{"id":872521,"date":"2026-04-23T06:45:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T06:45:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/872521\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T06:45:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T06:45:18","slug":"what-could-impact-the-vikings-first-draft-pick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/872521\/","title":{"rendered":"What Could Impact the Vikings\u2019 First Draft Pick"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The NFL Draft begins Thursday in Pittsburgh rumors have been swirling about which prospect teams will pick. The Minnesota Vikings have been linked to safety Dillon Thieneman and more recently to tight end Kenyon Sadiq, although not as strongly as Thieneman has been.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">However, there is no guarantee either prospect will be available when the Vikings are on the clock at #18. With that in mind, let\u2019s take a look at some likely scenarios for the Vikings for the first night of the draft.<\/p>\n<p>The Likely First Prospects Drafted<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For the Vikings, it doesn\u2019t really matter much which team picks the top ten prospects. It\u2019s highly unlikely the Vikings are going to trade up into the top ten so if Caleb Downs is picked at #5 or #9 isn\u2019t relevant. What is relevant are which of the top prospects are picked ahead of the Vikings. With that in mind, here are the top prospects that are highly likely to be picked in the top ten and effectively out of reach for the Vikings:<\/p>\n<p>QB Fernando MendozaED Arvell ReeseED David BaileyRB Jeremiyah LoveLB Sonny StylesWR Carnell TateCB Mansoor DelaneS Caleb DownsWR Jordyn TysonED Rueban Bain Jr.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Beyond these ten prospects, I would also add the two top offensive line prospects as very likely to be taken ahead of the Vikings. They are:<\/p>\n<p>OT Francis MauigoaOT Spencer Fano<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">All of the above names are -130 (56.5% implied probability) of being selected in the top ten and even higher therefore that they\u2019d be selected in the top 15.<\/p>\n<p>#12: Where the First Round Gets Interesting<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Dallas owns the twelfth pick in the draft and there has been rumors that they could trade this pick either up or down. Stephen Jones said its not possible for them to trade up into the top five, presumably ruling that out. But if the Cowboys don\u2019t trade this pick, there is a chance that their preferred prospects for this pick are gone. If that were the case, they might look to trade down or if that didn\u2019t work out, pick the top player on their board, even if its not a great value at #12.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There really isn\u2019t a good read on who the Cowboys may pick here if they don\u2019t trade the pick. DraftKings has Mansoor Delane at the most likely pick at +600, which is a lot lower probability for the favorite compared to just about any other draft slot in the top 15-20. And Delane is likely to be gone by twelve. The Cowboys reportedly have first-round grades on just twelve players this year<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">One of the more likely options if all the above names are off the board is Dillon Thieneman, who has been linked heavily to the Vikings. Jermod McCoy had been linked to the Cowboys, but apparently there are significant medical concerns with McCoy that he may need an additional knee surgery to correct a problem and his knee issue may be a degenerative condition. Given those concerns, McCoy is now expected to be drafted in the late first round or possibly second round.<\/p>\n<p>This is also where multiple trades could happen<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There is also considerable speculation that there could be multiple trades in this range of the first round as teams looking for an offensive lineman may look to trade up. Some teams picking in this range may also be willing to trade down a bit and select an edge rusher.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">As it stands currently, the Rams picking at #13 are thought to be looking at a pass catcher, most likely Makai Lemon, but possibly Kenyon Sadiq.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Ravens at #14 have been strongly linked to the top guard in the draft Olaivavega Ioane, which is also a big need. They have also been rumored to be willing to trade down a bit too.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Tampa Bay picks next at #15 but is rumored to be looking to trade down a bit and pick an edge rusher, most likely Akheem Mesidor. However, if they don\u2019t trade down there is a significant chance that they take Kenyon Sadiq here, who has been linked to the Vikings recently. The rumor that the Bucs are looking to trade down may indicate that the Bucs prefer to draft an edge rusher first, but they have met with every tight end expected to be drafted in the first three or four rounds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Jets pick at #16 and are rumored to be targeting a receiver here, possibly Omar Cooper Jr.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Lions pick next and are widely thought to prefer tackle Kadyn Proctor. In fact, they may be a candidate to trade up a few spots to get their guy.<\/p>\n<p>And Then the Vikings Are On the Clock<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I expect one way or another Kadyn Proctor will be off the board by the time the Vikings are on the clock, which would leave the following prospects available (most likely) ranked by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com\/big-boards\/2026\/consensus-big-board-2026?pos=ALL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">consensus board<\/a> with prospects the Vikings have met with during the pre-draft process in bold:<\/p>\n<p>#14 OT Monroe Freeling#15 CB Jermod McCoy#17 TE Kenyon Sadiq#18 S Dillon Thieneman#20 ED Keldric Faulk#23 WR KC Concepcion#24 S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren#25 WR Denzel Boston#26 OT Caleb Lomu#27 OT Blake Miller#28 DT Peter Woods#29 Kayden McDonald<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I\u2019m guessing if these are the prospects available when the Vikings are on the clock at #18 the Vikings will pick Kenyon Sadiq.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s unclear who is the highest player available on the Vikings\u2019 board, but the Vikings have met with a couple safety prospects expected to be drafted on Day Two (Treydan Stukes and Jalon Kilgore) and just one tight end (Oscar Delp). But more than that, drafting Sadiq here could accomplish a few things. First, given Sadiq\u2019s skillset, it sharply reduces the need to draft for another wide receiver. Maybe a late Day Three pick instead of a potential Day Two pick. Secondly, it could make T.J. Hockenson expendable via trade, saving $10 million in cap space this year, although not sure if the Vikings will actually do so. Sadiq also has the skillset that fits very well with existing personnel and the direction the Vikings want to go offensively. Sadiq isn\u2019t a traditional tight end- he\u2019s an H-back that can be WR3, block, motion, and run jet sweeps. And he allows the Vikings to blur 11 and 12 personnel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Vikings have a lot more needs on defense, and there is a good chance the next three picks would be defensive players if the Vikings took Sadiq here.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">If Sadiq is not available, I expect the Vikings will consider trading down, even if Thieneman is available. They\u2019ll take Thieneman if no trade deal can be done and he\u2019s available. If they trade down, Kayden McDonald could be in play.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">We\u2019ll see how it plays out shortly.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Follow me on X\/Bluesky @wludford<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The NFL Draft begins Thursday in Pittsburgh rumors have been swirling about which prospect teams will pick. The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":860460,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2073],"tags":[7,233,259,113147,1387,2529,6,234],"class_list":{"0":"post-872521","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-minnesota-vikings","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-minnesota","10":"tag-minnesota-vikings","11":"tag-minnesota-vikings-2026-nfl-draft","12":"tag-minnesota-vikings-draft","13":"tag-minnesotavikings","14":"tag-nfl","15":"tag-vikings"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116452676330856425","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/872521","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=872521"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/872521\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/860460"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=872521"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=872521"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=872521"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}