The Florida Panthers (22-16-3) will try to extend a three-game road win streak when they take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-15-7), who have won five straight at home, on Tuesday, Jan. 6 at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Here’s our prediction for who will claim the victory in Tuesday’s matchup.

The Maple Leafs have a 5-3-2 record in their past 10 contests. They have scored 35 total goals (six power-play goals on 25 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 24.0%) while allowing 33 goals to their opponents.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+107)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.5 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

The Panthers are 3-3-6 in overtime games on their way to a 22-16-3 overall record.
Florida has 20 points (9-0-2) in the 11 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
The eight times this season the Panthers ended a game with only one goal, they went 1-6-1 (three points).
Florida has taken six points from the nine games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-5-2 record).
The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 23 games (19-4-0, 38 points).
In the 17 games when Florida has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 9-7-1 record (19 points).
In the 25 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 12-10-3 (27 points).
The Panthers’ opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Panthers finished 10-6-0 in those contests (20 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs have a 4-7-11 record in overtime matchups this season and a 19-15-7 overall record.
Toronto has earned 22 points (8-3-6) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
This season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal in two games and they finished 0-1-1 in those matchups.
Toronto has nine points (3-5-3) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
The Maple Leafs have earned 35 points in their 27 games with at least three goals scored.
This season, Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal in 13 games has a record of 6-4-3 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 4-6-1 (nine points).
The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 29 times this season, and earned 34 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Channel: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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