The Dallas Stars (25-7-5) and Detroit Red Wings (21-13-3) tussle Tuesday in Detroit, Michigan. The opening faceoff from Little Caesars Arena will be at 6:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Red Wings odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
2024-25 season series: Tied 1-1
Dallas totes a 4-game winning streak into Tuesday’s matchup of top-10 teams (point percentage). The Stars have outscored foes 22-8 over those last 4 contests. In its last game Sunday, -209 Dallas notched a 5-1 triumph (push 6) over the Toronto Maple Leafs.
The Red Wings also won their last game, a 3-2 overtime win Sunday (Under 6) vs. the +104 Washington Capitals. The Wings are 4-1-0 across their last 5 games and 7-2-0 in their last 9.
Stars at Red Wings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Red Wings +105 (bet $100 to win $105)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars -1.5 (+180) | Red Wings +1.5 (-220)Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)Stars at Red Wings projected goalies
Jake Oettinger (16-6-2, 2.50 GAA, .910 SV%) vs. John Gibson (11-7-1, 3.01 GAA, .892 SV%)
Oettinger stopped 27-of-28 pucks in Sunday’s game against Toronto. He owns a .933 SV% this month. He’s 8-3-0 with a 2.81 GAA in 11 games vs. Detroit.
Gibson played Sunday and allowed 2 goals on 26 shots. He owns a .952 SV% over his last 5 games. He’s 6-9-3 with a 2.75 GAA in 19 games against Dallas.
Stars at Red Wings picks and predictionsPrediction
Red Wings 4, Stars 2
Dallas heads into the Christmas break on a stretch of wonky travel. The Stars had a pair of West Coast road games last week (Thursday-Friday) and then a game on home ice before hitting the road to Detroit. Overall, the club is a fade candidate due to some expected-goal percentages that indicate some luck in 5-on-5 play. And Dallas’ terrific power play (31.3% for the season) has slowed across recent games (2-for-last-12). (And the Wings have kept a lid on penalty minutes of late.)
Detroit — winner of a 6-4 game the last time these clubs met at Little Caesars (April 14) — has cranked out a 31% mark on the power play this month. In even-strength play, the Red Wings have exhibited in uptick in their ability to find quality looks from the slot.
The Wings have gone a robust 14-6-2 on 1-day rest, and Gibson owns a career .917 SV% against the Stars.Figure a bit of value on the home side of this line. BACK DETROIT (+105).
No interest: PASS.
The Over is 3-1 across the last 4 series meetings and is 2-0-1 in Dallas’ last 3 games and 4-0 in the Stars’ last 4 road tilts.
Both sides sport offenses adept at finding late-game scores. Both can fill it in 5-on-5 play and on the man advantage. December expected-goals allowed figures are bearish on both defenses (and by sizable margins).
With a projected score right on the number, PASS here. You could consider the alternative Under 6.5 (-125).
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