The Dallas Stars (14-5-4) visit the Seattle Kraken (11-5-6) Wednesday. The opening puck drop from Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, is slated for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Kraken odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Stars lead 1-0 with 2-1 home win Nov. 9
Dallas is playing the back end of a road double. On Tuesday, the +115 Stars won 8-3 (Over 6) at the Edmonton Oilers. Wednesday’s game against the Kraken is closing out a 4-game road trip that has thus far seen Dallas go 2-0-1.
Seattle last played on Sunday when it closed out its own 4-game road swing. A 1-0 (Under 6) shootout loss at the New York Islanders finished off a 2-1-1 trip for the Kraken, who have gone 4-1-1 since Nov. 13.
Stars at Kraken odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:48 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Stars -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Kraken +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars -1.5 (+180) | Kraken +1.5 (-220)Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)Stars at Kraken projected goalies
Casey DeSmith (4-1-2, 2.22 GAA, .917 SV%) vs. Joey Daccord (7-3-4, 2.56 GAA, .909 SV%)
DeSmith last played Saturday at the Calgary Flames and stopped 31-of-33 shots. He owns a .966 SV% over his last 3 games. He’s 4-1 with a 1.00 GAA in 5 starts against Seattle.
Daccord was between the pipes in the Kraken’s shootout loss at the Islanders. He stopped 34-of-34 pucks in regulation. He’s 1-2-1 with a 3.48 in 4 starts against Dallas.
Stars at Kraken picks and predictionsPrediction
Kraken 4, Stars 3
The Kraken have not beaten the Stars since May 13, 2023 — a playoff game in Seattle: they have since lost 8 consecutive games to Dallas. But in this spot, Seattle is catching the Stars at the tail end of their first long road swing of the season, and a lofty shooting percentage over recent games may have bettors overestimating the Dallas offense.
Dallas is 8-2-2 this month but with 5-on-5 expected-goal figures that would indicate that the Stars have been somewhat fortunate at both ends of the ice over that stretch. The Stars have a tremendous power play (31.7%): their 25 extra-man goals lead the NHL. But Seattle spends just 7.6 minutes per game in the box; that’s a bottom-third rate. So, perhaps a weary Dallas squad is boxed into more of an even-strength tussle against a Kraken club that has a rest advantage.
Daccord owns a fine .912 SV% at home.
SEATTLE (+110) is the value side here. Consider a partial-unit play backing the Kraken.
Dallas and Seattle do get dragged into a lot of games that finish with a 1-goal cushion. The price here is not bad, but some bettors may be risk-averse to the outlay on the Kraken here. PASS.
Even-strength analytics peg both sides as being fortunate with their goals-allowed averages this month. Both sides are bottom-third groups against the power play.
Dallas has scored 4 goals or more in 4 of its last 6 games. Seattle has filed 3-plus in 4 of its last 6. The combined 5-on-5 high-danger chances produced for and against are up over recent games. That amounts to better looks for shooters at both ends of the ice.
The last 4 series meetings have been lined with totals of 6 or 6.5. There is a sliver of value on the OVER 5.5 (-120) for this Wednesday contest in Seattle.
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