121 yards against man coverage on the year, but the majority of that (12 targets, 9 catches, 108 yards) came in the final 7 weeks of the season.<\/p>\n In terms of efficiency throwing to different positions:<\/p>\n Caleb completed passes at an average rate to WRs, but really struggled gaining yards. A breakdown by player, however, illustrates that problem may not be Caleb\u2019s:<\/p>\n DJ Moore: 55% completion, 7.3 yards\/attempt<\/p>\n Olamide Zacchaeus: 50% completion, 3.6 yards\/attempt<\/p>\n Olamide Zacchaeus was terrible as a pass catcher last year. He helped in other areas of the offense, but his absence should make Chicago\u2019s passing game better.<\/p>\n Caleb had a low completion percentage but extremely high yards\/target when passing to RBs. This is likely due to a small sample size, as it constitutes 13 total targets (7 completions), so 1 big play could easily skew the total yardage.<\/p>\n Caleb was highly effective throwing to tight ends, and this was true to both Loveland (69% completion, 7.6 yards\/attempt) and Cole Kmet<\/a> (63% completion, 7.9 yards\/attempt). Kmet has never been a high-volume weapon against man coverage, but can be dangerous off play action, while Loveland seems poised to take over as a primary man-beater in 2026.<\/p>\n Positional Split \u2013 Zone<\/p>\n Let\u2019s shift now to looking at how Williams fared against zone coverage. The table below matches the one for man above but is zone stats.<\/p>\n A few thoughts:<\/p>\n In general, we see fewer passes going to WRs against zone than man, with most of the increase going to RBs. Caleb follows the lower WR trend, but threw most of those extra passes to TE, targeting RBs at a very low rate compared to his NFL peers.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/836bfde46b6cce91aa137dfb7ddb74a6.jpeg\"\/)
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