The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-9-2), coming off a 4-3 loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins, host the New York Islanders (15-10-3) at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday, Dec. 6 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Islanders knocked off the Colorado Avalanche 6-3 in their most recent outing.

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Before watching this matchup, here’s a look at which team we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday’s action on the ice.

In the past 10 games, the Islanders are 5-4-1. They have put up 23 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 19. They have gone on the power play 34 times during that span, and have capitalized with three goals (8.8% of opportunities).

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Islanders 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-192)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (16-9-2 overall) have a 3-2-5 record in games that have needed overtime.
Tampa Bay has 14 points (6-6-2) in the 14 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
Tampa Bay has scored two goals in eight games this season (3-4-1 record, seven points).
The Lightning have scored more than two goals 17 times, and are 13-4-0 in those games (to record 26 points).
In the nine games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 13 points after finishing 6-2-1.
In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-5-1 (11 points).
The Lightning’s opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning went 11-4-1 in those matchups (23 points).
Islanders Splits and Trends

The Islanders (15-10-3 overall) have posted a record of 4-3-7 in games that have gone to OT this season.
In the 10 games New York has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 16 points.
This season the Islanders scored just one goal in four games and they lost every time.
New York has two points (1-5-0) in six games this season when it has scored two goals.
The Islanders have scored three or more goals 17 times, earning 29 points from those matchups (13-1-3).
This season, New York has scored a lone power-play goal in nine games has a record of 6-2-1 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 3-9-2 (eight points).
The Islanders have been outshot by opponents in 12 games, going 11-1-0 to record 22 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

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