By: Kim Smith Published 01/25/2026, 06:10 AM ET 
The Vegas Golden Knights head north on Sunday, January 25, 2026, to face the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre. Puck drop is scheduled for 5:00 PM, with television coverage available on ESPN+ and Scripps Sports. Vegas enters this matchup as a modest road favorite at -135 on the moneyline, while Ottawa is listed at +114. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the Over priced at -105 and the Under at -115. On the puck line, Vegas -1.5 pays +170, while Ottawa +1.5 is set at -205. Make sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insights and predictions.
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Terms & Conditions Golden Knights Carrying Momentum On The Road
Vegas comes into this contest with a 25-13-12 overall record and a strong 13-6-6 mark away from home. The Golden Knights have been playing confident hockey lately, having recently won over the Maple Leafs, Predators, and Maple Leafs again in overtime, while suffering losses to the Bruins and Flyers. That stretch reflects a team capable of responding quickly after setbacks and finding ways to score when games tighten up.
From a numbers standpoint, Vegas remains one of the more balanced teams in the league. The Golden Knights are averaging 3.38 goals per game while allowing just 2.98, a combination that keeps them competitive in nearly every matchup. Shot metrics also lean in their favor, as Vegas puts up just over 29 shots per game while holding opponents to fewer than 25 shots on average, a sign of consistent puck control and defensive structure.
A major strength for Vegas has been special teams execution. Their power play is converting at an elite 26.3%, making them particularly dangerous against teams that struggle with discipline. While the penalty kill has been solid rather than spectacular at 80.3%, Vegas often compensates with strong five-on-five play and depth scoring. Their ability to roll four lines and maintain pressure has translated well on the road this season.
Senators Looking To Protect Home Ice
Ottawa enters Sunday’s matchup with a 23-20-7 overall record and an 11-9-4 mark at home. The Senators have been inconsistent recently, having recently lost to the Predators, Red Wings in overtime, and Canadiens in overtime, while picking up wins over the Blue Jackets and Rangers. That mix of results shows a team that can score in bunches but struggles to lock down games late.
Statistically, Ottawa has leaned heavily on offense to stay competitive. The Senators are averaging 3.26 goals per game but are allowing 3.38 goals against, a margin that often forces them into high-scoring affairs. Shot numbers are respectable at 28.3 per game, and defensively they have done a reasonable job limiting shots against at just over 25 per contest, though breakdowns in coverage have led to costly goals.
Special teams have been both a strength and a weakness for Ottawa. Their power play is clicking at 23.5%, giving them a legitimate weapon against strong opponents. However, the penalty kill has been a significant liability, operating at just 71.7%. Against a Vegas team with one of the league’s top power plays, that matchup could prove decisive if Ottawa cannot stay disciplined.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators PickVegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators Pick Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -135 (Moneyline)
Vegas holds the edge in overall consistency, defensive structure, and special teams balance. The Golden Knights’ ability to control shot volume and capitalize on power-play chances makes them the more reliable side in this matchup. Ottawa’s tendency to give up goals in bunches, especially when shorthanded, puts them at a disadvantage against a disciplined Vegas team that thrives on road confidence.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators Total Pick
I am taking the Over in this game because both teams are comfortable playing up-tempo hockey, and Ottawa’s defensive issues often lead to wide-open contests. Vegas has shown the ability to score quickly on special teams, while Ottawa’s offense can push pace at home. With both power plays capable of converting, 6.5 goals feels reachable in this matchup.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4, Ottawa Senators 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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