The Tampa Bay Lightning look to stay hot tonight against the Philadelphia Flyers on Nov. 24 at 7 p.m. ET. Lightning boast a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. Philly enters as the underdog facing an uphill test against Tampa’s surging offense.
🔥 Quick Facts:
Lightning favored with 1.5 goal spread and 63% win probability.
Philly sits at 11-6-3 while Tampa stands 12-7-2 on the season.
Lightning average 3.14 goals per game vs Philly’s 2.58 GAA.
Prediction favors Lightning 4-2 based on recent forecasts.
Game airs on NBCSP and The Spot in evening primetime.
Head-to-Head Record Tells the Tale
Tampa holds the advantage all-time with 61 wins to 56 for Philly. The Lightning won 6 of their last 10 matchups against the Flyers. This squad simply plays well against Philadelphia. Tampa’s home record in this series sits strong. The Lightning know how to handle the Flyers when it matters most.
Recent form shows Tampa dominates the trends heading into tonight. The Lightning aren’t just hot—they’re elite against division rivals. Philly will need every ounce of focus. Playing in Tampa on the road makes it tougher.
Recent Form Comparison
Statistic
Lightning (Last 10)
Flyers (Last 10)
Record
7-3-0
Not specified
Goals Per Game
3.14
Improving
Goals Against Per Game
2.86
2.58 (top 5)
Power Play %
17.6%
18.9%
Penalty Kill %
87.3%
Top 5 defensively
This table reveals the matchup clearly. Tampa’s scoring punch is real. Philly’s defense has tightened up. Yet the Lightning edge remains obvious. Tampa scores more frequently while allowing fewer goals.
Key Injury Situations Impact Both Rosters
Tampa Bay deals with significant absences tonight. Star forward Brayden Point won’t play. Defensemen Victor Hedman and Ryan McDonagh are sidelined. Erik Cernak misses his fourth straight game. The Lightning are missing key players but still favored.
For the Flyers, only Rasmus Ristolainen is out with a triceps injury. Philly has the healthier roster. Sam Ersson starts in goal. Yet injuries or not, Tampa’s core scores enough. The Lightning have depth. Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel lead the charge. That firepower overwhelms most opponents.
Betting Lines Tell You Everything
Money managers favor Tampa Bay strongly. The Lightning sit at -152 on the moneyline. Philly’s underdog odds read +145 to +146. The puck line favors Lightning at -1.5. Over/Under sits at 5.5 goals. Expert predictions lean Lightning 4, Flyers 2. Algorithm analysis gives Tampa 64% probability of victory.
Can the Flyers Pull Off the Upset Tonight?
Breaking Tampa’s hot streak requires perfect execution. Philadelphia showed offensive firepower recently—they scored 3 goals in 26 seconds against New Jersey this week. That’s franchise record speed. But consistency wins games. Philly has struggled generating scoring chances at times. Playing on the road cuts into any advantage. Andrei Vasilevskiy in Tampa’s net frightens opposing forwards.
The Flyers face an uphill battle. Not impossible? No. Unlikely? Absolutely. Tampa’s recent form, home ice, and firepower all point to a Lightning victory. Yet hockey surprises happen. Philly must hope Ersson plays out of his mind and the power play clicks. Can Matvei Michkov spark something special? Time will tell at 7 p.m. ET.
Michael Brown is a seasoned sports journalist bringing years of experience covering professional athletics and sporting culture. With a keen eye for breaking stories and player dynamics, this veteran journalist delivers in-depth analysis and exclusive insights from the world’s biggest sporting events. His passion for the game shines through in every story, keeping fans connected to the action both on and off the field.