The Dallas Stars (21-6-5) host the Florida Panthers (15-13-2) at American Airlines Center on Saturday, Dec. 13 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won four straight at home.

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Here’s our pick for who will claim the win in Saturday’s matchup.

The Panthers are 4-5-1 over the last 10 contests, putting up 35 total goals (three power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 11.1%). They have allowed 36 goals to their opponents.

Stars vs. Panthers Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final tally of Stars 4, Panthers 2.

Moneyline Pick: Stars (-138)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars (21-6-5 overall) have a 4-5-9 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
Dallas is 10-1-3 (23 points) in its 14 games decided by one goal.
In the four games this season the Stars recorded just one goal, they went 1-2-1 (three points).
Dallas has taken seven points from the seven games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-2-3 record).
The Stars are 18-2-1 in the 21 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 37 points).
In the 11 games when Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 10-1-0 to register 20 points.
When it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 10-3-1 (21 points).
The Stars have been outshot by opponents 18 times, and went 11-3-4 (26 points).
Panthers Splits and Trends

The Panthers (15-13-2 overall) have posted a record of 2-2-4 in contests that have gone to OT this season.
Florida has earned 15 points (7-0-1) in its eight games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Panthers recorded only one goal in seven games and have gone 1-5-1 (three points).
When Florida has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned three points (1-3-1 record).
The Panthers have earned 26 points in their 17 games with more than two goals scored.
This season, Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal in eight games and registered eight points with a record of 4-4-0.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Florida has posted a record of 8-8-2 (18 points).
The Panthers’ opponents have had more shots in 12 games. The Panthers finished 7-5-0 in those matchups (14 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel

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