{"id":913352,"date":"2026-06-08T13:15:20","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T13:15:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/913352\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T13:15:20","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T13:15:20","slug":"jaguars-projected-playoff-and-super-bowl-chances-for-2026-nfl-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/913352\/","title":{"rendered":"Jaguars projected playoff and Super Bowl chances for 2026 NFL season"},"content":{"rendered":"

ESPN has released its projected<\/a> playoff chances for each NFL team heading into the 2026 season, including the Jacksonville Jaguars.<\/a><\/p>\n

These metrics are calculated by ESPN’s Football Power Index <\/a>(FPI) model.<\/p>\n

“Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

Jaguars<\/a> projected win-loss totals and playoff chances for 2026<\/p>\n

As of now, ESPN has the Jaguars with a projected win-loss record of 9-8. This is the 17th-best record in the NFL.<\/p>\n

Jacksonville’s overall strength of schedule<\/a> this season ranks around the middle of the pack, but adding to the challenge will be a difficult stretch<\/a> to start the season, along with facing a road-heavy schedule.<\/p>\n

The Jaguars’ playoff chances sit at 54%, which ranks 14th.<\/p>\n

Taking this a few steps further, the Jaguars’ chances of winning the AFC South are 34.9%, while their chances of making it to the Super Bowl are at 6.3%.<\/p>\n

Jacksonville has a 2.9% chance of winning the Super Bowl, according to ESPN, the 13th-best chance of any team.<\/p>\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n

Despite the Jaguars going 13-4 last season and winning the AFC South, many are down on Jacksonville heading into this season. That is largely due to a quiet free agent period and a draft class that has often been criticized<\/a>.<\/p>\n

That said, continuity will be a key element for the Jaguars this season. Relatively speaking, there was little roster turnover, while having a second full offseason in Liam Coen and Anthony Campanile’s schemes could be the catalyst behind a Year 2 leap in 2026.<\/p>\n

Coen has also stressed the importance of maintaining a high level of urgency<\/a> throughout the offseason, so last season’s performance becomes the norm and not the outlier.<\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Jaguars Wire: ESPN projects 2026 playoff chances for all 32 NFL teams, including Jaguars<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"ESPN has released its projected playoff chances for each NFL team heading into the 2026 season, including the…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":913353,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2060],"tags":[93627,12,7,212,125,2401,213,6,67094],"class_list":["post-913352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-jacksonville-jaguars","tag-2026-season","tag-espn","tag-football","tag-jacksonville","tag-jacksonville-jaguars","tag-jacksonvillejaguars","tag-jaguars","tag-nfl","tag-playoff-chances"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/116714676118515451","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/913352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=913352"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/913352\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/913353"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=913352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=913352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=913352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}