NHL Betting Preview: Stars vs Lightning
The Dallas Stars battle the Tampa Bay Lightning in this NHL matchup at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Thursday, October 30. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.
Get Ready for a High-Scoring Clash
The Stars and the Lightning should combine to produce Over 5.5 goals. Our prediction is available at -133 which looks a great price.
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Lightning Claimed Shootout Win in Last H2H
Dallas Stars made it three consecutive wins after a 1-0 home success over Washington Capitals at American Airlines Center. Jake Oettinger made 24 saves, with Tyler Seguin being the only player to score.
Tampa Bay Lightning got a third straight win in their last game. It was a 5-2 road triumph at Bridgestone Arena when meeting Nashville Predators. Zemgus Girgensons scored twice, with Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel and Charles-Edouard D’Astous scoring one goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Lightning beat the Stars in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 3-2 scoreline at American Airlines Center. The Lightning have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.
Starting Goalies
Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
5-2-2
2.5
.913
1
23/24
35-14-2
2.72
.905
3
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
3-3-2
2.6
.899
0
23/24
30-20-2
2.9
.900
2
Dallas Stars – Last 10 Games
6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 26.9 shots on goal, with a 27.5% powerplay efficiency. The Stars have given up 3.0 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.
Mikko Rantanen is the top points scorer with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, with Wyatt Johnston racking up 10 points, 6 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 2.61 goal against average with a .909 save percentage, including one shutout.
Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games
The Lightning have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 26.2 shots on goal, with a 9.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.0 goals from 29.2 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.2%.
Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel have scored the most points on 10, with each player managing 4 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.86 GAA with a .892 SV%.
Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re not going to pass up the chance to take -133 that the teams go over the total goals line. They should be able to regularly find the net in this NHL clash.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key NHL stats to help shape our hockey predictions and guide the final call.
Key Stars vs Lightning stats:
The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games at home.The 5.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lightning games at home.Over 5.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.
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Published 20:43, 29 October 2025
Player Prop Picks
Jason Robertson (Stars) has covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 8 of the past 10 games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of -161.
Latest Jason Robertson Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
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Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Books Think Lightning Likeliest to Win
The Tampa Bay Lightning odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -152 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 60% chance of winning. Dallas Stars are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +126.
The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you’re keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -130.
If you’re wagering on National Hockey League clashes, we recommend heading to the top sportsbooks and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Nikita Kucherov is the First Goalscorer Favorite
Those interested in Nikita Kucherov to light the lamp at anytime are able to get +160. There is the chance to back the favorite to score the first goal at odds of +1000.
Player Goals
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Player Assists
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Victor Hedman (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Player Shots
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Micro Betting
There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Dallas Stars Stats
Tampa Bay Lightning Stats
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.30 pts and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 1.1
Shots: 26.9
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.6
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 8.8
Blocks: 10.8
Faceoff Wins : 30.6
Hits: 22.8
Giveaways: 15.1
Takeaways: 4
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 26.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 10.5
Blocks: 11.8
Faceoff Wins : 31.6
Hits: 26.4
Giveaways: 14.2
Takeaways: 2.6
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 26.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 5.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 11.9
Blocks: 15.4
Faceoff Wins : 26.5
Hits: 20.2
Giveaways: 17
Takeaways: 3.9
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 26.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.7
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 11.4
Blocks: 14
Faceoff Wins : 28.3
Hits: 25.4
Giveaways: 16
Takeaways: 3.9