NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals
The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, November 22.
Lightning Great Value against Caps
We think that the Lightning should prove too strong for the Capitals. Therefore, it’s all about going to the Moneyline to back them and there’s juice in the -100 available.
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Lightning Beat Caps Last Time Out
Tampa Bay Lightning beat Edmonton Oilers in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 2-1 (OT) home win at Benchmark International Arena. Nick Paul and Jake Guentzel scored one goal apiece. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was red hot in this one, making 24 saves (.960).
Washington Capitals won last time out by a 8-4 scoreline. On the road against Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, they made it three wins on the spin. Alexander Ovechkin had a hat trick along with 1 assist.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw the Lightning claim a 3-2 win over the Caps at Benchmark International Arena. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Lightning have won six.
Starting Goalies
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
8-5-2
2.5
.907
0
23/24
30-20-2
2.9
.900
2
Logan Thompson (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
8-5-1
2
.920
0
23/24
25-14-3
2.7
.908
1
Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games
7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 28.0 shots on goal, with a 12.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.7 goals from 26.2 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.
Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 8 goals and 3 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.08 goal against average with a .923 save percentage.
Washington Capitals – Last 10 Games
The Caps have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 4.0 goals from 30.7 shots on goal, with a 10.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.0 goals from 27.8 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.2%.
The top points scorer is Alexander Ovechkin with 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists, while John Carlson is next best after registering 12 points, 2 goals and 10 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.65 GAA with a .902 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks
Explore our best Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
The best pick for this NHL clash is to back Tampa Bay Lightning at -100. We think that the home team are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.
To deliver the best possible hockey predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NHL stats available.
Key Lightning vs Capitals stats:
Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.Capitals have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Lightning.Lightning Moneyline Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, our pick carries a 50% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.
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If you want bigger odds with your Moneyline wager, then you can combine this pick with other selections as part of a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the price.
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Our Game Prediction
Lightning Moneyline @ -100
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Published 20:56, 21 November 2025
Player Prop Picks
Tom Wilson (Capitals) has covered the 1.5 shots on goal total in 4 straight games at home. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Goal, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -200.
Latest Tom Wilson Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Odds Suggest a Close Contest
The betting odds about Washington Capitals winning is -118, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced up at -102 to achieve victory. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 51% probability of success.
There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. The Over 5.5 selection is available to back at -133.
You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.
Alex Ovechkin Favorite to Be First Goalscorer
Alex Ovechkin is the market leader at +850 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Player Goals
Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Tom Wilson (Capitals)
Player Assists
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Dylan Strome (Capitals)
John Carlson (Capitals)
Tom Wilson (Capitals)
Player Shots
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Brayden Point (Lightning)
Micro Betting
There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Tampa Bay Lightning Stats
Washington Capitals Stats
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 28
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 12
Blocks: 12.3
Faceoff Wins : 25
Hits: 20.4
Giveaways: 13.9
Takeaways: 4
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 24.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 10.4
Blocks: 13.7
Faceoff Wins : 24.9
Hits: 18.4
Giveaways: 15.2
Takeaways: 4
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 30.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 12.4
Blocks: 14.9
Faceoff Wins : 26.6
Hits: 17.6
Giveaways: 14.8
Takeaways: 5.3
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 28.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 8.4
Blocks: 18
Faceoff Wins : 25.2
Hits: 20
Giveaways: 15.6
Takeaways: 4.9
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.