The Washington Capitals will face the Tampa Bay Lightning, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Capital One Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers’ advanced NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Lightning.

This article offers further insights into Saturday’s Lightning vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Lightning vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers’ NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Saturday’s clash between the Lightning and Capitals.

Our leading predictive model gives the Capitals a 51% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Lightning vs. Capitals odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Lightning
Capitals

Puck Line
+1.5 (-235)
-1.5 (+200)

Moneyline
+102
-118

Total
o6 (-110)
u6 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lightning vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: