Tonight marks the first time Mitch Marner faces off against his former club as the Maple Leafs visit the Golden Knights. But it’s his previous linemate, Auston Matthews, that I expect to find the scoresheet in this one.

Find out more with my free Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights predictions and NHL picks for Thursday, January 15.

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Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights prediction

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights best bet: Auston Matthews anytime goal (+130)

Auston Matthews has eight goals in his last nine games, in addition to a few iron rings preventing him from a few more. At +130 odds, I’m taking that value and betting on Matthews to score again.

Since returning from the Christmas break, the Toronto Maple Leafs captain ranks first league-wide in both scoring chances and individual high-danger chances, while logging the second-most individual expected goals in the league.

Matthews also has had a lot of success against the Vegas Golden Knights in his career with 10 goals in 12 games, including one in their last meeting on March 5. He’s averaged 4.4 shots per game with an 18.9 shooting percentage against the Golden Knights.

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If he keeps up this pace, I like his chances to score, especially with Carl Lindbom as Vegas’ projected starter. The rookie goaltender is 2-4-2 with a 2.99 GAA and an .873 SV%, allowing 3+ goals in six of his eight starts.

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights same-game parlay

Max Domi seems to have solidified himself on Matthews’ wing lately. He’s got eight points, six being assists, in his last 11 outings saddled up next to AM34.

Jake McCabe‘s shot-blocking prowess is second to none on the Leafs. He had six blocks in Utah and four the night before in Colorado. Overall, he’s averaging 2.75 blocks per game across his last 20 contests.

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Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights SGP

Auston Matthews anytime goal

Jake McCabe Over 2.5 blocked shots

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights odds

Moneyline: Maple Leafs +115 | Golden Knights -140

Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 | Golden Knights -1.5

Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights trend

The Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two clubs. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights

Location

T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, NV

Date

Thursday, January 15, 2026

Puck drop

9:30 p.m. ET

TV

ESPN

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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