{"id":911654,"date":"2026-06-06T15:54:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-06T15:54:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/911654\/"},"modified":"2026-06-06T15:54:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-06T15:54:14","slug":"browns-receive-concerning-12-8-nfl-draft-projection-from-espn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/911654\/","title":{"rendered":"Browns receive concerning 12.8% NFL Draft projection from ESPN"},"content":{"rendered":"

Browns receive concerning 12.8% NFL Draft projection from ESPN<\/a> originally appeared on The Sporting News<\/a>. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Cleveland Browns<\/a> are a rebuilding team. If it wasn’t clear before, the Myles Garrett<\/a> blockbuster trade made it especially clear now.<\/p>\n

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With Andrew Berry and Todd Monken looking into the future, it’s also become clear that the future of Deshaun Watson<\/a> and Shedeur Sanders<\/a> as the Browns quarterback might only last the 2026 season. They’re eyeing a rookie in the 2027 NFL Draft class.<\/p>\n

Unfortunately, Seth Walder of ESPN<\/a> shared a projection for the Browns that revealed Cleveland has just a 12.8% chance to land the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft class.<\/p>\n

Browns have just 12.8% chance to land No. 1 pick<\/p>\n

“So Miami<\/a> has a 20.1% chance to earn the No. 1 pick, while the Jets<\/a> are at 17.1%,” Walder writes. “The Cardinals<\/a> and Browns follow behind at 15.3% and 12.8%, respectively.”<\/p>\n

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With the Browns very clearly expected to be in the quarterback market during next year’s NFL Draft, it’s noteworthy that they have the fourth-best odds to land the No. 1 pick.<\/p>\n

But having such good odds compared to the rest of the NFL shouldn’t be a surprise. The real issue is their odds for the top pick compared to the other teams at the bottom of the NFL.<\/p>\n

With the Miami Dolphins<\/a> having the best odds for that top pick, and the New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals<\/a> right behind them, the Browns are firmly in fourth place.<\/p>\n

MORE:\u00a0Taylen Green has a much higher ceiling for Browns than Shedeur Sanders<\/a><\/p>\n

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Landing a top-two pick next year is imperative for a quarterback-needy team, as Arch Manning<\/a> and Dante Moore<\/a> are expected to be incredible QB prospects worth using such a premium pick on.<\/p>\n

If the Browns wind up picking fourth overall, they might still have the chance to land a solid quarterback prospect, but very likely not the best option.<\/p>\n

While a similar situation has worked out great for the New England Patriots<\/a>, with their pick of Drake<\/a> May at No. 3 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft clearly working out great, there is a lot of risk in missing the top pick overall.<\/p>\n

Though if there is one saving-grace for the Browns, the Las Vegas Raiders<\/a> are next-highest at 11.0%, and they’re very likely to pass on a QB prospect after taking Fernando Mendoza No. 1 overall.<\/p>\n

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MORE:\u00a0Harold Fannin Jr. will need to prove his worth in Todd Monken<\/a>\u2019s Browns offense<\/a><\/p>\n

The Tennessee Titans<\/a> follow at 5.8%, the Carolina Panthers<\/a> at 4.3%, the New Orleans Saints<\/a> at 3.1%, and the rest of the field is below 2.0% chance for the No. 1 pick.<\/p>\n

Dolphins, Jets, and Cardinals all need a new quarterback. If one of the Panthers or Saints finishes with the top pick, they could explore those QB options to replace Bryce Young<\/a> and Tyler Shough<\/a>, respectively.<\/p>\n

The Browns have a 12.8% chance to land the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. But, it’s a little concerning that the Dolphins, Jets, and Cardinals all have better odds by at least 2.0%.<\/p>\n

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They have a good shot at the top pick, but it’s also possible they miss out on a great chance to land their quarterback of the future if Sanders and\/or Watson perform well during the 2026 season.<\/p>\n

More NFL news:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Browns receive concerning 12.8% NFL Draft projection from ESPN originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":911655,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[2007,615,390,1476,260,54,6446,563,995,7,795,226,393,216,251,1304,249,55,6,15,297,238,17,20703,394,582,23813,283],"class_list":["post-911654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl-draft","tag-andrew-berry","tag-arch-manning","tag-arizona-cardinals","tag-bryce-young","tag-carolina-panthers","tag-cleveland-browns","tag-dante-moore","tag-deshaun-watson","tag-drake","tag-football","tag-harold-fannin-jr","tag-jets","tag-las-vegas-raiders","tag-miami","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-myles-garrett","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-new-orleans-saints","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-draft","tag-nick-emmanwori","tag-seahawks","tag-shedeur-sanders","tag-taylen-green","tag-tennessee-titans","tag-the-browns","tag-todd-monken","tag-tyler-shough"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116703976719227177","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/911654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=911654"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/911654\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/911655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=911654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=911654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=911654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}