{"id":894765,"date":"2026-05-18T17:15:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T17:15:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/894765\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T17:15:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T17:15:23","slug":"dolphins-schedule-win-probability-for-every-game-in-2026-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/894765\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolphins schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026 season"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"USA<\/a><\/p>\n

Mike Masala, Dolphins Wire<\/p>\n

Mon, May 18, 2026 at 4:50 PM UTC\"\"<\/p>\n

Dolphins schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026 season<\/p>\n

The Miami Dolphins<\/a>, in their first year under new general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan and head coach Jeff Hafley, have a tough slate of games to play in the regular season. In fact, their schedule is the second-toughest in the league only behind the Arizona Cardinals<\/a>.<\/p>\n

With Miami unveiling their schedule last week, ESPN’s Mike Clay released<\/a> his shared win-probability projections for every Dolphins<\/a> game in 2026, and there’s no game that he projects the team with a more than 50% chance of winning a game.<\/p>\n

Take a look at their win probability for each game below.<\/p>\n

Week 2 at San Francisco 49ers: 7%<\/p>\n

Week 3 vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 15%<\/p>\n

Week 7 at New York Jets: 20%<\/p>\n

Week 8 vs. New England Patriots: 15%<\/p>\n

Week 12 vs. New York Jets: 33%<\/p>\n

Week 16 vs. Los Angeles Chargers: 15%<\/p>\n

Week 17 vs. Buffalo Bills: 14%<\/p>\n

Week 18 at New England Patriots: 7%<\/p>\n

More Dolphins: Dolphins coach called Day-2 pick their “No. 1 ranked guy” in the draft<\/a><\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Dolphins Wire: Dolphins’ win probability for every game on 2026 schedule<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Mike Masala, Dolphins Wire Mon, May 18, 2026 at 4:50 PM UTC Dolphins schedule: Win probability for every…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":894766,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2049],"tags":[390,53,217,7,8628,95805,110,393,216,251,2087,9303,249,255,6,8403],"class_list":["post-894765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami-dolphins","tag-arizona-cardinals","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-dolphins","tag-football","tag-jeff-hafley","tag-jon-eric-sullivan","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-las-vegas-raiders","tag-miami","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-miamidolphins","tag-mike-clay","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-new-york-jets","tag-nfl","tag-schedule"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116596711415557524","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/894765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=894765"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/894765\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894766"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=894765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=894765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=894765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}