The Oilers are looking shaky, but this is a fantastic get-right spot against a Lightning squad missing key pieces on the blueline.
Nov 20, 2025 • 11:48 ET
• 3 min read
Photo By – Imagn Images. Oilers F Jack Roslovic celebrates a goal with his teammates.
The Edmonton Oilers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back road set and face the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, November 20.
My top Oilers vs. Lightning predictions and NHL picks are calling for Edmonton to pull off the road upset with the Tampa Bay blueline missing multiple top-four defensemen.
Oilers vs Lightning prediction
Oilers vs Lightning Best bet: Oilers moneyline (+147)
With the Edmonton Oilers inching closer and closer to a lost season, we’re landing a fair number on the moneyline to back them to win tonight.
There are obvious shortcomings in Edmonton.
The lineup lacks secondary scoring, and the Oilers are also playing mediocre hockey at 5-on-5 with a 15th-ranked Corsi For percentage and 22nd-ranked expected goals percentage.
Sporting a league-low PDO and team save percentage at 5-on-5 is also a huge problem, albeit an unsustainable one.
The goaltending will improve, and there is enough talent and veteran presence to steer this train in the right direction before this season goes completely off the rails.
Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Lightning have major question marks on the blueline with Victor Hedman (undisclosed) not participating in the morning skate, and Ryan McDonagh (undisclosed) on injured reserve.
Those are two top-four defensemen appearing unlikely to suit up tonight, so if Edmonton was ever going to break through, tonight’s the night.
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Oilers vs Lightning same-game parlay
Pair the Tampa blueline concerns with the two teams trending to the Over, and I’m expecting this to be a high-scoring game. The Over has cashed in six of Edmonton’s past eight games, and Tampa has gone Over the number in 26 of its past 46 home games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI).
Oilers forward Jack Roslovic has established himself in a top-six role and recorded two or more shots in 13 of his past 15 games to rank fourth on the team. He’s also averaging a healthy 18:44 of ice time per night during the stretch.
Oilers vs Lightning SGP
Oilers moneyline
Over 6.5
Jack Roslovic Over 1.5 shots on goal
Oilers vs Lightning odds
Moneyline: Oilers +150 | Lightning -175
Puck Line: Oilers +1.5 (-180) | Lightning -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+105) | Under 6.5 (-125)
Oilers vs Lightning trend
The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Lightning.
How to watch Oilers vs Lightning
Location
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
Date
Thursday, November 20, 2025
Puck drop
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet, HULU
Oilers vs Lightning latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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