The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-8-2) will attempt to extend a four-game home win streak when they play the Pittsburgh Penguins (13-7-5) on Thursday, Dec. 4 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we predict to take home the victory in Thursday’s hockey action.

In the last 10 contests, the Penguins are 4-3-3 while putting up 25 goals against 27 goals allowed. On 21 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored six goals (28.6%).

Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this game calls for a final result of Lightning 4, Penguins 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-219)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 16-8-2 overall and 3-2-5 in overtime contests.
In the 13 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-5-2 record (good for 14 points).
In the two games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering seven points).
The Lightning are 13-3-0 in the 16 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 26 points).
In the eight games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 6-1-1 record (13 points).
In the 10 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-4-1 (11 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 16 times, and went 11-4-1 (23 points).
Penguins Splits and Trends

The Penguins (13-7-5 overall) have posted a record of 1-5-6 in contests that have gone to OT this season.
Pittsburgh has earned six points (2-3-2) in its seven games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Penguins scored only one goal in three games and they’ve earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
Pittsburgh has two points (0-3-2) in five games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
The Penguins have scored three or more goals 16 times, earning 27 points from those matchups (13-2-1).
This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in eight games has a record of 2-4-2 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 4-4-2 (10 points).
The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in 14 games, going 8-3-3 to register 19 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

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