{"id":999704,"date":"2026-09-13T12:51:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-13T12:51:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/999704\/"},"modified":"2026-09-13T12:51:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-13T12:51:16","slug":"buccaneers-vs-bengals-prediction-odds-week-1-nfl-picks-best-bets-sunday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/999704\/","title":{"rendered":"Buccaneers vs. Bengals prediction, odds: Week 1 NFL picks, best bets Sunday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\tGambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/betting-editorial-standards\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">editorial standards<\/a> for more information.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s another game where a big offense could be on display this weekend.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Joe Burrow hopes to <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/08\/betting\/2026-nfl-predictions-oddsmakers-underestimate-joe-burrows-arm\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">come back with a vengeance<\/a> for Cincinnati as the Bengals 3.5-point favorites in this home matchup against the Buccaneers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Tampa Bay just paid Baker Mayfield <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2026\/09\/08\/sports\/baker-mayfield-agrees-to-massive-three-year-165m-buccaneers-extension\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">big money for his arm<\/a> and I think both teams air it out here.<\/p>\n<p>The Bengals had the 30th-ranked defense in the <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/betting\/best-nfl-betting-sites\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NFL<\/a> in DVOA last year, and while the team invested real capital on that side of the ball, I\u2019m not sure they\u2019ll be much better this year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The Buccaneers have a fully healthy offense for the first time since early 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Zac Taylor\u2019s group allowed 6.2 yards per play last season, the worst in the league in a historically bad season.<\/p>\n<p>So while the Bengals did invest more in their defense by adding ex-Giants defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence, it appears they\u2019ll be without Shemar Stewart, who is doubtful.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img style=\"aspect-ratio:1.49926794;display:block\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"   data-modal-image=\"40781965\" width=\"885\" height=\"590\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/throws-ball-joint-buccaneers-jaguars-138467323.jpg\" alt=\"Baker Mayfield, quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, throwing the football during practice.\" class=\"wp-image-40781965\"\/>Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield throws the ball during a joint Buccaneers-Jaguars NFL practice at the Miller Electric Center on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, in Jacksonville, Fla. USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m seriously dubious those defensive weaknesses are fixed.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s possible that Burrow comes in here with a renewed attitude as one of the NFL\u2019s most elite quarterbacks, but I want the hook here to keep this within a field goal.<\/p>\n<p>Betting on the NFL? <\/p>\n<p>Burrow has played in a lot of one-possession games of late, with nine of his last 15 starts ending within eight points.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re going to target the Over here in an aggressive way.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>THE PLAY: Over 49.5 total points (-110, <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/betting\/fanatics-sportsbook-promo-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Fanatics<\/a>) | Over 58 total points (+230, <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/betting\/betmgm-sign-up-offer\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n<p>Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he\u2019s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":999705,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2053],"tags":[228,1107,227,256,2296,7,6,6020,9,5433,7634,250],"class_list":["post-999704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-cincinnati-bengals","tag-bengals","tag-betting","tag-cincinnati","tag-cincinnati-bengals","tag-cincinnatibengals","tag-football","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting","tag-sports","tag-sports-betting","tag-sports-picks","tag-tampa-bay-buccaneers"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/117263826209456968","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999704","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=999704"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999704\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/999705"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=999704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=999704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=999704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}