Match Facts
DetailInformationMatchupMinnesota Wild at New York IslandersDateFriday, November 7, 2025VenueUBS Arena, Elmont, NYBroadcastESPN+Wild Record5-7-3Islanders Record6-6-2MoneylineWild +111 / Islanders -133Puck LineWild +1.5 (-230) / Islanders -1.5 (+185)Total6.5 (O -108 / U -112)
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Line and Odds Movement
Pricing reflects a modest home edge for the Islanders and slight market skepticism on Minnesota’s ability to close games. New York’s profile as a structured home favorite plus Minnesota on a back-to-back is baked into the -130 range without reaching premium territory. The total at 6.5 leans toward recent Islanders overs but sits high given both teams’ capacity to lock in defensively when structured.
Minnesota Wild
New York Islanders
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Pittsburgh Penguins
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Nashville Predators
Matchup Breakdown
Both teams arrive off “come-from-ahead” frustrations.
The Islanders blew three separate one-goal leads to Boston but played a strong overall game, tilting shots and getting impact minutes from Matthew Schaefer. Their five-on-five structure remains solid, and they generated enough offense to validate their approach. At home, with rest and defined roles, they are built to manage a game state better than they did late against the Bruins.
Minnesota’s loss in Carolina was another snapshot of their season: good segments, pressure, but critical lapses. They led twice, tied it early in the second, then conceded immediately. The Wild drive volume and have a dangerous power play, but details in their own end and game management keep costing them.
Key levers: Islanders’ rest, defensive structure, and goaltending against a Wild team on a back-to-back that leans on shot volume and special teams. New York wants a controlled, lower-variance script. Minnesota’s path is pace, pressure, and testing an Islanders team that has been streaky.
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Injury Reports
Minnesota Wild Injury Report
PlayerStatusInjuryZach Bogosian (D)OutLower bodyNico Sturm (C)OutUndisclosedMats Zuccarello (RW)OutLower body
New York Islanders Injury Report
PlayerStatusInjuryEthan Bear (D)OutUndisclosedPierre Engvall (LW)OutAnkleMaxim Shabanov (C)OutUpper bodySemyon Varlamov (G)OutLower body
Minnesota Wild Recent performance
Minnesota has dropped nine of its last 12, with too many games following the same pattern: strong pushes, scoring enough to be live, then breakdowns that erase leads. They rank near the top in shots on goal and sit at the front of the league in power-play goals, which confirms offensive capability.
However, defensive coverage, rush defense, and late-game detail remain issues. On a back-to-back, reliance on volume and special teams is heightened. If they cannot tighten up their own zone and net-front, their pressure advantages fade.
New York Islanders Recent performance
New York’s 6-6-2 mark is streak-driven, but the underlying framework is stable. They outplayed Boston for long stretches, created quality looks, and continue to get immediate impact from Schaefer along with production from Bo Horvat and Mathew Barzal.
At UBS Arena, their structure, matchup control, and rest edge are significant. The concern is closing: lapses with leads have appeared too often. If they manage score effects better and stay disciplined, their profile at home is stronger than the raw record suggests.
Betting Insights and Trends
The Islanders have hit the over frequently, driven by late-game volatility and special teams swings. Minnesota brings high shot volume and a strong power play into that environment, but also defensive gaps that can feed Islanders scoring.
Situationally, New York has advantages in rest, travel, and matchup control. Minnesota’s cover path leans on translating volume into actual high-danger chances and leveraging their power play without surrendering rush chances the other way.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Side lean: New York Islanders moneyline.
Rested at home against a Wild team with structural issues and on a back-to-back is a clean, non-inflated edge. The Islanders’ ability to manage five-on-five more efficiently should tip a close matchup.
Total lean: Under 6.5.
Despite trends pointing over, this number is high relative to the likely script if the Islanders control pace and Minnesota’s legs fade late. A 3-2 or 4-2 outcome lands under more often than not.
Projected score: Islanders 4, Wild 2.
Handicapper section
To refine exposure on sides, totals, and derivative markets (team totals, goal-scorer props, alt lines), align this handicap with current numbers on the NHL scores and odds screen and cross-check expert opinions and data-driven models on the NHL picks page before locking positions.
Pro Picks – Mike
$836
4. Knup Sports – POTD
$505
Sas Insider
$5,094
2. Knup Sports – POTD
$4,090
Sas Insider
$10,809
2. Knup Sports – POTD
$10,399