The Seattle Kraken bring a sharp edge to PPG Paints Arena on Nov. 23, 2025 against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Seattle’s won 3 of their last 4 games. The Kraken enter at 10-5-5 while Pittsburgh sits at 10-6-4. History strongly favors the Kraken here.
🔥 Quick Facts:
Seattle has won 6 of their last 8 meetings with Pittsburgh all-time
Jaden Schwartz leads Kraken with 14 points and 7 goals
Penguins favored with -127 moneyline odds at home
Kraken undefeated in recent matchups, winning 3 straight at one point
Game time: 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+
Head-to-Head: Kraken Dominance Over Recent Seasons
The Kraken own this matchup. Since Seattle’s inaugural season, they’ve built a 6-2 record against Pittsburgh with a dominant 75% win rate. This isn’t recent luck—it’s a pattern.
Pittsburgh’s last victory came back in January 2024 when they snapped Seattle’s 9-game winning streak. Since then, the Kraken have reasserted control. Statistics show the UNDER hit 6-1 (+5.1 units) in Seattle-Pittsburgh matchups since the 2022 season. Low-scoring, defensive battles favor Seattle.
Seattle’s October Momentum Carries Into November
The Kraken earned 13 points in October, exceeding their 11-point target. They’ve maintained that pace through November with wins in 3 of their last 4 games.
Jaden Schwartz drives the offense. The 33-year-old forward has recorded 14 points (7 goals, 7 assists) through 20 games. That’s elite production for a veteran. Matty Beniers, their young center, adds 13 points in the young season. The Kraken generate real scoring depth.
Defensively, Seattle’s structure fits their style. They’re grind-it-out types who win tight contests.
Penguins Battle Injuries While Favorites at Home
Statistic
Seattle
Pittsburgh
Record
10-5-5 (25 pts)
10-6-4 (24 pts)
Goals For (Avg)
2.7
3.1
Goals Against (Avg)
2.5
2.4
H2H Record (All-Time)
6 wins
2 wins
Last 4 Games
3-1
Mixed form
Pittsburgh still holds home-ice advantage, reflected in the -127 moneyline. But the Penguins face mounting injury concerns. The team announced injury timelines back in early November that impacted their roster depth.
Sidney Crosby remains the anchor, though questions persist about Pittsburgh’s supporting cast availability. The Penguins have scored just 3.1 goals per game—solid but not overwhelming.
Statistical Advantages Tell the Story
Look closer at recent trends. The Kraken are 4-8 on the road this season. That’s their weakness. But they’ve won 3 of 4 recent games overall, suggesting improved form regardless of venue.
Pittsburgh’s home record sits at under .500 relatively speaking when you factor the packed schedule. Neither team dominates at PPG Paints Arena consistently this year.
The UNDER 5.5 (-125) remains the sharp pick. Both teams play defense-first hockey. Expect 2-3 goals per side, not a wide-open affair. Schwartz and Beniers will get chances, but Pittsburgh’s goaltending will keep them in it.
What to Watch for November 23 Matchup
Can Schwartz extend his scoring streak? He’s been on fire.
Will Pittsburgh’s injuries limit their depth scoring ability?
How does the Kraken’s road struggles affect their confidence?
Does the UNDER 5.5 hit again based on historical patterns?
Can Crosby dominate possession and shift momentum?
Should You Favor Seattle Despite Moneyline Odds?
Here’s the disconnect. Pittsburgh’s getting -127 moneyline love at home. But statistics scream Seattle advantage. The Kraken’s 6-2 record against this opponent isn’t noise—it’s signal.
The line may not reflect true probability. Sharp bettors exploit this. Seattle’s +105 on the moneyline offers value against a team they consistently beat. Factor in Schwartz’s hot hand and Pittsburgh’s injury concerns, and the pick becomes clearer.
Will the Kraken’s road woes resurface? That’s the X-factor. But recent form suggests a hungry Seattle team ready to extend their dominance of this matchup on November 23, 2025.
Sources
StatMuse – Head-to-head records and seasonal statistics
Fox Sports – Game predictions and betting odds analysis
SportSharp – Historical matchup data and under/over patterns
Michael Brown is a seasoned sports journalist bringing years of experience covering professional athletics and sporting culture. With a keen eye for breaking stories and player dynamics, this veteran journalist delivers in-depth analysis and exclusive insights from the world’s biggest sporting events. His passion for the game shines through in every story, keeping fans connected to the action both on and off the field.