It ain’t good. You don’t need a deep dive to figure that out.
The Calgary Flames have now lost six in a row, have yet to register a win in regulation and are stuck at the bottom of the NHL’s overall standings.
Just two weeks in, it could soon — very soon — feel like too late for a squad that believed they should be able to end a three-year playoff drought.
What do the stats tell us about the Flames’ fall flop? Let’s take a look …
The stats tell us: It’s never been this bad
With Monday’s 2-1 loss to the Winnipeg Jets, the Flames made an unfortunate bit of history. With only a pair of points to show for their first seven games, this is officially the worst start in franchise lore.
Even back in 1997-98, when they finished a dreadful campaign with a measly 67 points, they managed to win their seventh date on the calendar to improve to 1-4-2. (Michael Nylander was the overtime hero that night, but now we’re really down the rabbit hole.)
With five games remaining before they light up their pumpkins on Halloween, the question now is whether this current cast can avoid making this the Flames’ most ugly October.
In 2023-23, they finished the first month with a haul of only five points, albeit in just nine tries. They collected five points in 11 games in October of 1995-96.
The stats tell us: The odds are already stacked against them
There’s a terrific tool on the MoneyPuck stat site that tracks up-to-date playoff odds for each NHL team, factoring in a heap of data to run thousands and thousands of season simulations.
As long as their squad is in the mix, it becomes a daily go-to for fans and media throughout February, March and April.
You don’t normally, however, check in October. Flames fans, at least those angling for a post-season berth, should probably save themselves the frustration.
Even with 75 games to go, starting with Wednesday’s clash against the Montreal Canadiens, MoneyPuck had the Flames’ chances pegged Tuesday at only 9.4 percent. That is, if you look from the opposite angle, a 90.6 percent probability of a lottery pick.
According to MoneyPuck’s model, only the San Jose Sharks are more of a playoff long-shot at this early stage.
The stats tell us: They can’t finish
OK, we know what you’re thinking: ‘I didn’t need the numbers to tell me this!’
It’s no secret the Flames’ offence is floundering. When a ranking of their Top-10 goals so far this season would include … um … almost all of them, things are pretty bleak.
Where the stats are interesting is they show that the Flames are generating their fair share of opportunities but have next-to-no finish.
Heading into Tuesday’s action, Natural Stat Trick had them ranked around the middle of the pack in total scoring chances (12th) and high-danger looks (17th). And yet, they’re averaging a pathetic 1.57 snipes per night, by far the worst on the 32-team loop.
There are a pair of top-liners on Calgary’s can’t-buy-one crew — Nazem Kadri leads the team with 20 individual scoring chances, while Joel Farabee has generated 19 of his own, but both are stuck on zero goals.
The stats tell us: Wolf will give ’em a chance Wednesday
Jeez, we really should wrap with at least a sliver of positivity.
How about this? As the Flames prepare for Wednesday’s visit from the Canadiens, it’s worth noting that netminder Dustin Wolf has never lost to this Original Six opponent.
In three career starts against the Habs, Wolf has posted a 3-0 record with a stingy 1.33 goals-against average and sparkling .955 save percentage.
Vegas Golden Knights forward Mitch Marner scores against Calgary Flames goaltender Dustin Wolf as Kevin Bahl defends at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, Oct. 18, 2025.
The 24-year-old masked man will have some extra motivation as he’ll be staring down the guy who topped him on the Calder Trophy ballots last season. Lane Hutson will be shooting for his first point against the crew from Calgary.
Wolf was sharp in Monday’s squeaker against the Jets, but his individual stats remain ugly. Heading back over to MoneyPuck, the sophomore puck-stopper was sitting last in league in goals saved above expected, at minus 7.9. By comparison, he finished his rookie campaign at plus 11.9.