The Tampa Bay Lightning (8-5-2) will attempt to prolong a four-game home win streak when they take on the New York Rangers (8-7-2), who have won four in a row on the road, on Wednesday, Nov. 12 at 7 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Wednesday’s contest.

During the last 10 outings for the Rangers (5-4-1), their offense has put up 26 goals while their defense has allowed 28 goals. They have had 24 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored three goals (12.5%).

Lightning vs. Rangers Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Rangers 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-158)
Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.4 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have gone 2-2-4 in overtime games on their way to an overall record of 8-5-2.
Tampa Bay is 5-4-2 (12 points) in its 11 games decided by one goal.
In the one game this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they lost in overtime.
Tampa Bay has finished 2-3-1 in the six games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering five points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals eight times, and are 6-2-0 in those games (to record 12 points).
In the six games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it registered nine points after finishing 4-1-1.
In the five games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 3-1-1 (seven points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 10 times, and went 5-4-1 (11 points).
Rangers Splits and Trends

The Rangers have an 8-7-2 record this season and are 2-2-4 in contests that have needed overtime.
New York has earned eight points (3-1-2) in its six games decided by one goal.
This season the Rangers recorded only one goal in three games and they finished 0-2-1 in those matchups.
New York has won the only game this season when it scored a pair of goals (1-0-0, two points).
The Rangers have earned 15 points in their eight games with at least three goals scored.
New York has scored a single power-play goal in four games this season and has registered seven points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 3-4-2 (eight points).
The Rangers have been outshot by opponents eight times this season, and earned 10 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Rangers Game Time and TV Channel

When: Wednesday, November 12, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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