The New York Rangers (2-3-0) and Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-0) meet Thursday night. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Rangers vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

2024-25 regular-season series: Maple Leafs won 2-1, with road team winning all 3 meetings

The Rangers were blanked 2-0 by the Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday night as the Under (6) cashed. New York took 30 shots on goal, but it was unable to score. The Rangers became the first team in NHL history to get shut out in each of their first three games at home. It’s a shame for G Igor Shesterkin, too, as he allowed just a single goal on 21 shots.

The Maple Leafs picked up a 7-4 win as moderate favorites (-180) at home Tuesday, bouncing back from a home-and-home sweep at the hands of the Detroit Red Wings Saturday and Monday. Backup G Cayden Primeau allowed 4 goals on 30 shots for the high-scoring win. C Auston Matthews scored 2 goals, while D Oliver Ekman-Larsson, RW William Nylander and C John Tavares each had a goal and 2 assists apiece.

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Rangers at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Maple Leafs -150 (bet $150 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-190) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+155)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)Rangers at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Igor Shesterkin (2-2-0, 0.75 GAA, .971 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Anthony Stolarz (1-2-0, 3.03 GAA, .886 SV%)

Shesterkin has allowed 1 or no goals in his 4 starts, but he has just a .500 record to show for it, with the Rangers providing 0 goals of support in the 2 losses. He went 1-2-0 with a 2.74 GAA and .899 SV% in 3 starts against the Maple Leafs last season.

Stolarz allowed 3 goals on 15 shots last time out Monday in a 3-2 loss against the Detroit Red Wings. This will be his fourth start of the season, all against Original 6 opponents. Last season against the Rangers, Stolarz went 2-1-0 with a 2.35 GAA and .924 SV% in 3 starts.

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Rangers at Maple Leafs picks and predictionsPrediction

Maple Leafs 3, Rangers 2

The MAPLE LEAFS (-150) are a solid play as moderate favorites, mainly because of New York’s inability to score goals. It has been shut out 3 times in 5 games so far, although the Rangers have scored at total of 10 goals in 2 road games.

Meanwhile, the Leafs have won 2 of 3 games at home, outscoring the opposition 14-9. While the road team won all 3 meetings last season, back the Leafs, who are slightly more consistent so far.

The Rangers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, if you need a little bit of insurance and you just can’t play New York straight up.

As an underdog, the Rangers are 1-1 on the puck line so far, while the Leafs are 2-2 as a favorite on the puck line. There is really no lean here, as neither of these teams inspire a lot of confidence.

PASS.

UNDER 6 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under has cashed in 4 of 5 games for the Rangers, and 4 of those games have resulted in shutouts, including 3 losses.

For the Maple Leafs, the Over has hit in 3 of 4 games, though, with Toronto averaging 4.3 GPG, while allowing 3.8 GP. Tread lightly.

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