The Vegas Golden Knights visit the Edmonton Oilers in Game 4 of their best-of-7, Western Conference semifinals series in the Stanley Cup Playoffs Monday. Puck drop from Rogers Place is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Oilers lead 2-1

The Golden Knights picked up a 4-3 win as +104 underdogs at the Oilers in Game 3 Saturday, avoiding a 3-0 series deficit. RW Reilly Smith scored twice, including the game-winner with 0.4 seconds left in regulation. After falling behind 2-0 early, Vegas answered with 3 straight goals and scored in every period to earn the victory.

Edmonton snapped a 6-game winning streak in Saturday’s loss as a -115 favorite. RW Corey Perry scored twice for Edmonton, which gave up the game-winning goal on a deflection in the final second of regulation. G Stuart Skinner made the start — following a late scratch of G Calvin Pickard — and took his third consecutive postseason loss.

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Golden Knights at Oilers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Oilers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-210) | Oilers -1.5 (+170)Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: +115)Golden Knights at Oilers projected goalies

Adin Hill (5-4, 3.14 GAA, .872 SV% in 2024-25 playoffs) vs. Stuart Skinner (0-3, 5.36 GAA, .817 SV% in 2024-25 playoffs)

Hill, who finished the regular season with the fifth-most wins and ranked among the league’s top goaltenders, delivered a key performance in Game 3 for the Golden Knights. Despite a rough start with 2 goals allowed in the opening period, Hill settled in and gave up just 1 goal the rest of the way — his lowest total allowed in the series so far.

Skinner is in the midst of a challenging postseason, still searching for his first win. He was replaced by Pickard after falling behind 2-0 in the opening round and returned to the net only due to Pickard’s injury. Skinner has allowed 4 or more goals in each of his 3 playoff appearances and may be playing for his future with the team in the coming games.

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Golden Knights at Oilers picks and predictionsPrediction

Oilers 3, Golden Knights 2

BET OILERS (-130).

Despite his struggles this postseason, Skinner is carrying significant pressure as the Oilers aim to maintain their series lead. Monday’s Game 4 represents a pivotal moment — either heading back on the road with a 3-1 advantage or facing a 2-2 tie. Edmonton’s home crowd is expected to be a factor as the team looks to regain momentum. The Oilers started strong in Game 3 before fading late, something they’ll aim to avoid this time around.

PASS.

Backing the Oilers on the puck line is too risky with an unproven goalie in net.

LEAN UNDER 6.5 (+115).

The Golden Knights have scored 3 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 5 games, going 1-3-1 O/U. They have allowed 3 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 6 games.

In a critical Game 4, expect the Oilers defense to hold down the fort, resulting in fewer goals and fewer attacks.

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