The Tampa Bay Lightning (19-13-3) take on the St. Louis Blues (14-15-8) at Benchmark International Arena on Monday, Dec. 22 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning knocked off the Carolina Hurricanes 6-4 in their last game, while the Blues are coming off a 6-2 win over the Florida Panthers.

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Here is our pick for who will clinch the victory in Monday’s matchup.

Over the past 10 contests, the Blues have gone 5-4-1. They have scored 25 goals, while their opponents have scored 30. They have gone on the power play 25 times during that span, and have capitalized with four goals (16.0% of opportunities).

Lightning vs. Blues Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Blues 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-225)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (19-13-3 overall) have a 3-3-6 record in matchups that have required overtime.
Tampa Bay is 6-7-2 (14 points) in its 15 games decided by one goal.
In the three games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 10 games this season (3-5-2 record, eight points).
The Lightning are 16-4-0 in the 20 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 32 points).
In the 12 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 7-3-2 to register 16 points.
When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 6-9-2 (14 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 17 times, and went 12-4-1 (25 points).
Blues Splits and Trends

The Blues have earned a record of -8-8 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 14-15-8.
In the 17 games St. Louis has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 24 points.
In seven games this season when the Blues finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of six points (2-3-2).
When St. Louis has scored two goals this season, they’ve earned seven points (2-7-3 record).
The Blues have scored three or more goals 17 times, earning 23 points from those matchups (10-4-3).
St. Louis has scored a single power-play goal in 14 games this season and has registered 17 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, St. Louis is 6-7-2 (14 points).
The Blues have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 8-8-5 to register 21 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Blues Game Time and TV Channel

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