The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-13-3) take on the Philadelphia Flyers (22-13-8) at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday, Jan. 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning knocked off the Philadelphia Flyers 7-2 in their last game, while the Flyers are coming off a 7-2 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning.

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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to emerge victorious in Monday’s hockey game.

The Flyers have totaled 33 goals in their past 10 outings, while allowing 30 goals. A total of 31 power-play opportunities during that time have turned into five power-play goals (16.1%). They are 5-3-2 over those games.

Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final tally of Flyers 4, Lightning 3.

Moneyline Pick: Flyers (+127)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Flyers (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 27-13-3 record overall, with a 5-3-8 record in contests that have required overtime.
In the 16 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-7-2 record (good for 16 points).
In the three games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
Tampa Bay has taken eight points from the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-5-2 record).
The Lightning are 24-4-0 in the 28 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 48 points).
In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 10-3-2 record (22 points).
In the 21 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 10-9-2 (22 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 16-4-1 to register 33 points.
Flyers Splits and Trends

The Flyers (22-13-8 overall) have posted a record of 7-8-15 in contests that have required OT this season.
In the 11 games Philadelphia has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up nine points.
This season the Flyers recorded just one goal in nine games and they’ve earned two points (0-7-2) in those contests.
Philadelphia has earned seven points (2-4-3 record) this season when scoring two goals .
The Flyers have scored three or more goals in 24 games, earning 43 points from those contests.
Philadelphia has scored a lone power-play goal in 11 games this season and has recorded 14 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Philadelphia has posted a record of 12-6-2 (26 points).
The Flyers have been outshot by opponents 21 times this season, and earned 23 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Flyers Game Time and TV Channel

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