The Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-10-2), who have lost three in a row, on Monday, Dec. 8 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Get ready for this showdown with a glimpse at who we project to come out on top in Monday’s contest.

The Lightning have a 7-3-0 record during their last 10 games. They have scored 34 total goals (five power-play goals on 29 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 17.2%) while conceding 17 goals to their opponents.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-122)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs are 4-4-8 in overtime games on their way to a 13-11-4 overall record.
In the 12 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-3-3 record (good for 15 points).
In the one game this season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
Toronto has taken five points from the eight games this season when it scored two goals (2-5-1 record).
The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 19 times, and are 11-6-2 in those games (to record 24 points).
In the eight games when Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 3-4-1 record (seven points).
When it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 2-5-1 (five points).
The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 10-6-3 to record 23 points.
Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have posted a record of 3-2-5 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 16-10-2.
In the 14 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
This season the Lightning registered just one goal in two games and they finished 0-1-1 in those matchups.
When Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned seven points (3-4-1 record).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 17 games, earning 26 points from those contests.
Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal in nine games this season and has registered 13 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 5-6-1 (11 points).
The Lightning’s opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning went 11-4-1 in those contests (23 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

When: Monday, December 8, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Channel: NHL Network
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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